Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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792
FNAK51 PAFC 080004
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
404 PM AKDT Tue May 7 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon/evening convection is expected from the western Kenai
north to the central Susitna Valley this evening. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms have been observed west of Big Lake and
are moving west northwest towards Skwentna. Shower coverage will
increase Wednesday afternoon/evening as an upper level disturbance
moves through. Following this disturbance will be a cold airmass,
which will drop snow levels below 500 to 1000 ft for Thursday
morning. Breezy afternoon gap winds will persist until a large
onshore push of southerly winds on Thursday.


AKZ101-081645-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
404 PM AKDT Tue May 7 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           60           70           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   36 (+5)      43-49 (+1)   30           35-41
RH % (24H TREND)   75-83 (-6)   47-67 (+8)   89-95        49-71
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 2-16      SW 2-6       S 4-15       LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3541                      5117
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  6                      SE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               19665                     40072
CWR                0            10           30           20
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           60           70           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   40 (+9)      55 (+1)      35           47
RH % (24H TREND)   84 (-12)     48-55 (+6)   84-92        53-60
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 0-11      SW 3-6       SW 2-11      NW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3918                      5659
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  6                      NW  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               25130                     33444
CWR                0            10           30           10
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-081645-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
404 PM AKDT Tue May 7 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           60           80           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   34 (+4)      42-48 (+2)   31           34-41
RH % (24H TREND)   67-73 (-11)  47-60 (+7)   85-92        50-66
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 0-8       LGT/VAR      S 3-10       LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4329                      5583
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  6                      SW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               22360                     38330
CWR                0            10           30           20
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           60           70           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   38 (+7)      55 (+1)      35           48
RH % (24H TREND)   75-85 (-13)  42-50 (+4)   85-92        46-55
20FTWND(MPH)       S 1-10       SW 2-7       S 2-9        LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4846                      6326
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  5                      W  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               32058                     59191
CWR                0            0            30           0
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-081645-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
404 PM AKDT Tue May 7 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           80           60           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   37 (+3)      45-52 (-1)   33           39-46
RH % (24H TREND)   80-86 (-3)   49-66 (+11)  78-86        51-64
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 2-12      SW 1-6       SW 2-8       N 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4619                      6379
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  6                     E  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               26732                     53091
CWR                0            20           20           30
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           60           40           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   39 (+4)      43-50 (-2)   34           46
RH % (24H TREND)   85-92 (0)    54-69 (+9)   83           56-64
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 1-8       SW 4-10      SW 7-13      N 4-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3599                      5194
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  8                     NE  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               19750                     43965
CWR                0            10           0            20
LAL                1            1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$