Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 041751
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT JUL 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A small low pressure area located about 1200 miles east-southeast
of the Hawaiian Islands is producing poorly organized shower and
thunderstorm activity.  While this low still has some potential for
development, upper-level winds are expected to prevent formation
after the weekend. The low is forecast to move slowly
west-northwestward for the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure centered about 1400 miles southwest of Cabo San
Lucas Mexico are showing some signs of organization.  Environmental
conditions are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week while the system moves
west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake



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