Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 042218
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CASSIA CHURCH...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
518 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1645 EST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT IS ABOUT TO MOVE THROUGH THE BURN AREA.
EXPECT A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WITH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
MOVING INTO THE AREA ON GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL
PREVENT ANY CHANCE OF FOG FORMATION OVERNIGHT.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. DECREASING CLOUDS LATE. SHOWERS AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY
                    THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH
                    ABOUT MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 21
                    TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....22.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 3 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........88  100 100 100 100 100 100 69  69  69  43  43
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............67  66  65  62  60  58  55  53  51  50  48  46
RH..............96  93  93  91  91  91  90  92  81  74  77  73
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT WIND SPD..13  14  13  12  15  13  13  14  14  15  12  13
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15      20  15  15  15  15  20      15
LVORI...........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........43     8      0      0      1      13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     45     48     53     55     57
RH..............73     58     46     39     38     37
20 FT WIND......N 13   N 13   N 14   N 14   N 15   NE 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     20     20
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...SGT  RAY STEELE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160204.CASSI.02/MLB


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