Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 232113
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
512 PM EDT SUN APR 23 2017


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID APR 24/0000 UTC THRU APR 27/0000 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


...A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL EPISODE UNFOLDING FROM THE
S-CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND SERN US INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC...


DAY 1...

...SOUTHERN-CENTRAL APPALACHIANS / SOUTHEASTERN U.S. / MID
ATLANTIC...

A POSITIVELY-TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS IT
PIVOTS SOUTHEAST DURING DAY 1...WITH DECENT MODEL CLUSTERING OF A
CLOSED MID-UPPER LOW GRADUALLY TRAVERSING THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES.
IN DUE TIME...THIS TROUGH TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT LATER
TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY MORNING WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASING
MAGNITUDE OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE E-NE OF THE UPPER LOW WHICH BECOMES
BETTER FOCUSED WITH TIME.  IN ADDITION...THE APPROACH OF A JET
STREAK WILL PUT THE CAROLINAS TO MID ATLANTIC REGION IN A
FAVORABLE POSITION FOR INCREASED UPPER DIVERGENCE.   THE EVOLVING
SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL FAVOR A RATHER BROAD SWATH OF HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OH VALLEY AND TN
VALLEY...ALONG WITH THE CENTRAL-SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS... ADJACENT
PIEDMONT...AND MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST.

WPC QPF STARTED WITH FAIRLY LARGE PERCENTAGE OF CONTINUITY AND
THEN MADE CHANGES BASED ON THE 12Z GFS/NAM AND THE LATEST ECMWF
AND THE 12Z WRF ARW.  THAT RESULTED IN HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER PARTS
OF NORTH CAROLINA COMPARED WITH THE OVERNIGHT WPCQPF...WITH THE
BIGGEST DIFFERENCE COMING FROM THE MODELS SHOWING CONVECTION
REDEVELOPING ON MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE THE AXIS OF HIGHER
PRECIPITABLE WATER MOVES OUT.  AS A RESULT...THE HIGHER PCPN
VALUES SEEMED REASONABLE ALONG WITH THE FACT THAT THE HIGH QPF WAS
SHOWN BY MULTIPLE MODELS.  SINCE IT APPEARED THAT THE SEVERAL OF
MODELS WERE SUFFERING FROM CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK/GRID SCALE
PROBLEMS...WE WERE NOT INCLINED TO INCREASE AREAL AVERAGE AMOUNTS
TO 6 OR MORE INCHES AS SHOWN BY SOME OF THE MODELS EVEN THOUGH
ISOLATED POCKETS MAY GET THAT MUCH RAINFALL.

TO THE SOUTH OF THERE...WE ATTEMPTED TO MAKE FEW CHANGES TO THE
RAFL FORECAST WHERE MOISTURE WILL BE ABUNDANT AND THE UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT WILL BE STRONG.  FORECAST SOUNDING SHOW PRECIPITABLE WATER
ANOMALIES AND H85 TO H70 MOISTURE FLUX ANOMALIES SOME 2 TO 2.5
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY WILL BE IN PLACE.  THIS AS
THE SYSTEM WILL BE ABLE TO DRAW IN BOTH GOMEX AND GULF STREAM
MOISTURE...LEADING TO AN EXPANSIVE (POLEWARD) AREA OF ANOMALOUS PW
INTO THE UPPER LAYERS (500-300 MB).
IN TERMS OF THE QPF...WPC NOTED A FAIRLY BROAD AREA WITH
AREAL-AVERAGE AMOUNTS BETWEEN 2-4" IN A CORRIDOR FROM PARTS OF
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTH CAROLINA...SURROUNDED BY 1 TO 3
INCH AMOUNTS.  BECAUSE OF THE ANTICIPATED MINIMAL CONVECTIVE
CONTRIBUTION ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION (ESPECIALLY NORTHERN
AREAS).

WILL CONTINUE WITH A MODERATE RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS
THE NC-SOUTHERN VA PIEDMONT INTO THE APPALACHIANS AND INCLUDING
FAR NORTHEAST TN....WITH A SURROUNDING BROAD SLIGHT RISK AREA.
SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF ISSUES LOOM.


...KEYS/SOUTH FLORIDA...

THE CONVECTIVELY-AIDED SHORTWAVE LOW HUGGING THE SOUTHEAST CORNER
OF THE FL PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD.
THE MODELS HAVE NOT BEEN PERFORMING PARTICULARLY WELL WITH
PLACEMENT OR AMOUNTS. THE FORECAST WAS LARGELY BASED ON SHORT TERM
EXTRAPOLATION PLUS THE FACT THAT THE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES POINT
TO EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCING CELLS UNTIL THE STORMS PULL AWAY
FROM THE COAST. A QUICK LOOK AT THE THE LATEST PARALLEL HREF 40KM
NEIGHBORHOOD PROBABILITY OF THE 24 HOUR QPF EXCEEDING 5 INCHES IS
STILL AROUND 50% WITHIN THE MAJORITY OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA.


