River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 181612
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1108 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.27 ft at Dec-18 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     4.2/     4.0
.E2 :1219:/     3.7/     3.5/     3.3/     3.2
.E3 :1220:/     3.1/     3.0/     2.9/     2.8
.E4 :1221:/     2.7/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.77 ft at Dec-18 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     5.0/     5.3
.E2 :1219:/     5.5/     5.6/     5.6/     5.5
.E3 :1220:/     5.2/     4.9/     4.5/     4.1
.E4 :1221:/     3.7/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.47 ft at Dec-18 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.3
.E2 :1219:/     3.2/     3.1/     3.0/     3.0
.E3 :1220:/     2.9/     2.8/     2.7/     2.7
.E4 :1221:/     2.6/     2.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.05 ft at Dec-18 10:51 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     2.0/     1.8
.E2 :1219:/     1.7/     1.6/     1.5/     1.5
.E3 :1220:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4/     1.5
.E4 :1221:/     1.4/     1.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.78 ft at Dec-18 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.5
.E2 :1219:/     4.4/     4.4/     4.3/     4.3
.E3 :1220:/     4.3/     4.4/     4.3/     4.3
.E4 :1221:/     4.2/     4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.92 ft at Dec-18 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     3.8/     3.5
.E2 :1219:/     3.3/     3.1/     3.0/     3.0
.E3 :1220:/     2.9/     2.9/     3.0/     3.0
.E4 :1221:/     3.0/     2.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.45 ft at Dec-18 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     4.3/     4.2
.E2 :1219:/     4.0/     3.8/     3.6/     3.4
.E3 :1220:/     3.2/     3.1/     3.0/     2.9
.E4 :1221:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.31 ft at Dec-18 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     5.2/     5.1
.E2 :1219:/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0/     4.9
.E3 :1220:/     4.9/     4.9/     4.9/     4.9
.E4 :1221:/     4.9/     4.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 11.21 ft at Dec-18 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/    11.1/    11.0
.E2 :1219:/    10.8/    10.7/    10.6/    10.5
.E3 :1220:/    10.4/    10.3/    10.3/    10.2
.E4 :1221:/    10.1/    10.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 612.93 ft at Dec-18 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/   612.8/   612.5
.E2 :1219:/   612.1/   611.2/   610.3/   609.4
.E3 :1220:/   608.6/   608.1/   607.9/   607.8
.E4 :1221:/   607.7/   607.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 24.14 ft at Dec-18 10:00 am
:
.ER AVON6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/    24.2/    24.1
.E2 :1219:/    23.9/    23.6/    23.2/    22.8
.E3 :1220:/    22.4/    22.0/    21.4/    20.9
.E4 :1221:/    20.3/    19.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.70 ft at Dec-18 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.4
.E2 :1219:/     3.3/     3.2/     3.1/     3.0
.E3 :1220:/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9/     2.8
.E4 :1221:/     2.8/     2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.71 ft at Dec-18 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     2.7/     2.6
.E2 :1219:/     2.6/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4
.E3 :1220:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.2/     2.2
.E4 :1221:/     2.2/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.90 ft at Dec-18 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     7.8/     7.8
.E2 :1219:/     7.8/     7.6/     7.5/     7.3
.E3 :1220:/     7.1/     7.0/     6.8/     6.6
.E4 :1221:/     6.4/     6.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.00 ft at Dec-18 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     1.9/     1.8
.E2 :1219:/     1.8/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7
.E3 :1220:/     1.7/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6
.E4 :1221:/     1.6/     1.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/   687.6/   687.6
.E2 :1219:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E3 :1220:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E4 :1221:/   687.6/   687.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Crest 4.15 at Dec-22812 1pm
:
.ER CPNN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.5
.E2 :1219:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :1220:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :1221:/     3.5/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.36 ft at Dec-18 10:17 am
:
.ER BOON6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     5.4/     5.4
.E2 :1219:/     5.4/     5.4/     5.3/     5.2
.E3 :1220:/     5.1/     5.0/     5.0/     4.9
.E4 :1221:/     4.9/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.33 ft at Dec-18 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.4
.E2 :1219:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4/     3.3
.E3 :1220:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3/     3.2
.E4 :1221:/     3.2/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.95 ft at Dec-18 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20141218 E DC201412181108/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1218:       ::       ::/     4.4/     4.4
.E2 :1219:/     4.5/     4.5/     4.6/     4.6
.E3 :1220:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.6/     4.5
.E4 :1221:/     4.5/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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