River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 051651
RVFOHS
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
11:51am EST Thursday, March 5, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Owensboro - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 339.1 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Daviess County, KY
: Record River Stage     54.8 ft
: Major River Stage      49.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading not trusted, ignored.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 6PM EST on Sat, Mar 7
.AR OWBK2 20150311 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   42.3
: Crest near   42.3 ft around 2AM EDT on Wed, Mar 11
: Fall below flood level around 11AM EDT on Thu, Mar 12
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  19.7E
:     Mar 04   /  19.8E/  20.0E/  21.6 /  24.0E
:     Mar 05   /  25.9E/  24.4E/  22.4E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 22.4 ft at 811am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER OWBK2 20150305 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  29.2
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  31.6 /  33.8 /  35.1 /  36.2
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  37.5 /  38.3 /  39.0 /  39.6
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  40.0 /  40.5 /  40.7 /  40.9
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  41.2 /  41.3 /  41.5 /  41.6
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  41.8 /  41.9 /  42.0 /  42.2
.E7 : Mar 11 : /  42.2 /  42.3 /  42.2 /  42.0
.E8 : Mar 12 : /  41.7 /  41.2 /  40.5 /  39.6
.E9 : Mar 13 : /  38.4 /  37.3 /  36.3 /  35.4
.E10: Mar 14 : /  34.5 /  33.8 /  33.3 /  32.4
.E11: Mar 15 : /  31.5 /  30.7 /  30.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.32 /  0.72 /  0.69 /  0.38
:     Mar 05   /  0.28 /  0.33 /  0.20
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.01
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -1.4
:     Mar 03   /   3.8 /   0.1 /   0.8 /   4.4
:     Mar 04   /  11.4 /   8.9 /   5.3 /   2.0
:     Mar 05   /  -2.6 /  -6.7 /  -7.5 /  -7.5
:     Mar 06   /  -6.5 / -13.1 / -17.3 / -13.1
:     Mar 07   /  -4.0 /  -7.3 /  -9.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Newburgh Lock & Dam - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 330.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Warrick County, IN
: Record Tailwater Stage     56.6 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      56.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   48.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      38.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 7AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
.AR NBGI3 20150312 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFFX :crest:   44.7
: Crest near   44.7 ft around 2AM EDT on Thu, Mar 12
: Fall below flood level around 3AM EDT on Sun, Mar 15
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  19.3
:     Mar 04   /  19.2 /  19.7 /  21.7 /  24.3
:     Mar 05   /  27.1 /  29.4 /  31.2
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 32.4 ft at 1100am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER NBGI3 20150305 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  33.0
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  34.9 /  36.5 /  37.9 /  39.3
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  40.4 /  41.2 /  41.7 /  42.1
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  42.4 /  42.7 /  42.9 /  43.2
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  43.3 /  43.5 /  43.6 /  43.8
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  43.9 /  44.0 /  44.2 /  44.3
.E7 : Mar 11 : /  44.4 /  44.5 /  44.6 /  44.7
.E8 : Mar 12 : /  44.7 /  44.7 /  44.7 /  44.6
.E9 : Mar 13 : /  44.4 /  44.2 /  43.9 /  43.5
.E10: Mar 14 : /  43.0 /  42.3 /  41.5 /  40.4
.E11: Mar 15 : /  39.2 /  38.1 /  37.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     Mar 04   /  0.43 /  0.78 /  0.68 /  0.36
:     Mar 05   /  0.26 /  0.27 /  0.08
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.01
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -1.9
:     Mar 03   /   3.1 /  -0.0 /   1.0 /   4.0
:     Mar 04   /   9.6 /   7.9 /   4.6 /   1.2
:     Mar 05   /  -3.7 /  -7.1 /  -7.4 /  -7.6
:     Mar 06   /  -6.1 / -11.8 / -16.6 / -13.0
:     Mar 07   /  -4.3 /  -6.7 /  -9.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Evansville - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 329.18 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Vanderburgh County, IN
: Record River Stage     53.8 ft
: Major River Stage      52.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   48.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      42.0 ft
: Action River Stage     24.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR EVVI3 20150311 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:   41.9
