Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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013
FNUS74 KMOB 211155
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for DeSoto Block 6351...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
655 AM CDT Fri Apr 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will remain centered over the western Atlantic
through Saturday. A cold front will slide through the area
Saturday night and Sunday morning. High pressure will build back
in for early next week.

Fog Potential And Other Remarks...Patchy fog possible with
visibilities falling to one mile or less at times each night.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy dense fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 9 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......1300-3100 ft AGL increasing to 3900-5600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height (m)...396-945 meters AGL increasing to 1189-1707
                    meters AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 1 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 49.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........31     32     32     30     22
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............70     80     83     84     84
RH..............81     60     51     48     48
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..1      3      7      9      9
20 FT wind gust.       5      15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   3100   4800   5400   5100
Mix hgt (m).....400    940    1460   1650   1550
Transp wind dir.E      SE     S      S      S
Transp wind spd.3      7      9      10     10
Trans wind dir..E      SE     S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).1      3      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..5      25     47     48     44
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy dense fog
                    after midnight.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL decreasing to 700-2300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1554 meters AGL decreasing to 213-701 meters
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....55 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........14     14     21     29     33     41
Weather cov.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............81     76     71     69     67     65
RH..............53     62     79     84     87     93
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..8      6      3      3      3      2
20 FT wind gust.10     10     5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....5100   700    700    800    900    800
Mix hgt (m).....1550   210    210    240    270    240
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.13     10     7      7      7      7
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).6      4      3      3      3      3
Dispersion idx..55     6      4      4      4      4
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      6      7

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy dense fog
                    early in the morning. Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800-2100 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...244-640 meters AGL increasing to 1494 meters
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 23 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 42 late in the morning increasing
                    to 55 early in the afternoon decreasing to 49.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........50           48           46
Weather cov.....PATCHY                    S CHC
Weather type....FOG          NONE         RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                          S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0            10           20
LAL.............1            1            2
Temp............63           77           83
RH..............100          62           49
20 FT wind dir..S            S            S
20 FT wind spd..2            5            8
20 FT wind gust.             10           15
Mix hgt (ft)....800          2800         4500
Mix hgt (m).....240          850          1370
Transp wind dir.S            SW           SW
Transp wind spd.6            12           13
Trans wind dir..S            SW           SW
Trans spd (m/s).3            5            6
Dispersion idx..4            38           54
LVORI...........9            1            1

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Bobby Iser
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707346.0/MOB
.EMAIL msmnf01dispatch@fs.fe.us



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