Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 250811
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
310 AM EST SAT NOV 25 2017


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID NOV 25/1200 UTC THRU NOV 28/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1

...GREAT LAKES INTO NORTHEAST...

A COLD FRONT WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TODAY WITH JUST
SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE. BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL SEE SOME LAKE EFFECT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...ALONG WITH
WITH SOME OROGRAPHIC LIGHT RAIN/SNOW INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. MODEL SOLUTIONS WERE
GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE DAY 1 PERIOD...WITH JUST
SOME MINOR QPF DIFFERENCES. WPC THUS UTILIZED A MULTI MODEL
BLEND...WITH THE MOST WEIGHT GIVEN TO THE HIGH RES MODELS TO GIVE
A BETTER DEPICTION OF THE LAKE EFFECT AND OROGRAPHIC PRECIPITATION.

...NORTHERN CA INTO PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

AN INTENSIFYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DRIVE AN ATMOSPHERIC
RIVER NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH TODAY. LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL HAVE A LARGE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT...AND THUS THE
CORE OF THE MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION TOTALS
ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF OUR AREA INTO SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA.
HOWEVER STILL LIKELY TO HAVE A BROAD AREA OF SHOWERS LIFT NORTH
WITH THE WARM FRONT ACROSS WESTERN OR/WA TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
LIKELY TO GET SOME DECENT TOTALS OVER THE OLYMPICS AND NORTHERN
CASCADES...WITH 1-2" APPEARING PROBABLE THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY. ACROSS
THIS REGION WPC QPF LEANED TOWARDS THE HIGH RES CONSENSUS...WHICH
GENERALLY RESULTED IN AN UPTICK IN AMOUNTS OVER THE FAVORED
TERRAIN OF THE OLYMPICS AND NORTHERN WA CASCADES.

LIKELY TO HAVE AN ARM OF THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EXTEND EASTWARD
INTO NORTHERN CA AS WELL BY TONIGHT. SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES EXIST
WITH THE EXACT LOCATION AND MAGNITUDE OF THIS INCREASED MOISTURE
TRANSPORT. THE 0Z GFS IS THE FURTHEST SOUTH SOLUTION...WITH THE
12Z ECMWF ONE OF THE FURTHEST NORTH. WPC PREFERRED A MIDDLE GROUND
CONSENSUS SOLUTION FOR THIS PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS BEST
RESEMBLED BY THE 0Z UKMET AND HRW ARW2. SHOULD END UP WITH AN AXIS
OF BETWEEN 0.5-1" THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY OVER A PORTION OF NORTHERN
CA...WITH A MAJORITY FALLING IN THE 6Z-12Z WINDOW.



DAYS 2/3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST...

A POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE WEST COAST
DURING DAY 2...AND SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM THE LONG WAVE
TROUGH INTERACTS WITH DEEP PACIFIC MOISTURE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSES THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST DURING DAY 3. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT
WITH THE TIMING OF THE MID LEVEL SYSTEM...AS WELL AS THE PLACEMENT
OF THE HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS. WITH THIS IN MIND...THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM THE LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING
THE WEST COAST CROSSES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DURING THE FIRST PART
OF DAY 2. AS THE SHORT WAVE APPROACHES THE COAST...A 40 TO 60 KNOT
LOW LEVEL SOUTH SOUTHWEST FLOW TRANSPORTS 0.75/1.00 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR OVER WESTERN WA. THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST FLOW
FOCUSES THE MOISTURE ON THE OLYMPIC RANGE IN WESTERN WA (WHICH
BENEFITS THE MOST FROM A SOUTH SOUTHWEST FLOW)...AND THE
COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT RESULTS IN
1.50 INCH QPF AMOUNTS HERE.

THE LOW LEVEL FLOW THEN TRANSPORTS THE DIMINISHED PACIFIC MOISTURE
ON THE WA CASCADES. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES FOCUSEd ON THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE RIDGE...WHERE THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL
SIGNAL FOR 1.50/2.00 INCHES OF QPF HERE...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS
(1.00 TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF) DOWN THROUGH THE SOUTHERN WA CASCADES.