: Crest near   41.9 ft around 2PM EDT on Wed, Mar 11
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  18.4
:     Mar 04   /  18.3 /  18.5 /  20.0 /  22.0
:     Mar 05   /  24.4 /  26.5 /  28.2
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 29.2 ft at 1100am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER EVVI3 20150305 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  29.2
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  30.7 /  32.3 /  33.6 /  34.9
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  35.9 /  36.9 /  37.6 /  38.3
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  38.8 /  39.2 /  39.6 /  40.0
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  40.3 /  40.6 /  40.8 /  41.0
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  41.1 /  41.3 /  41.4 /  41.5
.E7 : Mar 11 : /  41.6 /  41.8 /  41.8 /  41.9
.E8 : Mar 12 : /  41.9 /  41.8 /  41.7 /  41.4
.E9 : Mar 13 : /  41.1 /  40.6 /  39.8 /  38.8
.E10: Mar 14 : /  37.8 /  36.7 /  35.6 /  34.7
.E11: Mar 15 : /  33.7 /  32.7 /  31.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     Mar 04   /  0.39 /  0.87 /  0.66 /  0.40
:     Mar 05   /  0.24 /  0.25 /  0.05
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.01
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -1.3
:     Mar 03   /   2.9 /   0.9 /   1.6 /   4.5
:     Mar 04   /  10.3 /   8.1 /   4.7 /   1.1
:     Mar 05   /  -4.0 /  -7.1 /  -7.5 /  -7.4
:     Mar 06   /  -6.3 / -11.5 / -15.8 / -12.1
:     Mar 07   /  -4.1 /  -6.8 /  -9.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Mount Vernon - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 318.92 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Posey County, IN
: Record River Stage     59.2 ft
: Major River Stage      52.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      35.0 ft
: Action River Stage     28.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 3AM EST on Sat, Mar 7
.AR MTVI3 20150312 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   41.8
: Crest near   41.8 ft around 2AM EDT on Thu, Mar 12
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  24.9E
:     Mar 04   /  25.0E/  25.1E/  25.6 /  25.7E
:     Mar 05   /  27.0E/  28.2E/  28.3E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER MTVI3 20150305 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  28.6
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  29.1 /  29.9 /  31.0 /  32.2
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  33.4 /  34.6 /  35.6 /  36.5
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  37.3 /  38.1 /  38.5 /  38.9
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  39.2 /  39.6 /  39.9 /  40.1
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  40.4 /  40.6 /  40.8 /  41.0
.E7 : Mar 11 : /  41.2 /  41.3 /  41.5 /  41.6
.E8 : Mar 12 : /  41.7 /  41.8 /  41.8 /  41.8
.E9 : Mar 13 : /  41.8 /  41.7 /  41.5 /  41.2
.E10: Mar 14 : /  40.9 /  40.4 /  39.7 /  39.4
.E11: Mar 15 : /  39.0 /  38.4 /  37.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     Mar 04   /  0.40 /  0.84 /  0.67 /  0.41
:     Mar 05   /  0.21 /  0.23 /  0.04
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.00
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -1.3
:     Mar 03   /   3.0 /   0.2 /   1.5 /   4.5
:     Mar 04   /  10.1 /   8.0 /   4.6 /   1.0
:     Mar 05   /  -4.2 /  -7.2 /  -7.5 /  -7.8
:     Mar 06   /  -6.3 / -11.2 / -15.4 / -11.8
:     Mar 07   /  -3.9 /  -6.6 /  -9.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: J T Myers Dam - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 311.97 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Union County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     64.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      60.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      37.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     33.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 9AM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
.AR UNWK2 20150312 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH12/HTIFFX :crest:   41.7
: Crest near   41.7 ft around 8AM EDT on Thu, Mar 12
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  19.2
:     Mar 04   /  19.4 /  19.5 /  20.5 /  22.1
:     Mar 05   /  23.7 /  25.2 /  27.0
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 28.1 ft at 1100am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER UNWK2 20150305 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  27.3
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  27.8 /  28.5 /  29.4 /  30.5
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  31.7 /  32.9 /  33.9 /  34.9
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  35.6 /  36.3 /  36.9 /  37.4
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  37.9 /  38.4 /  38.9 /  39.3