...NWRN US TO ND/MN...

GUIDANCE REASONABLY AGREES OVERALL IN SHOWING WIDESPREAD PCPN
POTENTIAL ACROSS THE NWRN US DAY1. PWS INCREASE TO ABOUT TWO
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AS MID-UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH ENERGIES AND ASSOCIATED UPPER AND LOWER ATMOSPHERIC
JETS PUNCH ACROSS THE COAST. EXPECT ACTIVITY DURATION WILL SUPPORT
TERRAIN ENHANCED 1-2" LIQUID AMOUNTS CENTERING OVER THE OREGON/NW
CA COASTAL RANGES AND OREGON CASCADES...WITH MORE MODEST POTENTIAL
SWEEPING INLAND ACROSS THE NWRN US...N-CENTRAL INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST...NRN ROCKY STATES...AND PROGRESSIVELY OUT OVER THE ARCTIC
DRAPE COOLED AND N-CENTRAL PLAINS CYCLOGENESIS SPUN-UP FLOW INTO
ND/MN. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PRODUCTS FROM THE WPC WINTER
WEATHER DESK FOR MORE DETAILED INFORMATION ON ASSOCIATED WINTERY
THREATS.


DAYS 2 AND 3


***EAST COAST***

THE WELL ADVERTISED HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
EARLY IN THE WEEK CONTINUES INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY TWO
PERIOD MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA.  A POTENT CLOSED LOW WITHIN A NEGATIVELY TILTED
TROUGH WITHIN THE SOUTHERN STREAM OF THE 500MB FLOW, COMBINED WITH
DIFFLUENT FLOW AT 250MB, WILL SET THE STAGE FOR DEEP-LAYER ASCENT
AND WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS.   AT THE SURFACE, A
STATIONARY COASTAL FRONT SITUATED NORTHEAST OF A SLOW-MOVING LOW
WILL ENHANCE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH
12Z TUESDAY MORNING, WITH ADVECTION OF 1.50-1.75 INCH PWS FROM THE
ATLANTIC.  ADDITIONAL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE DRAWN INTO THIS
SYSTEM FROM THE DISTURBANCE THAT CROSSED FLORIDA SUNDAY MORNING.
INSTABILITY EAST OF THE FRONT WILL ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES NEAR THE
COAST, WHILE STRONG OVER-RUNNING WEST OF THE BOUNDARY WILL LEAD TO
HEAVY STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS.
HOWEVER, IF THE SYNOPTIC SET-UP IS SLIGHTLY FARTHER EAST THAN
CURRENTLY EXPECTED, SOME OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL RATES COULD
MATERIALIZE JUST OFFSHORE, SO THIS IS SOMETHING THAT WILL CONTINUE
TO BE MONITORED.  THE INITIAL HIGH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO DECREASE WITH RAINFALL DURING THE DAY ONE PERIOD, AND
THE RATES WILL LIKELY BE HIGH ENOUGH IN SOME AREAS TO CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING.  THEREFORE, THE MODERATE RISK AREA WAS MAINTAINED FROM
THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST ISSUANCE.

BY THE DAY 3 PERIOD, EASTERN NEW ENGLAND GETS IN ON THE ACTION,
ALBEIT IN A WEAKENED STATE COMPARED TO THE SOUTHEAST U.S.  THE
CLOSED LOW WEAKENS SOME AND THE SURFACE LOW BECOMES MORE
PROGRESSIVE, BUT A 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET ADVECTING 1.5 INCH PWS
TOWARD THE NEW ENGLAND COAST ALONG A WARM FRONT SHOULD BE ENOUGH
TO PRODUCE 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM RHODE ISLAND TO
EASTERN MAINE.  THEREFORE A MARGINAL RISK AREA WAS INTRODUCED FOR
THIS REGION.

IN TERMS OF THE MODELS, WE LEANED TOWARD THE GFS/ECMWF FOR
PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS.  THESE WERE CLOSEST TO THE
ENSEMBLE MEANS AND ALSO AGREED FAIRLY WELL WITH THE BIASED
CORRECTED QPF MODEL.  THE EARLIER 00Z CMC WAS A NORTHERN OUTLIER
WITH THE QPF AXIS, BUT WAS CLOSER TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS WITH THE
12Z CYCLE.  THE UKMET ALSO APPEARED TO BE FARTHER NORTH AND NOT AS
HEAVY WITH ITS QPF DURING DAY 2.


***CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST***

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ON TUESDAY.  THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE MORE MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH COMPARED TO ITS PREDECESSOR ON MONDAY, ALONG WITH A STRONGER
BAROCLINIC ZONE AND RIGHT ENTRANCE JET DYNAMICS.  THERE ARE SOME
DIFFERENCES IN THE SYNOPTIC EVOLUTION AND MODEL QPF AXIS.  WE USED
A BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS/00Z ECMWF, AND SLIGHTLY CLOSER TO THE 12Z
GFS, WHICH REPRESENTED A GOOD MIDDLE GROUND SOLUTION.

A HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT MAY DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT AND INTO
WEDNESDAY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND EXTENDING INTO SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI.  A NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST FRONT WILL BE DRAPED ACROSS
THE AREA, ALONG WITH AMPLE INSTABILITY BUILDING NORTH ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY.  THE APPROACH OF A STRONG SHORTWAVE AND
INCREASED DIFFLUENCE ALOFT SHOULD RESULT IN THE CAP BREAKING AND
CONVECTION EXPANDING IN COVERAGE TUESDAY NIGHT.  THIS WILL LIKELY
TAKE THE FORM OF AN MCS, AND THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS OF THE ECMWF
AND GFS HAVE ALL GENERALLY SUPPORTED THIS QPF MAXIMA.  THE
MARGINAL RISK AREA OVER THIS REGION WAS MAINTAINED FROM THE
OVERNIGHT ISSUANCE.


***NORTHWEST U.S.***

PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CONTINUES MONDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY AS MULTIPLE WAVES OF ENERGY IMPACT THE REGION WITHIN
BROAD ONSHORE FLOW FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC.  THERE IS NO TROPICAL
CONNECTION TO THIS MOISTURE MOVING INLAND, SO THE AMOUNTS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY.  SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES WERE NOTED WITHIN
THE MODEL GUIDANCE.  PRISM DATA WAS USED TO LOCALLY ENHANCE QPF
FOR THE FAVORED TERRAIN ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND EXTENDING
EASTWARD TO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKIES.  FOR NOW WE
GENERALLY FOLLOWED A MIDDLE GROUND CONSENSUS SOLUTION.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML

BANN/HAMRICK


24HR QP VT 25/00Z
 0.01 519274 520269 519264 517256 510240 506231 506226 505222
      506217 506211 507208 509207 512205 516206 523206 529199
      531197 532192 532181 530175 530171 532170 532165 530154
      527150 522149 519148 517145 516139 516132 515121 512114
      510111 510103 513092 515081 515073 514068 516058 521052
      527048 532041 536029 537016 536011 534007 531002 528999
      523996 520993 519988 519962 519946 520931 520920 520906
      518894 516882 510863 505856 499852 494853 492855 487861
      487867 483869 480871 477870 472865 469865 467869 467881
      462887 460891 459896 460903 461909 464919 462929 460940
      457947 448986 445993 444998 446001 447007 446010 446016
      447020 447024 449029 451038 453042 455047 457051 456054
      455051 452047 449044 444037 443033 440031 434025 430023
      431029 433033 438040 434043 433049 434058 437067 441075
      440082 438087 435088 431086 428083 426080 426073 424065
      421064 418061 417056 417049 415038 411042 411049 411053
      408056 402055 400058 401061 398069 396071 396075 398085
      402092 403095 402098 398105 393111 387116 385119 384124
      391126 399123 402122 404127 408135 406142 403144 400143
      396142 394146 393152 393158 394163 393168 391171 389174
      391177 395182 402187 404190 403197 401201 397201 390197
      384193 377189 373184 370183 365184 362186 364188 371193
      377200 379204 380209 382213 385217 391217 396218 398220
      398222 395224 391224 382222 377221 375222 374226 376229
      382236 384240 386244 389252 393259 394270 395280 408291
      416297 424301 432304 441306 448306 454305 462303 469298
      480291 481290 480285 478275 478269 478264 478257 480250
      485252 487255 493262 503278 509286 513286 516283
 0.01 491698 487678 487670 484664 480663 478666 475674 473680
      470688 465700 462707 459714 457720 458729 463733 466735
      469735 475732 480726 486714 489708 490698 491698
 0.01 484196 484193 481191 478188 477184 475182 472183 470185
      467188 465190 465194 467198 470201 473199 476196 478195
      480197 482198 484196
 0.01 402699 399693 394689 389690 388693 384701 380707 375703
      368700 364701 361704 358709 355717 349732 340746 337754
      331758 307775 302779 294784 285786 276788 258789 253790
      248791 245793 242802 241805 242808 246814 252818 258821
      257824 258828 261830 263831 262833 256837 246847 246852
      247857 253861 255859 258858 263854 274844 281839 289836
      286842 289850 291852 296852 302849 309845 316842 321842
      324844 325849 324853 325855 330855 335854 338857 345870
      349876 356880 361878 365876 370871 374865 377857 383843
      385835 389828 393819 395810 397801 401795 405788 406780
      407771 406765 405761 402752 400739 399736 399732 399725
      400721 402710 401703 402699
 0.01 294060 294055 293052 291049 285048 278045 271041 265037
      263036 263033 265029 266024 264021 257018 250022 243026
      234037 234048 235056 240062 247065 250067 255068 258070
      263071 280076 283075 285072 290066 294060
 0.25 511154 512147 512141 508131 506127 504125 502126 499128
      497133 493145 491157 491170 492175 494181 497184 501182
      504179 505171 508161 511154
 0.25 507047 508040 506034 502033 499034 495037 492039 490045
      492051 495054 499054 502052 505050 507047
 0.25 490221 490219 490218 489216 488216 487215 486215 485215
      484217 483219 484221 486222 488222 490221 490221
 0.25 507955 508941 508926 506915 502907 499905 495906 489910
      482915 479924 475944 469964 467972 466986 468990 471992
      480994 487996 492997 497995 500988 503978 507956 507955
 0.25 474219 475214 471212 467212 464210 461207 457205 452201
      453195 454191 458183 461172 464166 468159 468152 466144
      462138 459134 459130 460120 462111 465102 465099 463095
      457091 452090 446094 441100 440103 442108 447113 453117
      455124 455131 447143 442149 437156 437159 439161 444167
      446173 446178 445184 442185 441191 444198 449203 447207
      445209 438211 433212 429211 427212 425209 428201 429196