DAY 3...
THE NEXT SHORT OF SHORT WAVE ENERGY CROSSES THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
LATE ON DAY 3. THE BEST LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED
BETWEEN 28/06Z AND 28/12Z...WHICH COINCIDES WITH THE BEST LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MARGINAL INSTABILITY
DURING THIS TIME (DUE AT LEAST IN PART TO STEEPENING LAPSE RATES).
THE COMBINATION OF UPSLOPE FLOW...SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT AND
MARGINAL INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF
QPF OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OVER NORTHERN WA.


...NORTHERN ROCKIES/GREAT BASIN/CA...

A POSITIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE WEST COAST
DURING DAY 2...AND SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM THE LONG WAVE
TROUGH INTERACTS WITH DEEP PACIFIC MOISTURE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. THE LONG WAVE TROUGH COMES ASHORE ALONG THE
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CA COAST LATE ON DAY 2 INTO EARLY DAY
3...WHEN IT TRACKS TO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AS IT CLOSES OFF.
THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE
MID LEVEL SYSTEM...AS THE 00Z ECMWF SPED UP ITS SOLUTION ON DAY 3
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST STATES. BECAUSE OF THIS...THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF/GFS.

DAY 2...
AS THE LONG WAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE WEST COAST DURING DAY
2...SHORT WAVE ENERGY EJECTED FROM THE TROUGH FOCUSES MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH A MODIFIED ATMOSPHERIC RIVER OVER NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL CA DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE PERIOD. THE LOW LEVEL
SOUTHWEST FLOW INITIALLY TRANSPORTS DEEP MOISTURE (WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.00/1.25 INCHES...WHICH ABOUT TWO
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN) TO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CA
COASTAL RANGE...WHERE THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 1.25 TO
1.75 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS NEAR THE NORTHWEST
CA/SOUTHWEST OR BORDER.

AS THE BRANCH OF THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER DROPS SOUTH ALONG THE CA
COAST...THE 30 KNOT LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW BECOMES ALMOST
PERPENDICULAR TO THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE...MAINLY AFTER 26/18Z.
THE STRONG UPSLOPE FLOW AND DEEP MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
AN AXIS OF 2.00 TO 3.00 INCHES OF QPF OVER THE FAVORED UPSLOPE
AREAS OF THE SIERRA NEVADA RANGE. LOWERING SNOW LEVELS AND
RELATIVELY HIGH THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES SHOULD
MITIGATE THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT ON DAY 2.

AS THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY REACHES THE NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING THE
LAST PART OF DAY 2...THE MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED WITH IT IS NOT
AS ROBUST AS IT IS EXPECTED TO OVER THE CA COAST.
HOWEVER...UPSLOPE FLOW (FOCUSED BY LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM OR INTO ID) AND
SYNOPTIC SCALE ASCENT WILL MAKE THE MOST OF THE MOISTURE IN THE
COLUMN. THERE WAS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL FOR 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF
QPF EXTENDING ALONG THE BITTERROOT RANGE IN ID.

DAY 3...
AHEAD OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH CROSSING CENTRAL CA EARLY ON DAY
3...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO FOCUS ON THE SIERRA NEVADA
RANGE. AN ADDITIONAL 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED HERE
BEFORE THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW WEAKENS AS IT DROPS SOUTH ACROSS
SOUTHERN CA.

THE LONG WAVE TROUGH EVOLVES INTO A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW AS IT
CROSSES THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION BY THE END OF
DAY 3. THE BEST LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM
IS AUGMENTED BY DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF A 90 KNOT
JET STREAK CROSSING AZ INTO UT/WESTERN CO. THE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ALONG A FRONT BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM EASTERN CA
ACROSS CENTRAL NV INTO NORTHWEST WY HELPS TO FOCUS THE MOISTURE
REMAINING IN THE COLUMN. QPF AMOUNTS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY RANGE
FROM 0.75 INCHES OVER THE GRAND TETONS IN WY TO AMOUNT 0.25 INCHES
OF QPF OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NV.


...NORTHEAST...

SHORT WAVE ENERGY OVER WESTERN ONTARIO (ALONG WITH ITS ATTENDANT
SURFACE LOW) CROSSES THE NORTHEAST DURING DAY 2...DROPPING INTO A
NEGATIVELY TILTED LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES
LATE IN THE PERIOD. LIMITED MOISTURE SHOULD RESULT IN GENERALLY
LIGHT QPF AMOUNTS. THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH
THE SYNOPTIC SETUP...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE
00Z ECMWF/GFS.

MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN AHEAD OF A SHORT WAVE TRACKING FROM WESTERN
ONTARIO INTO NEW ENGLAND DURING THE FIRST PART OF DAY 2 IS FAIRLY
LIMITED...SO QPF ALONG THE TRACK IS GENERALLY LIMITED TO 0.10
INCHES OR LESS. HOWEVER...BEHIND THE SHORT WAVE...THE BOUNDARY
LAYER FLOW BECOMES MORE CONDUCIVE FOR LAKE ENHANCED PRECIPITATION
DOWNWIND OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE FETCH BACKS WITH TIME...SO THE FLOW
DOES NOT HAVE THE RUN OF THE LONG AXIS OF THE LAKE. THE LAKE
ENHANCEMENT COULD RESULT IN QPF AMOUNTS NEAR 0.25 INCHES OF QPF
HERE.


CHENARD/HAYES


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML



24HR QP VT 26/12Z
 0.01 548172 545167 546158 544153 540151 533155 529162 526163
      524162 520158 508155 502149 497143 489134 485131 482130
      477130 474127 471125 469130 470133 474138 476143 472146
      469145 466141 462133 461131 458130 453132 453140 454152
      449160 448166 446172 441184 439190 438194 440205 444206
      448210 446214 442211 433212 428211 426213 424220 421224
      419227 418225 418217 418213 415211 412211 408212 404212
      401210 399212 398220 393221 389223 381227 375232 368238
      365242 360244 354242 350243 345247 329262 335268 337267
      339268 341268 343267 345267 347266 349266 351265 353265
      354267 354268 356268 357270 356273 356275 356277 355279
      356282
 0.01 545928 546917 545907 543895 540879 536869 531856 524851
      520847 517843 512835 507831 504833 499840 496845 495852
      494858 495863 496871 498878 501891 508913 518934 523937
      528941 531942 536942 539939 542933 545928
 0.01 513723 512707 511698 509693 507685 505680 503676 502668
      501661 502658 497655 487649 482651 479654 473647 465644
      455648 449652 444659 441665 435671 432674 430678 431682
      430685 431691 429696 431700 441700 446698 447698 449700
      449706 447710 443711 440714 439719 441723 438727 434726
      429727 425731 424734 426736 431736 434733 438733 443732
      446734 434743 428744 424742 421742 419747 419757 422760
      423768 419775 415780 412782 409779 404783 401786 396788
      388793 381800 377808 376810 381811 391808 395808 399809
      401811 404815 408823 410826 412826 414824 416821 420820
      422821 423824 424830 428840 430841 432844 430847 424846
      420846 418851 417859 420863 425862 429860 433862 440866
      444865 447863 449861 451857 454855 456852 455848 456842
      454832 451829 448824 450818 453814 461811 464804 465799
      465793 460787 458783 458778 461776 467775 476772 485766
      491760 497755 503749 507744 510737 512728 513723
 0.01 484225 484224 483222 481221 481222 482224 482225 484227
      484225
 0.01 474865 473859 472855 468846 464839 461844 460849 458859
      459866 460871 462877 462883 461889 461893 464899 465900
      468895 470890 470878 471870 473868 474865
 0.01 458197 458195 459192 459190 458188 456189 456192 456194
      455196 457199 458197
 0.01 459108 458106 455100 453097 450096 450097 447102 446106
      445113 445118 448121 451122 456120 455118 455114 457111
      459108
 0.01 450836 450830 448829 443825 437825 432821 430819 427822
      427827 429831 431835 430838 432842 433840 435842 439846
      443845 444843 449838 450836
 0.01 427230 427228 426226 425225 423227 423229 422229 421231
      422232 424232 425232 427230
 0.01 440796 439792 437794 434797 432797 429800 427800 424801
      424805 426807 429807 433805 435804 438802 439798 440796
 0.01 416064 414064 416064 416064
 0.01 412071 412068 410066 408065 407065 405067 405068 407068
      408068 410068 412071 412071
 0.01 406058 405058 404058 402056 402055 400055 402058 404058
      405058 406058
 0.01 303975 303973 301974 299975 297978 295981 295983 293987
      293989 295989 297988 299985 299983 301981 301977 303975
 0.01 295855 295848 292844 290839 288835 283834 279832 271830
      264830 260829 254830 251832 245831 241828 238826 237820
