Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS74 KMOB 171313
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for J-11 RX...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
713 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on February 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light and variable winds early this morning become
southwesterly around 10 knots by this afternoon, then southerly by
Sunday. There is a slight chance for a few isolated showers today.
Dispersions will be good this afternoon and fair Sunday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Areas of fog, possibly dense at times,
expected to develop tonight into early Sunday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog early this
                    morning. Slight chance of showers through the day.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1100-2300 ft AGL increasing to 3200-4200 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 16 mph increasing to 14 to 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 53.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........70     67     64     56     46
Weather cov.....AREAS  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....FOG    RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............67     74     79     81     78
RH..............87     69     58     54     60
20 FT wind dir..S      S      SW     SW     SW
20 FT wind spd..5      7      9      10     8
20 FT wind gust.7      11     14     16     13
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   2300   4000   4100   4200
Transp wind dir.SW     SW     SW     W      SW
Transp wind spd.8      14     18     21     17
Dispersion idx..8      26     51     52     54
LVORI...........5      3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog late
                    in the evening. Areas of fog after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....5.
LVORI...............7.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........38     48     62     72     73     73
Weather cov.....              PATCHY AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG    FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............71     66     62     61     61     59
RH..............76     90     100    100    100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..5      4      3      2      2      2
20 FT wind gust.7      6      6      6      5      4
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   800    800    800    800    800
Transp wind dir.SW     SW     SW     SW     SW     W
Transp wind spd.10     9      9      8      6      6
Dispersion idx..6      6      5      5      4      3
LVORI...........4      6      8      9      9      9

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......800-2500 ft AGL increasing to 2900-3400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph shifting to the south 8
                    to 9 mph early in the morning.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 29.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........74     71     66     63     59     54
Weather cov.....AREAS  PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............57     60     67     75     77     74
RH..............100    100    81     66     62     69
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      SE     S      S
20 FT wind spd..1      2      3      4      6      6
20 FT wind gust.5      6      7      8      11     10
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1400   2100   2900   3200   3400
Transp wind dir.NW     NE     E      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.7      8      8      8      9      8
Dispersion idx..8      13     18     21     24     29
LVORI...........8      5      3      3      2      2

$$
Forecaster...49
Requested by...Tom Murrie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802090.0/MOB
.EMAIL thomas.murrie@us.af.mil



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.