Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 221027
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR CALSTONES DEUX RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
627 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0640 EDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE ATLANTIC INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA AS AN INVERTED TROUGH IS LOCATED ALONG THE
EASTERN SEABOARD. THESE TWO FEATURES WILL COMBINE TO PULL AMPLE
TROPICAL MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE PENINSULA WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY LATE THIS MORNING BECOMING
NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON. SEA BREEZES WILL DEVELOP ALONG BOTH
COASTS AND PUSH INLAND WHICH WILL ALSO AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THE STORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
                    WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 5 UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9...INCREASING TO 32 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........39     39     42     47     47     71
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD WIDSPD WIDSPD NUMRUS
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD WIDSPD WIDSPD NUMRUS
TEMP............76     87     91     91     90     85
RH..............92     62     56     53     56     65
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 2   S 3    SW 5   SW 5   S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1300   1300   3400   4500   4500   3800
MIXNG WIND......SE 3   SE 3   S 6    SW 9   SW 9   S 8
DISPERSION IDX..9      9      27     36     36     30
LVORI...........7      7      3      1      1      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     50     80     80     70
LAL.............2      2      3      5      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18...DECREASING TO 3 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9...INCREASING TO 35.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...TURNBO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140722.CALST.01/MFL


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