      239818 239814 236812 233814 231817 229822 230825 229828
      229838 229846 230851 233854 235858 236865 239870 246872
      264872 276870 281869 283867 291860 295855
 0.01 282997 282989 281985 279980 278974 278960 276954 272953
      267955 263956 258959 254961 248963 248968 249973 251978
      255982 259984 262986 268987 273997 276999 280999 282997
 0.25 461329 463327 465326 467325 469324 472323 475322 477322
      480321 482321 486321 487321 490320 492321 494322 497323
      499324 525255 522245 518237 511225 506216 504213 500209
      494206 489201 487200 482200 476204 471208 465210 461210
      458213 456216 456220 456228 451232 444235 441237 439242
      437245 434247 431246 430243 423238 418236 414234 414228
      415223 415219 412217 405222 404224 404227 406231 406234
      404231 402228 399227 392230 389230 387229 385232 382240
      380243 381245 385248 390249 398250 407252 411257 412261
      409265 403269 398272 393277 390280 386286 385293 384300
 0.25 532203 529194 527187 523179 522175 520176 512174 507172
      503173 504176 508183 512189 517196 521202 523206 526209
      530208 531204 532203
 0.25 489229 489225 488223 484221 481219 480218 478220 478222
      479225 480228 481231 482234 484235 486234 488231 489229
 0.25 454725 454724 454723 452723 451723 449724 447726 447727
      448728 449728 450728 451729 453728 454725 454725
 0.25 440757 439755 437755 435755 434756 434757 432757 430758
      429759 429762 430764 431766 431767 432768 433769 435768
      436765 436763 437761 438760 439759 440757
 0.25 271855 271849 269847 268842 265841 257842 250844 245844
      241845 239848 238852 242857 247861 255864 262861 269857
      271855
 0.50 453325 457323 461322 465321 468320 472318 475316 478314
      482312 486311 489310 493310 496309 500308 504306 505307
      520269 520259 518252 514240 512233 508227 503218 482204
      477209 477213 479215 484219 487221 492223 492232 485238
      482238 481234 478228 474228 471231 469235 468235 465233
      462234 459239 458247 455255 451259 443265 432268 422272
      413278 405285 403290 401295 401306
 0.50 470220 471218 471216 470213 469212 468212 467214 466217
      467219 467222 469221 470220
 0.50 462221 463218 463216 461217 461218 461219 461220 462221
      462221
 0.50 412226 413224 413221 411221 409222 408222 407222 406224
      407227 408228 410230 411228 412226 412226
 0.50 403240 402237 402236 400235 400234 399233 397232 395232
      393232 391232 389233 389234 387236 387238 387240 388241
      390242 391243 393243 395243 395242 397242 399242 400242
      401241 403240
 0.50 260852 260850 259850 258850 257850 256851 256852 256853
      258853 260852 260852
 1.00 516267 516260 515256 513248 506233 499219 496218 494221
      494230 498239 498245 496246 493244 491242 487241 485243
      483252 484257 483263 482270 483274 484278 486281 493286
      500289 503288 506286 510278 513271 516267
 1.00 489218 490216 490213 489212 487212 486213 486215 486218
      487218 488219 489218
 1.00 481244 481241 480239 480236 479233 478231 478230 476230
      475231 474232 473234 472236 472239 472241 473243 474244
      476245 478245 479245 481244 481244
 1.00 446308 447305 447303 447302 446302 445302 444301 443301
      442302 440303 438305 436306 436309 437310 438311 440311
      442311 444310 445310 446309 446308
 1.50 510257 510249 507243 504237 502231 499225 496221 495228
      496234 500240 503246 506251 509257 510257
 1.50 504278 504272 503267 502262 500256 498252 495249 491246
      488249 489254 489260 491266 494269 497273 499277 503279
      504278
 1.50 478238 479236 478233 478232 476231 475232 474233 474234
      474237 475240 476240 477240 478238
 2.00 499269 499264 499261 498258 496255 495251 492250 490250
      490253 490258 491260 492264 495267 496268 499269
 2.00 477238 478236 478234 477233 476232 475234 475237 475238
      477238 477238
 3.00 495259 495257 495256 493256 494259 494260 495259

