Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
866
FNUS54 KMAF 092014
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
314 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Near-critical conditions have developed this afternoon primarily
across the western high terrain where very dry and breezy
conditions linger. Fortunately, a cold front sweeps into the
region this evening, brining much better moisture into the area
and some relief to fire weather conditions. Rain and thunderstorm
chances overspread the region Saturday into Sunday, with the hope
that wetting rains can bring some much-needed relief to the ERCs
which are exceeding the 75th percentile for a majority of the
area. Dry air and elevated fire weather may return out west for
Sunday.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-100915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
214 PM MDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30 60
Temp (24h trend) 46 (-6) 70 (-8) 49 69
RH % (24h trend) 69 (+44) 34 (+23) 91 43
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 15 NE 12 SE 16 SE 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 12 E 14 SE 16 SE 11
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index 5 4 4 3
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 17 32 24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4450 3520
Transport Wnd (kts) E 13 SE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 57850 56320
Vent Category Fair Fair
RFTI 5 0 0 0
RFTI Category Critical Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Northwest winds around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-100915-
Chaves Plains-
214 PM MDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30 70
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-3) 75 (-5) 52 70
RH % (24h trend) 70 (+33) 32 (+19) 86 58
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 16 E 12 SE 15 SE 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 20 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index 5 2 3 3
Wind 10000 FT MSL 26 18 27 28
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5820 2770
Transport Wnd (kts) E 16 SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 93120 49860
Vent Category Good Fair
RFTI 2 0 0 0
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ118-100915-
Eddy Plains-
214 PM MDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 40 60
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-5) 76 (-7) 55 71
RH % (24h trend) 71 (+49) 38 (+28) 88 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 15 NE 11 SE 16 SE 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 16 E 12 E 15 SE 13
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index 5 5 3 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 26 18 27 26
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4870 2720
Transport Wnd (kts) E 13 SE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 63310 43520
Vent Category Good Fair
RFTI 4 0 0 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-100915-
Lea-
214 PM MDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 30 70
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-4) 75 (-10) 52 68
RH % (24h trend) 74 (+35) 33 (+22) 85 64
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 16 E 14 E 15 SE 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 17 E 15 E 13 SE 15
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index 6 4 4 3
Wind 10000 FT MSL 24 18 21 25
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5530 2410
Transport Wnd (kts) E 18 SE 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 99540 43380
Vent Category Good Fair
RFTI 3 0 0 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-100915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
314 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 /214 PM MDT Thu May 9 2024/
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 40 70
Temp (24h trend) 50 (-9) 69 (-10) 52 71
RH % (24h trend) 67 (+44) 36 (+27) 89 50
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 24 NE 19 E 26 E 16
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 16 E 20 E 27 E 13
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index 5 5 4 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 12 22 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3410 2750
Transport Wnd (kts) E 18 E 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 61380 55000
Vent Category Good Fair
RFTI 6 0 0 0
RFTI Category Critical Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around
80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-100915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
314 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 40 60
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-10) 86 (-6) 56 88
RH % (24h trend) 73 (+52) 21 (+14) 94 27
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 13 NE 12 E 21 E 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) N 11 E 15 E 19 SE 12
LAL 1 1 3 3
Haines Index 6 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 11 24 24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5430 5980
Transport Wnd (kts) NE 16 SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 86880 101660
Vent Category Good Very good
RFTI 6 1 1 0
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around
90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-100915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
314 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 30 80
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-6) 78 (-14) 57 75
RH % (24h trend) 86 (+40) 36 (+22) 88 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) N 14 NE 12 E 13 E 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 14 E 14 E 12 SE 13
LAL 1 2 3 3
Haines Index 6 5 5 3
Wind 10000 FT MSL 20 14 23 28
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4380 2570
Transport Wnd (kts) E 19 SE 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 83220 48830
Vent Category Good Fair
RFTI 4 0 0 0
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds around
15 mph.
$$