Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA
Issued by NWS State College, PA
079
FNUS71 KCTP 020835
FWSCTP
Spot Forecast for SGL 293 Elk Tracks 1+2...PGC
National Weather Service State College PA
435 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.
.DISCUSSION...
A near carbon copy of Wednesday`s weather is in store for
the District today with abundant sunshine and dry weather.
MinRH is forecast to drop to 25-35% during the afternoon
hours today with West-Northwest winds averaging 5 to 10 mph.
Sunshine Friday morning will be followed by increasing clouds
during the afternoon and nighttime hours.
Showers and thunderstorms will become increasingly likely
later Friday night and Saturday and continuing through
the weekend.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....Around 52.
Max Humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................4.
TIME (EDT) 5AM
Sky (%)........... 20
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp.............. 57
RH................ 83
20 FT Wind Dir.... W
20 FT Wind Spd.... 3
20 FT Wind Gust... 6
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.4
Transp Wind Dir... W
Transp Wind Spd... 9
LVORI............. 5
ADI............... 4
Haines Index...... 5
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 76.
Min Humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph early
in the morning.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 8 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................16 to 42.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)........... 25 30 24 20 17 13 12 10 7 5 5 5
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp.............. 55 53 56 59 62 66 69 71 74 75 76 75
RH................ 83 80 74 64 56 47 40 36 32 31 30 31
20 FT Wind Dir.... W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT Wind Spd.... 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT Wind Gust... 6 8 10 11 12 13 13 12 13 13 11 11
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.2
Transp Wind Dir... W NW NW NW NW NW W W W W NW NW
Transp Wind Spd... 8 8 12 12 14 14 15 16 16 15 15 13
LVORI............. 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............... 16 16 16 33 33 33 42 42 42 41 41 41
Haines Index...... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....Around 49.
Max Humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 6 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 8 to 12 mph shifting to the east 7 to
8 mph overnight.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 8.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)........... 5 5 5 7 9 11 17 23 29 31 33 35
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp.............. 74 71 66 62 59 57 55 53 52 51 51 50
RH................ 32 35 43 50 55 59 64 69 71 74 74 77
20 FT Wind Dir.... NW N N N NE NE NE NE E E E E
20 FT Wind Spd.... 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT Wind Gust... 10 8 7 6 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 3.8 2.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir... NW NW N N NE NE NE E E E E E
Transp Wind Spd... 12 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8
LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
ADI............... 8 8 8 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4
Haines Index...... 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers late in the afternoon. Slight
chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 78.
Min Humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph in
the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the south 8 to
12 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 to 34.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)........... 36 37 38 37 36 35 38 41 44 50 56 63
Weather Cov....... SCH SCH
Weather Type...... RW RW
Tstm Cov.......... SCH
Temp.............. 49 50 54 59 63 68 71 74 77 78 78 77
RH................ 83 80 71 64 60 54 51 46 43 43 43 47
20 FT Wind Dir.... E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT Wind Spd.... 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7
20 FT Wind Gust... 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.8 3.5 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.7
Transp Wind Dir... SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
Transp Wind Spd... 8 7 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 9 10 12
LVORI............. 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
ADI............... 9 9 9 16 16 16 23 23 23 34 34 34
Haines Index...... 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
$$
Forecaster...Lambert
Requested by...Travis Weinzierl
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412961.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL trweinzier@pa.gov