Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 241629
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SECTION 2 RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1029 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1035 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...THE WEATHER DURING THE REST OF THE DAY WILL BE MOSTLY
SUNNY. THE WIND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS
AFTERNOON...FAVORING UPSLOPE...UP-VALLEY FLOW. EVEN THOUGH THE MIXING
HEIGHT IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2100 TO 2600 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON...THE
LIGHT WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT PRODUCE A CALCULATION OF POOR SMOKE
DISPERSAL TODAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WIND 4 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND NOON...LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE WINDS CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    LIGHT UPSLOPE...UP-VALLEY FLOW EXPECTED.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 TO 2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND NOON THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH
                    DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 TO 1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...NICK PIEPER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.SECTI.02/UNR






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