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000
FXUS64 KEWX 220524
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1224 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 139 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

West-northwesterly flow aloft is now in place across Texas and
surface high pressure continues to build into the region. We`ll
begin to see the northeasterly surface winds diminish this evening
as a high pressure center moves closer and we lose mixing with the
loss of heating. Some lower level cloud cover will limit the
temperature drop tonight along the Rio Grande; otherwise, the
remainder of the area should see lows in the lower 40s to lower 50s
by sunrise on Monday. Winds will become southeasterly during the day
Monday as the high pushes east, though moisture return will be
mostly delayed until Tuesday morning. Therefore, tomorrow should be
very pleasant with highs in the low to mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 139 PM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

A warming trend will be expected across South-Central Texas through
midweek with increasing humidity levels as dew points rise back into
the upper 60s by Thursday. Mid-level ridging remains centered over
Mexico to our south-southwest through that timeframe providing west-
northwesterly winds aloft across the region. The light to moderate
onshore south to southeasterly flow will usher in the increasing low
level moisture levels. Clouds will increase as a result with perhaps
some occasional morning drizzle/mist/fog with the moisture trapped
underneath the capping inversion. Afternoon highs return to the mid
to upper 80s by Thursday afternoon for most locations while lower
90s make a return along the Rio Grande. The overnight lows will also
climb back into the mid to upper 60s and low 70s entering Thursday
morning as well.

The flow aloft becomes more west-southwesterly during the last half
of the day on Thursday into Friday as an upper level system advances
across the Four Corners region and eventually eastward towards the
Central Plains. Development of a surface low ahead of this system
will tighten the pressure gradient from Thursday afternoon and into
Friday. This will result in an uptick in the south-southeasterly
winds across the region. A dryline makes some eastward progress on
Friday into our western zones. This could provide just enough spark
for perhaps the slight chance of convection across the region for
Friday into Friday evening. The dryline persists across the western
areas into the weekend as a second upper level system takes shape
and advances into/across the Four Corners region. This could yield
to another slight chance for convection across our region into
Sunday. High temperatures continue to soar into and through this
weekend with upper 80s and 90s becoming even more common across the
area. We`ll also closely monitor of possible elevated fire weather
conditions out west in wake of the the dryline beginning Friday as
well.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

VFR flying conditions overnight through Monday evening with any CIGs
above FL035. MVFR CIGs return Monday night into Tuesday morning.
Light N-NE winds at the I-35 sites and E around 10 KTs at KDRT, turn
SE on Monday at 6 to 12 KTs most areas, except 10 to 16 KTs with some
higher gusts at KDRT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              55  79  65  83 /   0   0   0  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  52  78  64  83 /   0   0   0  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     54  80  65  85 /   0   0   0  10
Burnet Muni Airport            55  79  64  81 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           62  87  69  91 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        53  79  64  83 /   0   0   0  10
Hondo Muni Airport             54  80  64  85 /   0   0  10   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        52  79  64  84 /   0   0   0  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   53  79  66  82 /   0   0   0  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       56  79  66  83 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           56  80  67  85 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...04
Long-Term...29
Aviation...04