      431192 434191 436189 435186 433176 431168 429164 426167
      424168 422172 421178 422181 424185 426190 425196 403212
      401214 402217 405224 403228 398229 396230 392235 394242
      398250 403256 405259 405263 406270 409278 413284 419288
      427292 436295 443296 449296 456294 459287 458279 457268
      458259 460251 465244 467239 469230 474219
 0.25 433109 432105 427105 423106 419108 416110 416113 417118
      419123 422126 425126 427122 429118 432114 433109
 0.25 410110 411108 411106 411105 409103 410101 409100 409101
      409103 409105 409106 409108 410110 410110
 0.25 397779 397773 396766 394762 391758 385751 376749 370750
      370745 372740 373734 373729 371725 367724 364726 361730
      357739 343751 339758 334765 331768 325770 317774 311780
      303786 296791 290797 283804 289812 308814 312817 313821
      309829 302836 301839 303841 308840 326833 331835 334838
      340845 343847 348848 354847 358845 366839 372833 377827
      383819 386810 390800 395790 397784 397779
 0.25 283802 281798 277797 271795 268795 262795 257796 253798
      251802 254804 258803 261803 267804 271804 276804 281803
      283802
 0.25 273056 272055 270054 268054 267053 265053 263052 261051
      259051 258051 258052 257053 257055 258055 259056 261057
      263058 264058 266059 268059 270059 271058 272058 273056
 0.50 508146 506145 505143 504145 505147 506147 508146 508146
 0.50 502949 503942 502937 500932 497932 491938 488939 485941
      485944 482954 477964 476969 477977 480978 486978 491977
      495975 498972 501962 502949
 0.50 468220 466216 461213 458212 453212 449214 445215 441215
      437216 429219 424221 422226 421229 419230 413228 409230
      406233 402235 399237 400242 402247 410253 416261 419270
      422274 427277 436279 441278 441273 441268 443266 450258
      452252 455248 461242 463236 464228 468220
 0.50 392782 391772 388765 385764 380765 375765 371767 364770
      361769 359765 359755 358751 356749 352749 348751 343756
      335769 330772 323775 316779 311784 300793 298796 296800
      303803 309805 315809 319814 317821 318823 316825 311831
      309834 308836 315834 319832 320829 322826 325827 333829
      339832 345834 353836 359833 365829 377820 379818 381814
      384806 392782
 0.50 273799 272799 270798 268798 266798 264798 262798 261799
      263801 265801 266801 268801 270801 272801 273799
 1.00 462223 462220 460218 455217 448219 441220 437224 437226
      441229 446230 447231 442232 428238 415234 411235 408237
      408242 413245 420247 428248 442244 449243 452242 455238
      454234 450232 448229 452228 457226 462223
 1.00 382784 381779 376777 365782 359781 356779 353775 352766
      351759 348759 342766 335774 331777 325778 320780 317785
      310792 307795 307799 310800 320804 326811 324817 327820
      337823 346827 351827 358826 367822 370819 373815 376810
      378804 380793 382784
 1.50 449224 448223 446223 446224 448224 449224
 1.50 422243 424241 422240 421238 419238 418237 416238 414238
      414241 415242 417242 418243 420243 422243 422243
 1.50 376794 375789 372788 367788 364790 360790 356788 351782
      347775 344772 342772 335777 327780 320785 315792 312796
      318800 324804 329811 330816 333818 341820 347823 353823
      358822 365819 370813 373805 375796 376794
 2.00 372799 372795 369794 361794 356792 351787 347782 343778
      339777 335779 329781 325783 323785 319791 317796 321800
      326804 331809 334814 341816 345819 352820 360819 366816
      369811 372804 372799
 3.00 364809 363803 360799 350796 345787 342783 338781 333783
      328785 325789 323795 326799 330802 334805 337809 344814
      349816 355816 360814 364810 364809
 4.00 360805 358803 356802 354802 353803 352804 351806 351807
      351809 351811 353812 355812 357812 359810 360807 360805
      360805
 4.00 343792 342790 340786 338785 334785 331787 329788 328791
      328794 329796 332798 334799 338798 340797 342794 343792
 5.00 339788 338788 336787 335787 333789 331791 331792 332793
      332794 334794 335795 337794 338793 338791 338789 339788