24HR QP VT 27/12Z
 0.01 485615 493616 498620 503628 506640 506643 506647 505657
      502665 500670 497674 492680 490683 485685 483688 482694
      482700 484705 486707 487713 486715 482716 469707 463713
      462720 462731 460740 458748 456752 458753 460751 463750
      466752 471756 476764 480771 484781 488788 491796 497800
      503805 506808 508812 511820 513824 514830 515836 516843
      516854 516865 513874 509882 505888 502891 498891 492886
      483874 475860 473858 470858 468856 466853 466846 462837
      457831 450815 446805 445795 445787 442784 442781 441780
      438784 436787 434785 432774 425777 426775 425769 425763
      423758 420748 420744 423741 432740 434735 430734 426734
      423732 426724 432724 435722 437718 441710 452698 451692
      447690 443693 440694 431697 426693 420690 418678 421661
      419655 419648 419642 421638 423636
 0.01 525257 525251 526244 530234 534223 538212 540199 541192
      541185 541178 540173 539167 536163 524150 517144 510139
      493131 489129 487125 483115 481110 479107 476103 473100
      469097 465096 454094 444092 438088 433087 430087 428089
      424089 422093 422098 425104 423108 422114 423117 422120
      421125 421131 424131 436115 437118 437121 435126 430132
      430140 428146 423153 412168 406173 399177 395177 391179
      381180 377181 371180 366179 362180 356185 354192 351194
      344197 343201 345205 348208 347212 348215 347217 344220
      337225 331232 328236 327241 328246 325250 324255 326259
      336263 345261 352259 372285 382288 391295 397300 407304
      416302 418299 420292 421288 421282 423277 428277 435284
      438285 440288 456301 460301 465303 475307 484310 492310
      500306 506301 511295 516283 521268
 0.01 281958 281947 279944 276943 274945 273950 265949 258949
      252952 249955 245953 242951 239953 237959 234961 231963
      231968 235975 237978 242979 250981 264987 272990 276991
      277989 279985 278982 273982 271981 271978 274971 279964
      281958
 0.01 277838 277828 276817 275809 270804 266804 263805 259811
      258814 258819 254825 251823 249820 247813 243805 242795
      243787 246779 247776 247772 241770 229777 223782 221785
      222790 223799 226807 229812 230817 230820 227837 225845
      225855 225863 227870 232886 237890 241891 244889 250886
      255881 261876 265872 269866 273859 277838
 0.25 534206 535200 534192 531180 529175 525169 520162 514155
      502150 489135 483134 477134 473135 470138 466136 462136
      457137 454141 451144 448142 445138 440139 436143 436150
      438157 441161 444166 446172 445182 445189 449192 453193
      457191 471181 475180 481183 490190 487196 484199 476204
      468207 459210 448212 437211 429209 424208 419204 399196
      395193 389191 377188 371187 368189 366193 366200 368205
      368211 362220 356230 354234 353242 355245 360247 370245
      378245 382252 390257 389261 389267 393277 398286 401291
      402293 405293 405286 405281 403269 402264 403260 414259
      423257 433256 441254 446253 452253 461255 472260 477263
      481267 486274 492282 497284 502283 510280 516272 519268
      521262 521250 518236 515225 513218 511212 505204 501201
      498196 492194 493193 499194 502193 507194 513196 519202
      524215 526220 529221 533213 534206
 0.25 498641 497636 494632 487629 480626 475627 470629 465637
      460644 459649 460655 464657 468657 476658 485658 490656
      494653 496649 498644 498641
 0.25 482145 482143 482142 480141 479142 478144 480145 481146
      482145
 0.25 257862 257848 255843 252838 245833 241830 236832 233836
      232842 230852 229859 230866 232872 234876 237880 243881
      247878 251875 256866 257862
 0.50 533201 533193 530186 528181 524176 518165 514160 509159
      504161 498160 488164 473149 468147 461145 457149 452151
      445149 442149 441151 442157 447162 469164 475163 481165
      486167 489173 492178 494181 498181 511186 515187 520191
      523197 525206 527210 529212 531211 533201
 0.50 518265 519256 518249 515237 512226 510220 508214 504210
      500207 490203 486202 482204 474210 456216 445215 437216
      427219 423221 419217 416213 411209 403202 395196 385193
      375191 372192 371195 373200 377204 378206 377210 374213
      371217 365228 360235 364238 369237 374236 380237 386238
      390241 398248 404251 408251 419251 428250 432248 438245
      455243 466244 477248 483250 487253 492262 495267 499271
      504270 509271 515270 518265
 0.50 494238 493235 492232 491232 490231 489229 489228 488226
      487225 486225 484224 483224 484226 484227 484230 485232
      486233 488235 489236 490237 491238 492238 494238 494238
 0.50 458180 458177 456175 454175 453176 454178 455179 456179
      457180 458180
 0.50 455172 455171 454169 453168 453169 454171 455172 455172
 0.50 251859 250853 246847 243844 239845 238848 235852 233858
      233864 234870 238874 241875 243873 247869 249865 251859
 1.00 514250 512239 507227 503217 500213 494210 484210 482213
      483217 486221 494229 499239 504249 509259 511262 513255
      514250
 1.00 481244 482242 482239 481237 481235 480234 479233 478232
      476232 474233 473234 472235 471236 471238 472239 473241
      473242 475243 476244 478244 479244 481244
 1.00 449222 449219 447219 443220 441220 438221 436222 434222
      434225 436225 439225 442225 444224 447224 449222
 1.00 430243 429238 427236 420231 417230 417225 417220 415216
      404207 398203 389199 383196 379197 378200 383206 388211
      394216 401220 406224 410230 411233 409234 402235 399238
      401241 405243 409243 418246 425246 430243
 1.50 504236 504231 503225 501221 498217 496214 492214 487215
      487218 489222 493225 495228 498232 501236 504236
 1.50 426240 426239 425238 423237 422236 421235 420235 418235
      416235 415236 414237 413238 414239 415240 417241 419242
      420243 422243 424242 425241 426240 426240
 1.50 416225 415219 410215 405212 401208 394205 389203 385203
      389208 393212 398215 404219 407222 412227 415227 416225
 2.00 499227 498224 498221 496221 495223 496225 497226 497227
      499227 499227
 2.00 415224 415222 415221 413220 411219 411218 410218 408217
      407217 408220 409221 410223 411223 412225 414225 415224
 2.00 401211 400210 399209 397209 395208 393209 395210 396212
      398213 400212 401211