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  39.7 /  40.0 /  40.3 /  40.5
.E7 : Mar 11 : /  40.8 /  41.0 /  41.2 /  41.3
.E8 : Mar 12 : /  41.5 /  41.6 /  41.7 /  41.7
.E9 : Mar 13 : /  41.7 /  41.7 /  41.5 /  41.3
.E10: Mar 14 : /  40.9 /  40.4 /  39.8 /  39.5
.E11: Mar 15 : /  39.1 /  38.7 /  38.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.35 /  0.88 /  0.64 /  0.52
:     Mar 05   /  0.22 /  0.26 /  0.07
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.00
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -1.5
:     Mar 03   /   3.3 /   0.3 /   1.7 /   4.8
:     Mar 04   /  10.2 /   8.1 /   4.8 /   0.9
:     Mar 05   /  -4.3 /  -7.2 /  -7.7 /  -8.0
:     Mar 06   /  -6.2 / -11.1 / -15.4 / -11.7
:     Mar 07   /  -3.8 /  -6.4 /  -9.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Shawneetown - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 309.07 ft (Ohio River)
: Gallatin County, IL
: Record River Stage     65.6 ft
: Major River Stage      53.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   43.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      33.0 ft
: Action River Stage     30.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 3AM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
.AR SHNI2 20150313 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   41.0
: Crest near   41.0 ft around 8PM EDT on Thu, Mar 12
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  18.5
:     Mar 04   /  18.8 /  19.2 /  19.8 /  20.9
:     Mar 05   /  22.2 /  23.4 /  25.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 25.2 ft at 1130am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER SHNI2 20150305 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  25.7
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  26.0 /  26.4 /  26.9 /  27.4
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  28.5 /  29.4 /  30.4 /  31.3
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  32.1 /  32.9 /  33.6 /  34.5
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  35.2 /  36.0 /  36.6 /  37.3
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  37.8 /  38.2 /  38.7 /  39.1
.E7 : Mar 11 : /  39.4 /  39.7 /  40.0 /  40.2
.E8 : Mar 12 : /  40.5 /  40.6 /  40.8 /  40.9
.E9 : Mar 13 : /  41.0 /  41.0 /  40.9 /  40.8
.E10: Mar 14 : /  40.5 /  40.1 /  39.5 /  39.3
.E11: Mar 15 : /  38.9 /  38.4 /  37.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.03
:     Mar 04   /  0.31 /  0.56 /  0.55 /  0.31
:     Mar 05   /  0.16 /  0.18 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.00
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -2.5
:     Mar 03   /   1.6 /  -0.5 /   1.2 /   3.7
:     Mar 04   /   8.3 /   7.0 /   3.8 /   0.3
:     Mar 05   /  -5.4 /  -7.2 /  -7.1 /  -7.6
:     Mar 06   /  -6.1 / -10.9 / -15.0 / -11.3
:     Mar 07   /  -3.2 /  -5.7 /  -8.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Golconda - Ohio River - PAH
: Zero Datum 294.6 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Pope County, IL
: Record River Stage     62.6 ft
: Major River Stage      55.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     36.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR GOLI2 20150312 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   38.6
: Crest near   38.6 ft around 2AM EDT on Thu, Mar 12
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03                           /  30.0
:     Mar 04   /  30.1 /  30.5 /  30.7 /  30.8
:     Mar 05   /  30.8 /  31.0 /  31.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 31.5 ft at 1100am EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER GOLI2 20150305 Z DC201503051651/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 05 :                         /  32.0
.E2 : Mar 06 : /  32.5 /  32.8 /  33.1 /  33.5
.E3 : Mar 07 : /  33.8 /  34.1 /  34.4 /  34.7
.E4 : Mar 08 : /  35.0 /  35.3 /  35.5 /  35.7
.E5 : Mar 09 : /  36.0 /  36.3 /  36.5 /  36.8
.E6 : Mar 10 : /  37.0 /  37.2 /  37.4 /  37.7
.E7 : Mar 11 : /  37.9 /  38.1 /  38.2 /  38.4
.E8 : Mar 12 : /  38.5 /  38.6 /  38.5 /  38.5
.E9 : Mar 13 : /  38.3 /  38.1 /  37.9 /  37.8
.E10: Mar 14 : /  37.4 /  37.2 /  37.1 /  37.1
.E11: Mar 15 : /  36.9 /  36.9 /  36.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 04   /  0.27 /  0.99 /  0.62 /  0.61
:     Mar 05   /  0.33 /  0.30 /  0.09
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 05                           /  0.00
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  -1.1
:     Mar 03   /   3.6 /   0.7 /   1.9 /   5.0
:     Mar 04   /   9.2 /   8.2 /   5.2 /   0.5
:     Mar 05   /  -4.7 /  -7.7 /  -8.1 /  -7.6
:     Mar 06   /  -6.0 / -11.3 / -16.0 / -12.2
:     Mar 07   /  -3.6 /  -6.1 /  -9.1
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Trent Schade
:...END of MESSAGE...




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