24HR QP VT 26/00Z
 0.01 543847 543830 542811 540805 540796 538787 538783 535778
      529774 526772 521773 517774 514776 512779 510786 507798
      500805 496814 493822 490834 489839 486843 482849 475855
      469861 459866 452870 446878 439888 433895 429902 424911
      416928 410938 407947 403954 401958 398961 396966 396972
      396982 397989 396996 396004 394010 388011 382009 374005
      365009 363013 362020 363025 364031 365035 365043 365047
      362050 359054 354055 337057 335058 336061 339065 340069
      341074 339078 338081 339084 342090 370100 375101 379100
      381097 385095 390096 394100 398103 396107 394110 389112
      384112 380114 375131 393126 396126 399129 397135 395138
      391140 389141 388144 392155 392159 391163 388166 387173
      389176 399178 409176 414178 417182 420185 422190 420195
      417197 410200 407205 403206 395201 391200 388197 384195
      380192 373188 367187 369190 375197 382206 397218 401222
      399225 390226 387226 385228 384232 382240 383246 383251
      386254 390261 397269 401272 405274 418286 434296 444300
      450302 455302 475303 482298 487295 492297 496297 499295
      504289 505286 506279 505271 498253 497247 500245 503247
      507256 509262 513263 513255 512251 510246 509241 504230
      501219 499214 496210 492210 487209 478207 469208 465209
      459207 457205 457198 459191 461187 468178 470174 475174
      480176 483179 487187 490191 494192 500189 519194 522192
      525189 527184 529175 528169 526163 524156 521153 519150
      516145 516138 516130 517119 513110 511107 510101 508090
      505077 500067 491065 485072 475070 466065 462055 459042
      459033 459025 456013 454002 454996 455991 456979 456972
      457969 458962 459958 460957 462957 466959 474965 477970
      481973 486977 496977 501975 504973 508969 510968 514960
      517955 518950 522941 525929 528918 530907 533896 534888
      535883 538874 541863 542858 542850 543847 543847
 0.01 471771 471760 469749 464737 461731 458724 453710 450704
      446698 443692 441689 440684 439674 436667 433662 428663
      425664 423667 419673 417679 408681 391683 383684 379685
      371687 364689 357691 347698 344703 343708 342712 339714
      334718 323725 307741 304746 303752 308765 315787 319791
      323797 328812 332824 335828 340832 347832 352829 357826
      364823 369821 375819 381816 384812 395806 402805 409806
      417813 423814 430813 437811 443808 447805 450799 452795
      455794 459793 464787 467782 470776 471771
 0.01 439204 438202 438198 437194 437189 437187 436183 433183
      434186 434191 433195 434200 435202 437204 439204
 0.01 439132 439127 438124 435123 433123 431125 430128 428132
      427137 427141 430144 433142 434140 435136 437134 439132
 0.01 358187 357186 355184 352182 349183 347185 346189 346194
      346196 350197 352195 353193 354189 356187 358187
 0.01 278020 278013 274008 269005 264003 259000 259992 255989
      250987 244984 237985 234990 234997 232999 231004 232010
      236014 241016 254018 267021 278020
 0.01 267788 265783 261781 256781 252782 247785 243788 240791
      237796 232803 230808 231812 235816 239815 245807 251800
      255797 260795 265793 267788 267788
 0.25 531825 532812 531806 529801 525798 520800 514806 510811
      503823 497836 491848 483861 476872 472877 468884 467892
      467900 472915 477927 482934 486937 494939 501938 505934
      509928 515916 521899 523892 525884 527864 528855 530846
      531833 531825
 0.25 512157 511150 508144 503140 498137 488129 480122 475119
      472114 474105 474094 463076 457065 454058 453050 452034
      450027 446023 440015 438007 437000 438986 437971 440956
      444940 447926 449920 450912 453894 452891 449891 446895
      434912 428923 422934 417944 412960 408971 406984 403000
      402006 402014 406017 410017 411022 409032 407040 406048
      397053 387060 382067 373064 368063 367068 379085 384085
      385081 388080 390082 394083 399082 405079 410077 415075
      418071 424062 428060 431062 435076 443081 446084 446087
      443085 440085 436089 434090 431089 427084 424085 423089
      425092 430100 422107 421110 418111 414110 411107 410100
      408097 407099 405107 403110 401111 392116 399118 404121
      410123 417123 422122 425118 429117 434116 438116 441118
      448128 450134 448140 445143 438143 436148 435157 435161
      436163 440165 444165 447170 449176 449182 449185 451188
      456186 461182 464175 463167 465164 468163 473161 476156
