Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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639
WTPZ23 KNHC 241431
TCMEP3

HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082016
1500 UTC SUN JUL 24 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 124.6W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 124.6W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 124.2W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.7N 125.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.6N 127.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.4N 127.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.1N 128.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.9N 130.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 22.0N 133.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 23.0N 138.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 124.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





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