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000
FXUS62 KMFL 172322
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
722 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 718 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

No significant changes with the evening update, another quiet
night with normal lows expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1208 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Conditions across South Florida will remain dry and seasonable
through the short term as surface high pressure and stout upper-level
ridging prevail over the region. Breezy easterly winds along the
periphery of the surface high - currently located over the western
Atlantic - will continue to advect low-level moisture over the area
which could result in a few cumulus clouds developing during peak
daytime heating.

A warming trend will continue tomorrow as winds begin to veer to
the east-southeast escorting the warm air from the Caribbean.
There is potential for highs to reach the upper 80s or even 90
across southwest Florida, with east coast temperatures in the low
to mid 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 312 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Quiet and warm conditions will continue over South Florida
through the rest of the week and over the weekend as mid to upper
level ridging sits over the Gulf. At the surface, high pressure
in the area will lead to light south-southeast winds. High
temperatures will be in the low to mid 90s over the interior, with
the sea breeze keeping coastal areas in the mid to upper 80s.
Overnight lows will range from the mid 60s over the interior, to
the low 70s near coastal areas.

Early next week, a mid-level trough will swing across the Gulf
states into the Southeast US, flattening the persistent ridge over
the Gulf. This system is expected to send a frontal boundary
across South Florida on Tuesday, and could bring some showers and
thunderstorms with it, though confidence is low this far out. The
best chances for convective activity would be across the Lake
Okeechobee area. After the boundary passes through and winds turn
northerly, temperatures will cool off a bit.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 718 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Easterly winds
around 5-10kts are expected overnight with speeds increasing to
10-15kts by Thursday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1208 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

A moderate to fresh easterly wind flow will continue across
the local waters today as high pressure remains in place over the
Western Atlantic. These winds will slowly subside and become
southeasterly starting on Thursday as the surface high shifts
eastward. Seas across the Atlantic waters will range from 2 to 4
feet today before declining to 2 feet or less by the end of the
week. Meanwhile, seas across the Gulf waters remain at 2 feet or
less.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1208 PM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

The risk of rip currents along the Atlantic Coast will remain
high on Wednesday as moderate easterly flow prevails. Conditions
will begin to improve tonight as winds become lighter.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            70  84  70  85 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     66  85  67  86 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        68  85  69  86 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        69  83  69  84 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  70  83  70  83 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  69  82  69  84 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   69  85  69  87 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  67  83  66  86 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       68  83  68  85 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           66  85  68  86 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ168-172-
     173.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ATV
LONG TERM....ATV
AVIATION...Carr