Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 241503
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/24/15 1503Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1445Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...WESTERN MISSOURI...EASTERN KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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EVENT...HIGH MOISTURE AND PARADE OF SHORT WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO MOISTEN
AND INCREASE RAINFALL ON TOP OF ALREADY MOIST SOIL FROM ABOVE NORMAL
RAINS OF THE PAST TWO WEEKS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...EXPERIMENTAL
CIRA/SPORT LAYERED PRECIPITABLE WATER LOOP THROUGH 12Z AT:
http://cat.cira.colostate.edu/sport/layered/blended/lpw.htm SHOWED WELL
DEFINED DEEPENING MOIST LAYERS THAT HAD RECENTLY EXPANDED NORTH/NE ACROSS
EASTERN KS AND WESTERN MISSOURI FROM ITS CURRENT C/E TEXAS ORIGINS.
THIS MOISTURE HAS ITS ORIGINAL ORIGINS FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND S
TX/WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND WAS HELPING TO CONTINUE FLOODING PROBLEMS
IN EASTERN TX/E OK AS PER LATEST METWATCH MESSAGE FOR THAT AREA.
AS A MATTER OF FACT...WILL PROBABLY HAVE THIS ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE
ENERGY SOUTH REINFORCING CURRENT INCREASING/EXPANDING MOISTURE AND RAIN
FOR LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.   BUT FOR NOW FOR EASTERN KS AND WESTERN
MISSOURI..DEALING WITH FAIRLY WEAK SHORT WAVE ENERGY LIFTING NORTH THROUGH
S CENTRAL KS TO NE OKLAHOMA AND HELPING TO EXPAND DEEP MOISTURE NORTH.
CURRENT 1.5"-1.75" NE KANSAS TO NORTHWEST MO TO SW MO AND
SE KS WILL BE INCREASING AS HIGHER PWAT MOISTURE (1.75"-2.0") OVER
EASTERN OK GETS ADVECTED NORTH WITH THE HELP OF THAT SHORT WAVE ENERGY
LIFTING NORTH.   LAYERED PW LOOP ALSO SHOWED A PRONOUNCED CONCENTRATION
OF MOISTURE ESPECIALLY AT THE 700-500MB LEVEL AND MAY SIGNAL A SEMI
PERMANENT BOUNDARY    CLOSE TO THE KS-MO BORDER FOR RAIN AND SHOWERS
TO GO ACROSS..AND THIS CURRENT BATCH IN SE KS/SW MO LIFTING NORTH IS
THE LEAD ACTIVITY.  WITH VIRTUALLY NO PUSH FROM UPSTREAM SYSTEMS (UPPER
LEVEL LOW/TROUGH NEAR THE CO-WYOMING BORDER NOT GOING EAST), THEN THAT
BOUNDARY SETTING UP WON`T ALSO BE GOING EAST VERY QUICKLY AS WELL.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1500-1800Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...EXPANDING/INCREASING RAINFALL FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
MOSTLY EASTERN KANSAS/WESTERN MISSOURI AS KS TO NE OK SHORT WAVE TROUGH
LIFTS NORTH AND HIGHER MOISTURE LIFTS NORTH AS WELL.   EXPECT AMOUNTS TO
BE LIGHT TO MODERATE/OCCASIONAL HVY RAIN..BUT ON ALREADY SATURATED SOILS
FROM THE PAST TWO WEEKS OF RAIN...CERTAINLY WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR AT
LEAST LOCALIZED URBAN TYPE FLOODING SE KANSAS/FAR SW MISSOURI THIS PERIOD
AND EXPAND NORTH TO NEAR NE KS/NW MISSOURI BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
MORE CONCERN WITH ADDITIONAL SHORT WAVE AND HIGHER MOISTURE NOW SOUTH
(IN CURRENT METWATCH AREA) AND THE POSSIBILITIES OF THAT MOISTURE MOVING
CLOSE TO THE AREA FOR LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 3955 9408 3700 9425 3726 9613 3899 9613
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