Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 041415
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 46...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
815 AM CST WED MAR 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SURGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TODAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL
INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BRING A WIND SHIFT THURSDAY MORNING OVER THE
INTERIOR AND LATER IN THE MORNING OVER THE COAST. A SMALL CHANCE OF
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY OVER THE FAR NORTHWEST ZONES
THURSDAY MORNING. GENERALLY GOOD DAYTIME DISPERSION FORECAST THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG ALONG THE
COAST IS EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT. VISIBILITY ELSEWHERE SHOULD RANGE
FROM ONE-HALF TO THREE MILES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 44.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........81     81     75     75     75
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............71     78     81     80     76
RH................74     64     59     60     66
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      7      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST...              14     16     16
MIX HGT (FT)......2100   2100   3700   3700   3700
MIX HGT (M).......640    640    1130   1130   1130
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...14     14     16     17     17
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      6      7      8      8
DISPERSION........27     27     42     45     45
LVORI.............3      3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............20     20     20     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 DECREASING TO 8 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 8.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING D IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........85     85     85     95     95     95
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP..............74     69     65     64     64     62
RH................72     87     99     100    100    100
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....6      6      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......1800   1800   1300   900    900    900
MIX HGT (M).......550    550    400    270    270    270
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...17     17     15     12     12     9
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8      8      7      5      5      4
DISPERSION........19     19     15     9      9      6
LVORI.............3      3      5      8      8      8
STABILITY CLASS...E      E      D      D      D      D
CWR...............30     30     30     40     40     40

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO WEST LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO NORTH 18 TO
                    21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 33 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 3.
STABILITY CLASS.....D BECOMING C IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........93     93     93     94     94     94
WEATHER COV.......LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP..............61     61     58     53     49     48
RH................100    93     88     93     89     80
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      W      N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      7      10     10     11
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......800    800    1100   1500   1500   1500
MIX HGT (M).......240    240    340    460    460    460
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     W      N      N      N
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      9      14     18     18     21
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      6      8      8      9
DISPERSION........10     10     19     31     31     34
LVORI.............7      7      4      4      4      3
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      D      C      C      C
CWR...............70     70     70     30     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...22
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150304.COMP4.01/MOB



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