24HR QP VT 28/12Z
 0.01 557023 557007 557994 557979 555968 555955 553947 550938
      547932 549907 548895 545884 546874 546861 543839 541833
      541826 539823 538817 537801 534791 531783 528777 524770
      520765 517761 514759 508755 502753 495750 482748 469746
      460748 456754 453758 453763 454775 456779 457783 461790
      463797 467804 470846 470855 474863 477869 479872 479877
      479885 480889 478892 478904 478911 479915 477923 474930
      472934 472939 471942 471947 471959 472965 475967 479967
      482965 488961 494957 497955 499958 503964 504967 507970
      512975 518981 523986 527995 530003 532013 533017 533022
      531032 528039 524050 523058 525062 529068 535073 537075
      539073 543068 546060 550055 553046 555037 556033 556027
      557023
 0.01 542198 537189 533179 529172 524165 511153 500144 494139
      489133 485128 480125 474121 471115 472102 472096 471093
      458079 451073 446068 439064 435063 433061 426056 423057
      423060 431073 435075 437078 441083 444089 436089 430086
      426085 425087 423091 423094 420097 415092 410091 407093
      405095 404099 403107 403110 400110 395110 391111 384108
      380108 378110 375113 372115 365117 361121 361123 363127
      363134 361139 369140 371144 371147 366154 364159 365162
      369161 369165 364170 360172 358176 356180 352182 349184
      348181 346173 345168 343166 335163 329164 325167 313174
      308179 310182 321184 325187 331188 338192 342195 344199
      347218 349224 353232 358237 366239 372238 378236 387226
      399229 403225 403222 402218 398215 397211 398208 401205
      405199 424189 427182 429171 429154 432153 436154 440159
      445166 448170 450176 452178 456177 455171 456164 459161
      467163 481170 486179 490186 500194 511202 515203 518206
      521208 523211 528218 530223 530229 528233 525232 521230
      514223 510215 505208 502206 497203 490198 479201 473203
      469205 463208 459207 457209 451214 444217 431219 429221
      431224 436226 441225 450228 454229 453233 446234 440236
      436236 432238 427244 426249 428251 433252 434254 439261
      444265 453269 459273 462276 463279 460288 460294 462299
      467307 476311 480313 485313 499310 504307 509299 512291
      516281 522262 532227 542198
 0.01 492160 490155 489152 488150 486149 483145 481144 478142
      475142 473144 473147 476149 478149 479152 482155 484156
      485159 488162 492160
 0.01 459724 459717 458712 455705 452703 448704 443708 439716
      441718 441721 440723 437729 443733 448734 452736 455735
      458729 459724
 0.01 434761 434759 432754 431752 429747 428745 427743 425741
      423743 423746 424751 425753 426758 428760 429764 431765
      433764 434761
 0.01 418130 417126 414123 412120 408119 405123 402123 401120
      399120 393124 388130 385132 385135 388137 392138 398136
      402136 404138 409139 411138 415136 416132 418130
 0.01 416066 416052 413052 411049 406049 394047 387047 383049
      379051 378058 383067 382083 384088 387091 391089 395085
      399076 410073 414071 416066
 0.01 300783 298777 293776 288776 286779 283790 282793 279794
      275792 268793 265794 265796 266798 270799 274800 279801
      281804 285810 288813 295812 298809 300798 300783 300783
