Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FNUS75 KTWC 181240
FWSTWC

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER HEAD FIRE...SAGUARO WILDLAND FIRE MODULE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
540 AM MST MON AUG 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1914 MST ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

IN AN EFFORT TO PROVIDE THE BEST SERVICE WE CAN...IF TIME PERMITS
PLEASE USE THE FEEDBACK OPTION TO SEND BACK THE WEATHER THAT
OCCURRED DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD YOU REQUESTED. AN EXAMPLE...THE
HIGH TEMP...MIN RH AND WIND SPEED FOR THE DAY OR THE WEATHER THAT WAS
OCCURRING DURING YOUR PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FIRST DEVELOP WELL SOUTH
AND SOUTHWEST OF THE FIRE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN STORMS WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE STRONG...GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS. OTHERWISE...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER THAN
YESTERDAY AS DEEPER MOISTURE BEGINS TO FILTER INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 TO 65 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT UPSLOPE WIND 3 TO 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. AN OUTFLOW FROM THE
                    STORMS TO THE SOUTH MAY HIT THE FIRE AREA IN
                    THE LATE AFTERNOON RESULTING IN GUSTY SOUTH
                    WINDS TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................2. 4 IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN......50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51 TO 54 DEGS.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 TO 100 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT DOWNSLOPE 2
                    TO 5 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
                    ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................4 IN THE EVENING...THEN 2.
CHANCE OF RAIN......50 PERCENT IN THE EVENING....THEN 20 PCT
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 DEGS.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 TO 68 PCT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST TO WEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................4.
CHANCE OF RAIN......70 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...RASMUSSEN
REQUESTED BY...SAGUARO WILDLAND FIRE MODULE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140817.DEERH.05/TWC

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON








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