Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 290932
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Lousy George...BLM RSD
National Weather Service Riverton WY
332 AM MDT Sat Apr 29 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A cool day with a breezy northeast to north wind are expected
across the fire site today. Snow flurries are possible this
morning. Temperatures will be warmer on Sunday with windy west
northwest winds developing by midday Sunday.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

FORECASTER...Murrell

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-100 percent) in the morning
                    becoming partly cloudy (50-65 percent)
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast wind 10-15 mph becoming more north
                    in the afternoon. Gusts to 25 mph.
Ridge top winds.....Northeast around 15 mph shifting to the north
                    in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Chc of wetting rain.Zero.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15-20 mph becoming north in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20 percent).
Min temperature.....25.
Max humidity........85 percent.
20-foot winds.......North to northwest 5-10 mph becoming
                    becoming downslope/downvalley 4-7 mph by 8 PM.
Ridge top winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Chc of wetting rain.Zero percent.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Decreasing to poor by 8 PM.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly Cloudy (40-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 4-7 mph becoming west northwest
                    15-20 mph with gusts around 30 mph by around noon.
Ridge top winds.....West northwest around 10 mph increasing to 20-30
                    mph in the afternoon. Gust to 40 mph.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Chc of wetting rain.Zero percent.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West northwest 20-30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very Good in the afternoon.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. West winds
around 10 mph.

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers after
midnight. Highs in the upper 40s. West to northwest around 20 mph.


.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds around 20
mph.

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Winds generally less than 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Murrell
Requested by...Jon Ziegler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707969.1/RIW
.EMAIL jziegler@blm.gov


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