 0.01 262854 262843 261839 259837 253840 250843 246837 245829
      244820 246815 250801 252795 251788 248786 248782 250776
      252771 254769 254765 253761 250759 243760 238763 235768
      230774 226779 222783 221788 219803 217806 218810 218818
      219828 221835 224849 225859 226866 228873 232877 235879
      239879 244878 246876 250873 254869 259860 262854
 0.01 263958 263947 261945 259945 255947 250953 246955 245959
      239964 232969 232972 235975 244978 248979 252978 256975
      258972 261964 263958
 0.25 519260 519251 518244 513233 506221 499213 495207 489205
      484206 480208 476213 474216 476219 486224 489230 484230
      475227 470231 466236 459245 471268 474282 475290 477294
      482300 485302 488303 496299 506291 510287 512282 517270
      519260
 0.25 528854 528846 528838 527831 525828 521828 518829 514835
      512841 512848 514858 508877 508892 508897 509900 507913
      504921 503927 504934 505937 509937 520927 522922 524918
      526909 527902 526897 523886 525876 526862 528854
 0.25 457103 455097 450094 445094 439096 434100 433108 433114
      435117 438119 442115 448114 452110 456105 457103
 0.25 433097 432094 431093 429093 428093 427094 429095 431097
      432098 433097
 0.25 422157 422155 422153 422152 420151 419152 417154 415156
      414156 414158 414160 416161 417162 419161 421159 421157
      422157
 0.25 408168 407164 405163 400162 392163 389163 387165 385180
      382183 379183 374181 367181 361182 358185 358189 363193
      371203 379204 385205 388202 388198 387193 389191 391189
      392184 396179 401176 406172 408168
 0.25 248861 248854 247849 243841 242837 241831 239820 237817
      233820 230826 229831 230834 230844 229851 229856 231862
      233864 239871 245865 248861
 0.50 515269 517260 516254 513243 508233 503226 500221 496218
      489213 484213 482213 482216 488221 492226 493230 492235
      488234 476232 472233 470236 468240 469244 472249 476257
      479261 481267 485276 489286 492291 496292 504289 507286
      509282 515269
 0.50 450102 451100 450098 448097 446098 445099 444099 443099
      441099 439100 439101 439103 438105 438107 438110 438111
      440111 441110 442110 444110 445109 447107 447106 448104
      449103 450102
 0.50 381199 381195 379193 378191 375189 373187 371185 368185
      366185 362185 361188 362190 365193 366194 370196 372197
      375199 378200 381199
 0.50 240853 240851 240849 240847 239846 239845 238844 237843
      235844 234846 234848 233850 233852 233854 233856 234858
      236858 238858 238857 240855 240853
 1.00 508280 509270 510263 509259 508254 506251 501249 498249
      491244 486241 483242 482244 483247 487253 490260 493269
      495275 497280 501282 505284 508281 508280
 1.00 511249 511246 510244 509243 509242 508240 507239 506239
      505237 504236 503236 502238 503241 503244 504247 504249
      506249 507250 509250 511249
 1.50 505279 506273 504268 502263 499259 497255 494251 491249
      489250 491255 492261 493266 496270 497273 500278 505279
      505279
 2.00 504276 503273 502270 500267 499265 497262 496259 494259
      493264 495266 496268 498271 499274 501277 502278 504276

$$




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