Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 251945
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for COLLIER INCIDENT REQUEST...COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
National Weather Service Miami FL
345 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1600 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
West to northwest wind will continue through the afternoon with a few
gusts up to 15 mph. The winds begin to decrease into the evening hours
after sunset to less than 10 knots with clear skies expected tonight.
Winds will then become calm closer to midnight and remain calm through
the early morning hours. Dispersion index will quickly lower tonight
as light and calm wind develop. Humidity recoveries will be excellent
in the morning.

Light wind tonight in addition to clear skies will likely cause for
shallow fog to develop, especially in areas of lingering smoke, leading
to reduce visibility.

Warming trend continues Wednesday with temperatures into the mid to upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity values will remain around 41 to 45 during
the daytime. No chance of precipitation is expected at this time through
the end of the week with southwest flow continuing through Thursday before
shifting more southeast by the end of the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 10 mph.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......3900-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Dispersion index....43.
LVORI...............1.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

Time (EDT)      4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM
Sky (%).........31  22  22  22  5   5   5   9   9   9   17  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............80  79  77  75  73  70  68  66  65  63  63  61
RH..............43  45  49  54  61  68  75  84  84  90  93  100
20 ft wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   SW
20 ft wind dir..270 270 280 270 280 270 280 300 290 270 250 230
20 ft wind spd..8   6   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   1
20 ft wind gust.15  15  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 3.9 2.7 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mixng wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   SW
Mixng wind spd..12  12  12  12  10  9   7   6   3   3   2   2
Dispersion idx..42  43  35  22  4   4   3   2   2   1   1   1
LVORI...........1   1   1   2   3   3   4   5   6   7   7   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 8 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1600-2700 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-400 ft AGL
                    until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 12 mph...becoming southwest around 2
                    mph after midnight,...then becoming east around
                    3 mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....35...decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph
                    early.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......300-1300 ft AGL...increasing to 4300-4900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 9 mph...becoming southwest 12 to 14
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 23,...then increasing to 41
                    early...increasing to 54 early in the
                    afternoon...increasing to 66...decreasing to 52
                    late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

$$
Forecaster...Torres
Requested by...RICK ZYVOLOSKI
Type of request...Wildfire
.TAG 1707335.31/MFL



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