Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 180931
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 333 Grass...Pa Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
531 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 18.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Mostly cloudy with a spotty rain shower possible in the predawn
hours/before 9AM.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 67.
Min Humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................34 to 40.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  80  78  76  74  72  70  68  66  64
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  59  60  62  63  64  65  66  66  66
RH................  83  78  72  67  65  63  61  61  58
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6   7   7   10  10  10  10  8
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.6 3.3 3.7 3.7 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.2 4.1
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp Wind Spd...  13  13  13  13  14  14  14  13  12
LVORI.............  4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  34  34  34  39  39  39  40  40  40
Haines Index......  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 46.
Max Humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph overnight.
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    5 to 10 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 8.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  62  60  58  59  61  62  63  64  65  69  72  76
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  66  64  61  58  57  54  53  51  50  49  49  48
RH................  56  60  65  69  72  77  80  83  83  86  83  86
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   SW  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   4   2   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT Wind Gust...  7   6   4       4   4   5   6   6   7   7   7
Mix Hgt (kft).....  3.6 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.1
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  W   W   NW  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  10  8   6   6   5   5   8   10  10  10  12  12
LVORI.............  3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI...............  7   7   7   3   3   3   7   7   7   8   8   8
Haines Index......  2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 62.
Min Humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 20 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................22 to 44.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  79  83  86  86  86  85  85  85  85  84  83  90
Weather Cov.......                  SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF
Weather Type......                  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  48  47  48  50  51  53  55  57  59  60  61  62
RH................  83  86  83  80  83  80  74  72  67  67  65  65
20 FT Wind Dir....  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   6   7   7   7   7   8   9   9   8   8   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   10  10  11  11  12  13  14  14  14  13  11
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.7
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  12  12  15  16  18  18  20  21  22  21  18  17
LVORI.............  4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   1   3   1   2
ADI...............  22  22  22  31  31  31  44  44  44  39  39  39
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Steve Sneath
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411287.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ssneath@pa.gov


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