Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
785
FNUS53 KAPX 020843
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
443 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
...Showers tonight and Friday...
.DISCUSSION...Weak high pressure will cross northern Michigan,
providing quiet weather. A few showers could get going in northwest
lower Michigan late in the day. Showers and a few thunderstorms are
likely tonight and Friday. Light winds early today, will become
east and a touch stronger this afternoon. Humidity values today
will be lowest in northwest lower Michigan, but not as low as
yesterday. Expect a southeast breeze tonight, veering south and
southwest Friday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-022200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
443 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 48-53 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (341).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the southeast in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (82).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.31 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (321).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the west
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.21 in.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-022200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
443 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65...except around 50 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler...except 21 degrees cooler
near the coast.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter...except 36 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (208).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the east in the
afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (52).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.20 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (272).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the west in the
afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.23 in.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-022200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
443 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 43-48 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (400).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southeast around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (92).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.38 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except around 51 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 degrees cooler near the
coast.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (349).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.24 in.
$$
MIZ031>033-022200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
443 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 60-65 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 degrees warmer near the
coast.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (584).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southeast around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (86).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.29 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except around 61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 degrees cooler near the
coast.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent wetter...except 25 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (425).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph shifting to the
northwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.34 in.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-022200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
443 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (364).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the southeast in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.15 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (393).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the northwest
in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.27 in.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
$$
JZ