      474152 473148 471146 471144 474146 480146 484148 488153
      492157 503161 509161 512157
 0.25 479241 478237 476234 470234 467233 465231 464226 465224
      466219 465216 459216 447216 439215 433217 426216 422221
      421224 422228 420231 418232 413229 414219 413215 409215
      402211 398207 392203 387203 391209 396213 401216 405219
      406222 407230 403234 399234 396236 396238 397242 402247
      407250 415253 423255 430255 436253 442253 450255 457259
      461260 467259 472255 473249 479241
 0.25 469127 468125 468124 467125 466127 468129 469127
 0.25 441777 441772 438770 435770 434770 432773 431776 431781
      431784 431786 433790 435787 437784 439782 440779 441777
 0.25 431716 431709 429703 426701 422700 413702 406706 398707
      389707 375702 366702 358705 354708 352711 348718 344725
      338730 332735 327740 322747 320755 321767 324775 327783
      332790 335799 339806 344813 351816 355817 361816 368813
      375808 382802 388798 395794 403790 409786 414779 417771
      419762 417751 418742 422735 428725 431716
 0.25 406154 406153 404153 404154 406154 406154
 0.50 527828 526819 525813 522809 519812 513820 508828 498846
      489864 486869 484875 484882 484889 483899 484912 486918
      489922 494923 498921 501918 504914 508905 514896 519887
      521874 522860 523852 524846 526833 527828
 0.50 507151 506149 505148 505147 503146 502145 502144 500144
      499144 500147 501149 503150 504151 506152 507151
 0.50 488136 488134 488133 486132 484131 483131 481131 480132
      479133 478134 479135 481136 482137 484137 485137 487137
      488136
 0.50 460237 458236 455235 452235 450235 446236 444236 441237
      442241 445242 448241 451241 454241 456240 459240 460237
 0.50 470153 469148 466145 462145 460148 458152 455154 452161
      450173 452177 454179 457182 459182 461179 461175 457173
      456169 460163 461158 463155 468155 470153
 0.50 458222 457219 454217 449218 442217 437218 433220 427220
      424222 425225 430229 434233 438230 444228 449227 453225
      458222
 0.50 464104 463091 463084 461080 456073 452064 450060 450053
      450041 448035 446031 441029 437030 435036 436043 438052
      439074 446078 449081 451085 450090 446093 441093 438095
      436098 434099 434102 435109 442113 449119 453120 456117
      460109 464104
 0.50 432244 433240 432237 427237 423236 418235 412236 410237
      406241 408242 413244 418246 423247 427247 430245 432244
 0.50 437933 437926 433925 430931 423947 421960 417966 414975
      411984 408995 405003 408005 411004 417001 427008 430004
      429998 428993 429987 430983 431976 431964 431955 431950
      433945 437933
 0.50 429092 428089 426088 425089 426090 427091 428092 429092
 0.50 423020 424015 425011 423009 422010 420013 419015 418017
      416022 415024 414028 414030 416032 417031 419028 421025
      422022 423020
 0.50 407726 407721 404719 399723 393725 387724 382721 377717
      371714 366712 359713 355718 348729 344734 339738 334743
      330748 328755 327763 326770 328778 335791 342801 347807
      352810 358810 364808 386794 399788 404783 407778 403759
      403751 404742 404736 405732 407726
 0.50 414071 414068 416064 413061 410062 407064 403063 399058
      395059 389064 388069 388075 392077 400076 405072 407074
      411074 414071
 0.50 407112 407110 408107 408105 407104 407105 407107 407110
      406112 407113 407112
 1.00 450075 450074 449073 448072 446070 445069 443068 441069
      441070 443072 445073 446075 448076 450076 450075
 1.00 446055 446053 446051 446050 444049 444050 444053 445055
      446057 446055
 1.00 443041 444038 443037 441037 440038 441041 443042 443041
 1.00 394780 393776 391775 388776 386777 383779 381781 379782
      377785 378787 381789 383788 385787 388785 390784 392782
      394780
 1.00 384758 383752 381745 376735 370727 366724 363724 359727
      356733 354737 351741 344748 341752 339758 329774 334785
      339794 346802 350804 354804 364800 368797 370793 371786
      370779 367768 366761 369759 377764 380765 383763 384758
 1.50 373747 372745 372744 370743 370742 368741 368740 366740
      364742 365744 366745 367746 368747 370748 372749 373747
 1.50 364785 363778 362774 358763 357759 354755 349755 346758
      343766 337771 333774 332777 333780 338788 343795 349801
      354800 357797 362791 364785
 2.00 358781 357771 352765 350764 350769 350776 349784 344779
      341776 337776 335779 336782 340790 344794 348796 352795
      354788 358782 358781


