River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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940
FGUS51 KTAR 271637
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1134 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.96 ft at Feb-27 11:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     4.0/     4.2
.E2 :0228:/     4.1/     4.0/     3.9/     4.0
.E3 :0301:/     4.3/     4.6/     5.1/     5.0
.E4 :0302:/     4.8/     4.7
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.77 ft at Feb-27 11:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.5
.E2 :0228:/     3.4/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2
.E3 :0301:/     3.2/     3.3/     3.6/     4.1
.E4 :0302:/     4.6/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.31/ 0.21/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.39 ft at Feb-27 11:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     6.4/     6.3
.E2 :0228:/     6.0/     5.6/     5.2/     4.8
.E3 :0301:/     4.6/     4.5/     4.5/     4.7
.E4 :0302:/     5.0/     5.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.42/ 0.15/ 0.10/ 0.11/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.30 ft at Feb-27 11:15 am
:Crest 7.20 at Mar-01 7pm
:
.ER GOWN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.6
.E2 :0228:/     3.8/     3.5/     3.3/     3.4
.E3 :0301:/     4.1/     4.6/     6.1/     7.2
.E4 :0302:/     6.2/     5.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.15/ 0.09/ 0.36/ 0.27/ 0.11/ 0.11/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.60 ft at Feb-27 11:15 am
:Crest 3.84 at Mar-01 1pm
:
.ER GDVN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     1.6/     1.7
.E2 :0228:/     1.5/     1.4/     1.3/     1.2
.E3 :0301:/     2.1/     2.3/     3.8/     3.7
.E4 :0302:/     3.4/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.14/ 0.09/ 0.40/ 0.22/ 0.11/ 0.11/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.40 ft at Feb-27 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     4.6/     4.5
.E2 :0228:/     4.4/     4.4/     4.3/     4.4
.E3 :0301:/     4.8/     5.0/     5.7/     5.9
.E4 :0302:/     5.5/     5.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.42/ 0.20/ 0.11/ 0.11/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.41 ft at Feb-27 11:00 am
:Crest 6.80 at Mar-01 7pm
:
.ER EBZN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.6
.E2 :0228:/     3.6/     3.5/     3.4/     3.3
.E3 :0301:/     3.7/     4.6/     6.2/     6.8
.E4 :0302:/     5.7/     5.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.15/ 0.10/ 0.46/ 0.24/ 0.12/ 0.12/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.04 ft at Feb-27 11:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     3.0/     2.8
.E2 :0228:/     2.8/     2.7/     2.6/     2.6
.E3 :0301:/     2.6/     2.9/     3.0/     3.4
.E4 :0302:/     4.2/     4.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.45/ 0.17/ 0.11/ 0.11/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.54 ft at Feb-27 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     5.5/     5.5
.E2 :0228:/     5.4/     5.4/     5.4/     5.4
.E3 :0301:/     5.7/     5.8/     6.3/     6.7
.E4 :0302:/     6.5/     6.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.08/ 0.15/ 0.23/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.90 ft at Feb-27 11:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/    11.0/    11.0
.E2 :0228:/    11.0/    11.0/    10.9/    10.8
.E3 :0301:/    11.0/    11.2/    11.7/    12.3
.E4 :0302:/    12.5/    12.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.21/ 0.26/ 0.09/ 0.10/ 0.03/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 616.99 ft at Feb-27 11:00 am
:Crest 628.24 at Mar-04 1am
:
.ER MMDN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/   617.1/   616.7
.E2 :0228:/   616.2/   615.6/   615.0/   614.1
.E3 :0301:/   613.1/   612.5/   612.7/   614.2
.E4 :0302:/   617.3/   620.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.08/ 0.22/ 0.24/ 0.09/ 0.11/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 25.56 ft at Feb-27 11:15 am
:Crest 28.33 at Mar-02 7pm
:
.ER AVON6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/    25.6/    25.5
.E2 :0228:/    25.3/    25.2/    25.1/    25.0
.E3 :0301:/    25.0/    25.0/    25.4/    26.0
.E4 :0302:/    26.8/    27.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.08/ 0.22/ 0.20/ 0.09/ 0.11/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.20 ft at Feb-27 11:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     4.1/     4.1
.E2 :0228:/     4.2/     4.1/     4.0/     4.0
.E3 :0301:/     3.9/     4.1/     4.4/     4.7
.E4 :0302:/     4.9/     5.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.25/ 0.20/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:
.ER CHRN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.2
.E2 :0228:/     3.1/     3.0/     2.8/     2.8
.E3 :0301:/     2.7/     2.6/     2.7/     3.1
.E4 :0302:/     3.6/     4.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.29/ 0.15/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.23 ft at Feb-27 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/    10.1/    10.0
.E2 :0228:/     9.9/     9.8/     9.7/     9.7
.E3 :0301:/     9.6/     9.6/     9.8/    10.1
.E4 :0302:/    10.5/    10.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.09/ 0.24/ 0.16/ 0.09/ 0.11/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.68 ft at Feb-27 11:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     1.7/     1.6
.E2 :0228:/     1.6/     1.5/     1.4/     1.4
.E3 :0301:/     1.4/     1.5/     1.7/     1.9
.E4 :0302:/     2.0/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.08/ 0.20/ 0.20/ 0.09/ 0.10/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 688.14 ft at Feb-27 11:30 am
:
.ER CNDN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/   688.1/   688.1
.E2 :0228:/   688.1/   688.1/   688.1/   688.1
.E3 :0301:/   688.1/   688.1/   688.1/   688.1
.E4 :0302:/   688.2/   688.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.08/ 0.18/ 0.19/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.84 ft at Feb-27 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.8
.E2 :0228:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E3 :0301:/     4.8/     4.9/     4.9/     5.0
.E4 :0302:/     5.0/     5.0
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.48 ft at Feb-27 11:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     8.5/     8.2
.E2 :0228:/     8.0/     7.8/     7.6/     7.4
.E3 :0301:/     7.3/     7.5/     7.8/     8.4
.E4 :0302:/     8.9/     9.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.14/ 0.12/ 0.29/ 0.25/ 0.11/ 0.07/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 7.38 ft at Feb-27 10:30 am
:Crest 9.60 at Mar-02 1pm
:
.ER MCKN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     7.3/     7.0
.E2 :0228:/     6.6/     6.4/     6.1/     5.9
.E3 :0301:/     5.9/     6.1/     6.7/     7.8
.E4 :0302:/     8.8/     9.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.13/ 0.11/ 0.29/ 0.24/ 0.12/ 0.06/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.21 ft at Feb-27 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20170227 E DC201702271134/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0227:       ::       ::/     9.3/     9.4
.E2 :0228:/     9.4/     9.3/     9.1/     8.8
.E3 :0301:/     8.6/     8.4/     8.4/     8.4
.E4 :0302:/     8.4/     8.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.13/ 0.17/ 0.31/ 0.22/ 0.13/ 0.09/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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