Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
664 FNUS74 KEPZ 282027 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Cameron Creek Rx...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 227 PM MDT Sun Apr 28 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on April 29. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Deep dry westerly flow will persist over the Gila through the week, with the storm track staying well north. This means a generally sunny week, with no precipitation chances, and very low, and decreasing RH each afternoon, with poor overnight recoveries. Temperatures will warm through midweek, with daily highs above the daily averages. Winds will favor light overnight and mornings, with west to southwest winds each afternoon. Lighter winds early in the week will be somewhat breezy in the mid and late week afternoons. Fire weather conditions will be typical spring dry and somewhat elevated due to persistent warmth and dryness, but fall short of critical due to no expected strong wind events. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....70-73. Min humidity........13-17 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 6 mph early, then shifting to the southwest 8 to 11 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the southwest 9 to 13 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (99300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........4 0 1 1 2 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 Temp............51 60 67 71 72 RH..............37 27 20 16 14 20 ft wind......N 6 E 5 SW 8 SW 8 SW 11 20 ft wind gust.13 12 17 17 20 Mix hgt (ft)....5200 7100 7100 8100 8100 Transport wind..N 9 SW 9 SW 9 W 13 W 13 Haines index....2 2 2 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..31 68 68 99 99 Ventrate Cat....POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....46-49. Max humidity........32-35 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to 6 mph overnight. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 14 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (91500 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (3800 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........4 4 2 2 2 3 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............69 61 57 54 50 47 RH..............15 20 21 24 27 31 20 ft wind......W 10 W 10 NW 6 NW 5 NW 5 NW 6 20 ft wind gust.20 20 13 10 10 10 Mix hgt (ft)....7000 7000 500 500 500 500 Transport wind..W 14 W 14 NW 9 NW 9 NW 9 NW 9 Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..92 92 4 4 4 4 Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....73-76. Min humidity........11-14 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the west 10 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 14 to 18 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (65200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (141800 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........3 2 1 2 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE NONE Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............48 59 70 75 RH..............34 25 16 12 20 FT wind......NW 6G13 W 8G18 W 10G21 W 12G22 Mix hgt (ft)....4100 4100 7700 8600 Transport wind..NW 14 NW 14 W 17 W 18 Haines index....2 2 3 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..65 65 105 142 Ventrate Cat....GOOD GOOD VYGD VYGD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY... Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds around 12 mph. .FRIDAY... Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds around 11 mph. $$ Forecaster...BIRD Requested by...FEMO t Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2410979.12/EPZ .DELDT 04/28/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov