Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010831
TCMEP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092015
0900 UTC SAT AUG 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 137.4W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 240SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 137.4W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 136.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.9N 139.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.1N 144.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.8N 145.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.3N 148.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 19.0N 151.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 154.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N 137.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





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