Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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000
FNUS75 KTFX 050945
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLTER COMPLEX...STATE/LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
345 AM MDT SAT SEP 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0500 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DEEP UPPER LEVEL WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO
WESTERN MONTANA THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL
SWITCH TO STEADY RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON AS SYSTEM`S LAST
SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE PLUME PASSES THROUGH FIRE LOCATION. RAIN
BEGINS TO TAPER OFF TONIGHT AS SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD INTO
CANADA WITH A FEW RESIDUAL SHOWERS POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS
INCREASING AND SHIFTING TO WESTERLY BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. STEADY RAIN...MODERATE AT TIMES THIS
                    AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AT 5 TO 8 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2.
RAINFALL............(6AM TO NOON)...0.13"...(NOON TO 6PM)...0.17".

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 97  97  97  97  97  97
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............49  49  48  48  48  49  51  53  55  56  57  56
RH..............92  92  91  90  88  87  84  80  75  70  65  61
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. A CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................70 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 15 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
LAL.................2.
RAINFALL............(6PM TO MIDNIGHT)...0.16"...(MIDNIGHT TO 6AM)...0.04".

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........88     88     88     86     86     86
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............55     51     47     45     45     47
RH..............59     67     72     72     77     76
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     10     10     20

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST AT 20 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3.
RAINFALL............(6AM TO NOON)...0.01"...(NOON TO 6PM)...0.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........82        82        48        48
WEATHER COV.....S CHC     S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............50        50        57        60
RH..............68        66        45        37
20 FT WIND......SW 8G20   SW 12G25  W 12G25   W 12G30

$$
FORECASTER...WARANAUSKAS
REQUESTED BY...ROGER JACKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150905.HOLTE.01/TFX


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