Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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Spot Forecast for MLR Stanley Hill...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
729 AM CDT Fri Mar 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 CDT on March 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Moisture is gradually increasing ahead of an approaching weather system.
This system will bring increasing rain chances at the wildfire site today
with highest rain chances during the afternoon. 20ft winds will increase
to around 10 to 15 mph from the east. Some showers may continue off and on
during the overnight hours with rain chances decreasing tomorrow morning.
Winds will become northerly overnight as the low pressure system passes by.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely early
                    in the afternoon, then showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................60 percent increasing to 90 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 23 to 26 mph.
Dispersion index....53 decreasing to 42 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........94     100    100
Weather cov.....LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............60     90     90
LAL.............1      1      1
Temp............61     60     60
RH..............67     75     75
20 FT wind......E 12   E 13   E 13
20 FT wind gust.18     18     18
20 FT wind dir..110    100    090
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   2500   2100
Transport wind..SE 23  SE 25  E 26
Dispersion idx..51     55     52
LVORI...........1      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain showers in the
                    evening and overnight. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Rain
                    showers likely and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
CWR.................90 percent decreasing to 60 percent after 3 am.
LAL.................1 until 1900, then 2 until 2200, then 1 until
                    0400, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 12 mph shifting to the north 5
                    to 6 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 22 mph shifting to the northeast 8
                    to 12 mph late in the evening, then shifting to
                    the north 9 to 14 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....31 decreasing to 10.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........100    100    100    100    100    100
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC                       S CHC
CWR.............90     90     90     90     90     60
LAL.............1      2      1      1      1      2
Temp............59     56     56     55     55     54
RH..............78     90     93     96     96     96
20 FT wind......E 12   E 8    E 7    NE 6   N 5    N 6
20 FT wind gust.18     16     12     8      7      10
20 FT wind dir..080    090    080    050    010    010
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   700    800    700    900    1300
Transport wind..E 22   E 16   E 14   NE 9   NE 8   N 12
Dispersion idx..31     16     15     8      7      10
LVORI...........3      4      5      5      6      5

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms early
                    in the morning, then chance of rain showers
                    early in the morning. Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the morning.
CWR.................60 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
LAL.................2 until 0700, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 24 mph.
Dispersion index....18 increasing to 30 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 62 late in the morning increasing
                    to 67 late in the afternoon decreasing to 55.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........100    100    94     86     77     67
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............60     30     20     20     10     10
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............54     53     57     61     64     65
RH..............93     96     83     70     58     50
20 FT wind......N 7    N 12   N 13   N 14   N 15   N 13
20 FT wind gust.12     16     19     22     22     21
20 FT wind dir..000    350    350    350    350    350
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   1500   2600   3300   3900   3900
Transport wind..N 15   N 20   N 23   N 24   N 24   N 24
Dispersion idx..13     22     31     61     66     66
LVORI...........5      5      3      3      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...Tyler Coffman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2408120.1/BMX
.DELDT 03/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0


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