National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 150550
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1250 AM CDT WED MAY 15 2013

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 06Z TAFS.

&&

.AVIATION...PRECIP SO FAR TONIGHT SIGNIFICANTLY UNDER PERFORMING
FROM WHAT WAS EXPECTED. HAVE PULLED ALL PREVAILING SH/TS
WORDING...GOING WITH JUST VCSH AT THIS TIME. STILL SHOULD HAVE THE
POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT OF PRECIP ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN
ZONES AS A PUSH OF INCREASED MOISTURE IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. MVFR TO POSSIBLY IFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE NIGHT. DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY PRECIP CHANCES WILL REMAIN
THROUGH MID DAY IN THE EAST. WINDS SHOULD INCREASE AS 925MB WINDS
INCREASE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 854 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013/

DISCUSSION...ONLY CHANGE OF SIGNIFICANCE MADE TO FORECAST WAS TO
LOWER POPS ACROSS EASTERN ZONES FOR THIS EVENING. DPVA ASSOCIATED
WITH H5 VORT MAX S OF BIG BEND REGION THIS EVENING SHOULD AID IN
CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
COAHUILA/NUEVO LEON/TAMAULIPAS MX THIS EVENING WITH ACTIVITY
CROSSING INTERNATIONAL BORDER LATE THIS EVENING. ACTIVITY SHOULD
EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE AS DPVA INTERACTS WITH A VERY MOIST
AIRMASS OVER SOUTH TX. 00Z KCRP RAOB INDICATES PWAT VALUES OF 1.6
INCHES WITH KBRO REPORTING 1.93 INCHES. INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL
THIS EVENING BUT MID LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE PROG TO LOWER SLIGHTLY
OVERNIGHT WITH BOTH WAA AND 0-6 KM SHEAR GRADUALLY INCREASING.
THUS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD AFFECT PORTIONS
OF THE AREA TONIGHT WITH AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM POSSIBLE OVER
FAR WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN ZONES. HOWEVER...PRIMARY STRONG TO
SEVERE STORM THREAT IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE
REGION TONIGHT. UPDATED PRODUCTS TO BE SENT SHORTLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    80  72  86  73  89  /  50  20  10  10  10
VICTORIA          81  69  83  71  87  /  60  20  10  10  10
LAREDO            92  73 100  74 100  /  20  10  10  10  10
ALICE             85  71  89  72  91  /  50  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          78  71  80  72  83  /  50  20  10  10  10
COTULLA           88  70  96  71  97  /  30  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE        83  72  88  73  91  /  50  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       78  72  80  72  83  /  50  20  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

PZ/83...AVIATION

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office