Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 181240
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 403...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
740 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on April 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected today and Friday.
Afternoon relative humidity values remain above critical levels
today and Friday. Transport winds will be mostly southerly to
southwesterly today and southwesterly to westerly on Friday.
Dispersion index values will be fair to generally good today and
Friday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog development is
expected again tonight. Fog may briefly become dense around, or a
little before sunrise.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 8 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1128 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 46.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  78  81  86  84  83  82  80  70  69  69
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  68  70  72  76  78  80  82  84  84  84
RH..............100 100 97  90  76  71  65  56  53  53  53
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   7   8   9   9   9   9   8   9
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   10  13  14  14  14  14  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.1 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.5 3.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.S   SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   7   10  13  14  12  12  13  13  13  13
Trans wind dir..S   SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   4   6   6   5   5   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..7   10  17  25  34  38  41  45  46  45  45
LVORI...........8   7   5   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1067 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....45 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64  57  33  28  22  35  52  52  60  72  70  59
Weather cov.....                            PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....                            FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............83  78  74  72  71  70  69  68  67  67  66  66
RH..............55  67  76  81  87  90  93  97  100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..9   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  12  10  9   9   8   7   7   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW WSW WSW SW
Transp wind spd.14  12  13  13  13  12  12  10  9   9   8   7
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW WSW WSW SW
Trans spd (m/s).6   5   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   3
Dispersion idx..45  9   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   4   4   3
LVORI...........1   3   4   4   5   6   8   9   9   9   9   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the morning, then becoming light late
                    in the morning becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon becoming light becoming
                    southwest around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1494 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 7 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 3 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 37.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  71  61  57  50  46  30  30  30  25  20  18
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  67  68  72  75  79  82  85  86  88  88  87
RH..............100 100 97  87  79  67  58  53  50  47  45  46
20 FT wind dir..SSW SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  WSW
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   6
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   8   7   7   7   9   8   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.2 3.1 3.7 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9 4.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.SW  WSW WSW WSW W   WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6
Trans wind dir..SW  WSW WSW WSW W   WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..3   5   10  14  18  25  30  32  34  36  38  38
LVORI...........9   9   7   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411312.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov
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