Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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000
FNUS73 KMKX 191745 AAA
FWSMKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRING...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1245 PM CDT SAT APR 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FIRE WEATHER FORECAST TO LOWER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THAT WAS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TODAY IS DELAYED. THEREFORE...AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE VERY LOW...IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT
RANGE. IN ADDITION...BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL LEAD
TO AN INCREASED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

HIGHER HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED OVER FAR EASTERN WISCONSIN DUE TO THE
COOL ONSHORE FLOW FROM LAKE MICHIGAN. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
INCREASE SOMEWHAT FOR SUNDAY AS SOUTH WINDS PUMP MORE MOISTURE INTO
THE AREA. THIS WILL BRING CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN NORTH OF A LINE
FROM MADISON TO MILWAUKEE. RAIN WILL BE LIKELY BY MONDAY AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 23 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (58400-87600 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     63     64
RH..............30     25     24
20 FT WIND......S 12   S 14   S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 83 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 20 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (31300-79400 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO POOR (3800-9300 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN
TEMP............63     59     54     52     52     51
RH..............27     47     59     63     63     68
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 8    S 8    S 8    S 8    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     15     20     15     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      5      4      4      3

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7300-42400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (62700-84500 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............49     51     57     64     68     67
RH..............77     77     67     56     51     52
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 7    SW 8   SW 8   SW 6   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...CRONCE
REQUESTED BY...SEAN SALLMANN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140419.SPRIN.01/MKX



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