24HR QP VT 27/00Z
 0.01 531723 530717 528711 524703 519704 517703 511710 506718
      503727 497743 490765 486776 481781 477784 473787 470790
      464798 456818 453829 450838 443843 434845 408865 400869
      392873 387875 382877 374881 364886 353892 337901 329906
      324911 312922 306928 302935 299942 297947 297952 301955
      302957 301960 297964 298968 300971 304972 314970 324968
      328966 332967 337969 342972 347980 349992 347002 344006
      341007 338016 337019 338020 340023 345028 347026 349028
      351038 354043 357047 357056 363057 368056 373056 379057
      385065 386068 384069 379064 372061 368061 367063 369066
      373069 374072 374076 377083 385087 388089 389086 386083
      383079 385077 388078 389082 397083 404080 412085 423091
      426096 426100 424102 420103 414103 410093 408091 406096
      405104 402108 394112 394115 395117 398118 405123 413125
      416129 418134 415139 413142 404144 401141 397140 393140
      389141 389146 392151 391155 392159 390165 389171 394174
      406178 411186 412189 411193 409199 403208 400209 398206
      394204 391208 393212 396215 402220 405223 402226 393227
      389227 386230 386234 388237 391240 392244 399251 413255
      424256 433256 450255 462256 467258 472261 481266 484269
      487272 491279 499282 503281 505279 510272 513270 515266
      516259 516253 515247 517243 513231 502214 502205 505200
      513198 519199 524198 525191 527185 527172 524162 520154
      517144 511124 505106 503101 500096 495088 491086 487085
      479089 474090 468089 460083 445068 433056 428051 420045
      416045 412043 408034 403027 400020 398014 396008 395001
      395993 396987 399982 407979 414971 419966 426958 431959
      435961 442965 449965 454964 458964 461961 465958 469957
      471955 475954 478950 484940 488931 491926 494924 497924
      503918 505913 507906 510894 509874 511860 513846 517834
      521821 525811 524807 522802 520798 521794 522788 524773
      530748 531742 531737 531728 531723 531723
 0.01 496650 495640 492634 483632 471634 456639 445644 434648
      408661 400668 392676 384683 374694 368703 362712 360717
      356721 346732 339739 337743 338749 342755 346756 353756
      359761 361767 364771 371777 383780 387783 394787 399786
      404784 411777 417766 422761 427758 430755 433754 438756
      444765 447771 452773 454774 458774 462773 464771 469769
      473764 475760 477753 479738 477717 474704 470698 473693
      477689 482684 486679 489672 492667 493661 495655 496650
 0.01 353191 353188 352186 351185 350185 349185 348187 348190
      348192 348194 348195 349194 350193 351192 352191 353191
 0.25 522744 522734 520727 517723 515722 512726 509732 505741
      496768 491780 486791 476812 467831 462839 456849 436866
      404887 383897 374902 362907 353911 344915 336919 328924
      324928 320932 317937 317941 319944 324945 331943 343939
      354937 357936 359940 356950 354963 354970 355974 357975
      363973 368970 372967 376967 378970 379977 377982 369988
      363996 358005 357011 358018 359022 360029 361037 364041
      372051 379052 386053 391055 393060 396064 399063 402059
      406058 402055 398053 391042 388028 386022 385013 386997
      386988 385983 385976 387971 393962 398956 407948 414942
      420939 426938 438939 443940 447942 453943 457942 461939
      465935 471927 483906 488894 493883 502861 506849 509838
      513808 514791 517774 522744
 0.25 509256 510251 510246 508240 502225 498219 495215 490210
      486208 481207 469207 463209 457211 451213 446213 432212
      426213 422218 418223 412227 402231 400234 398239 400242
      404245 414248 423249 430249 441247 455247 467247 474249
      480252 486256 490260 494265 498268 502267 505260 509256
 0.25 510174 506166 505160 505154 503145 500137 497130 493125
      489124 485124 478125 471123 465127 459133 455137 452144
      450147 447150 444150 440148 433161 428159 425156 422150
      418148 416150 413158 413168 414173 417177 427187 431184
      433181 435178 438181 438191 440197 442200 446201 449201
      453198 471175 478175 482176 485178 490183 494185 497184
      505179 507176 508178 510174
 0.25 485656 484650 483647 478643 470644 461648 446652 438656
      431658 425660 418664 405673 395682 389688 385694 381701
      378707 375726 376732 380737 385742 392746 406743 415740
      422737 434729 441723 446717 454707 462693 470681 480668
      483661 485656
 0.25 473111 471105 467100 457096 452092 447093 440092 437093
      435095 433101 429106 425108 419111 422112 428113 438114
      443116 450119 454120 460118 462114 465113 469115 473111
 0.25 412071 412070 411068 410067 408066 407067 405067 407069
      408070 409070 410071 412071 412071
 0.50 515754 515747 513745 509746 505751 503758 498773 494782
      491790 479816 471831 468837 465846 461851 457856 448863
      437873 425882 420887 417892 411896 407901 406907 394916
      384923 378926 373929 368934 364939 360946 358956 358966
      359970 362970 370962 381954 388950 395945 401934 410926
      422919 434910 440908 442916 442920 444923 449926 460919
      466914 470907 498852 500846 502838 505822 508777 512765
      515754
 0.50 500235 499229 497224 495219 492214 487211 482209 476209
      471211 463213 453215 443215 434218 430219 428221 427224
      430229 431231 434233 442231 447230 452228 460227 465230
      468230 469235 470239 474242 478243 480239 479235 476231
      471231 469231 469228 472223 476221 482222 487224 492228
      497233 500235
 0.50 477656 476652 474650 470649 457654 447658 442662 436665
      426670 416677 405682 399685 395689 392693 391698 390704
      387712 387718 390723 393727 398730 407732 415731 422729
      431724 441716 447709 454698 458689 465677 469668 474663
      476657 477656
 0.50 478165 478159 475155 473151 471147 468144 463143 459145
      458150 459155 461160 464163 467166 472167 476166 478165
 0.50 460235 459234 457234 455235 453235 451236 450236 448236
      448237 449239 451239 453239 454239 456239 458238 460237
      460236 460235
 0.50 459178 458177 456173 455170 453168 450168 449170 448175
      449178 450183 451184 453184 457182 458180 459178
 0.50 456113 457103 455098 453095 450094 446097 449102 451107
      447106 444104 441104 436107 437110 440111 447113 452115
      456113
 0.50 430243 430240 428238 425236 420234 415233 411234 407236
      407239 411242 415244 420245 423246 428245 430243
 0.50 427170 427169 427168 426165 424164 424165 424167 425169
      427170 427170
 0.50 384036 384029 383024 379016 378012 377006 376000 373997
      369001 365010 364016 365021 367025 366030 366034 368039
      370042 376042 380042 383038 384036
 0.50 372914 373910 371908 364909 355913 346917 337921 328928
      326931 325935 326938 332938 337936 346931 355926 364921
      371914 372914
 1.00 486218 485215 484214 482213 480212 479212 477212 475213
      474214 473216 473217 475217 477217 478217 480217 482217
      483217 485218 486218
 1.00 496804 494802 491803 486812 482819 477829 474837 472843
      472850 470860 464868 461875 458888 457899 457903 460901
      470888 478870 487853 491844 493838 493833 496807 496804
 1.00 465662 464659 461659 453662 447668 442674 437680 430687
      415694 410700 407710 405717 407723 410725 416723 424719
      430715 438709 443704 448697 456682 459674 464665 465662
 1.00 447221 447220 445218 443218 442219 440219 440220 441222
      443223 444223 445223 446222 447221
 1.00 391931 391930 389929 387930 387931 387933 389933 391931
      391931
 1.00 384936 382934 379934 373938 370942 366945 362949 361956
      362963 364963 365961 368956 372951 377949 380944 384938
      384936
 1.00 351921 348920 346921 343923 341924 339926 336928 335930
      337931 339929 342928 344926 346925 348923 351921
 1.50 453676 453673 450673 446677 440686 434694 425700 419707
      417713 416715 418716 424714 430711 433709 438705 444697
      449688 451683 453676 453676
 2.00 447688 446686 443691 443692 445691 447688
 2.00 434703 434701 432701 430701 429702 428702 427703 425704
      424706 423708 424710 426710 428709 429708 431707 432706
      433705 434703 434703


$$





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