Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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000
FNUS73 KMQT 241540
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Scatter to wind...USFS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1140 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A dry southeast flow around high pressure retreating
slowly to the east will keep eastern Upper Michigan precipitation free
through the day on Tuesday. Although a tight pressure gradient will
maintain steady southeast winds at the surface, relatively high low
level stability will limit the potential for significant wind gusts.
Expect moister air to gradually arrive on Tuesday and limit the fall
of afternoon relative humidity despite an above normal maximum
temperature.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........43 percent.
33-foot winds.......Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 14 mph.
Transport winds.....Southeast 11 to 30 mph.
Ventilation index...Good (397).
Mixing height.......1500-2400 ft AGL.
Haines Index........3...or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........61  58  55  54  53  52  52  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Temp............43  45  48  49  50  51  49  47
RH..............55  50  47  46  44  43  46  49
33 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
33 ft wind spd..17  17  17  17  17  20  20  20
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 ft wind spd..14  14  14  14  14  16  16  16
Wind gust.......25  25  22  22  22  22  22  22
VIndx kt-ft/100.397 397 377 353 316 312 331 339
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.21  20  18  17  16  17  21  25
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.8 1.5
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2
Wave height (ft)0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........87 percent.
33-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Transport winds.....Southeast 23 to 46 mph shifting to the south 24
                    to 48 mph by midnight, then decreasing to 18 to
                    33 mph late.
Ventilation index...Poor (32).
Mixing height.......200-1200 ft AGL.
Haines Index........2 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........52  53  54  55  55  56  57  60  63  66  68  71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Temp............45  44  43  42  41  41  41  40  40  39  39  39
RH..............52  56  60  63  66  69  72  75  79  81  85  87
33 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
33 ft wind spd..16  16  16  14  14  14  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 ft wind spd..13  13  13  11  11  11  10  10  10  10  10  10
Wind gust.......22  22  22  18  18  18              14  14  14
VIndx kt-ft/100.315 246 165 88  61  65  78  75  73  68  45  32
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.30  33  38  40  40  38  36  35  33  31  28  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Wave height (ft)0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........51 percent.
33-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 26 mph.
Ventilation index...Good (344).
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL increasing to 800-2300 ft AGL
                    late.
Haines Index........2 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
Sky (%).........74     76     75     71     71     75
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Temp............40     46     51     55     57     56
RH..............86     72     62     58     52     55
33 ft wind......SE 15  SE 15  SE 16  SE 15  SE 15  SE 13
20 ft wind......SE 12  SE 12  SE 13  SE 12  SE 12  SE 10
Wind gust.......21     21     22     20     20     14
VIndx kt-ft/100.45     170    294    320    344    227
Transport wind..S 21   S 20   S 20   S 17   S 17   S 17
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1000   1700   2100   2300   1500
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Haines index....4      4      4      3      2      2
Wave height (ft)0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
Forecaster...KC
Requested by...Ryan Stone
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707674.0/MQT



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