Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
769
FNUS73 KOAX 141454
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for North Hargroves...Iowa DNR / Missouri River Wildlife
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
954 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on May 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Winds will remain out of the northeast while shifting clockwise to
southeasterly throughout the afternoon and evening. Winds will
remain at 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 14 mph possible before
calming after sunset. Relative humidity values will reach their
minimum value of 33-37 percent during the late afternoon before
recovering overnight.
Skies will remain mostly clear throughout the day with haze from
Canadian wildfires remaining present. Cloud cover will move in
after sunset with overnight chances of light rain (20-30% chance).
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 14 mph
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 33 percent
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds up to 5 mph.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 8 to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (39300 knot-ft).
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24 24 23 23 23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............70 73 74 74 75
RH..............42 37 37 37 37
20 FT wind dir..NE E E E E
20 FT wind spd..7 7 6 7 7
20 FT wind gust.10 8 8 8 8
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE E E E E
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 4 5 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.7 6 6 6 6
Surface wnd dir.NE E E E E
Surface wnd spd.9 9 8 9 9
Surface wnd gst.12 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 4.9 5.6 5.6 5.6
Transp wind dir.NE E E E E
Transp wind spd.12 10 9 9 8
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100048 50 49 45 39
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers
after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 6 mph.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (32200 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (2600 knot-ft) late in the
night.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........24 24 31 42 37 41
Weather cov..... S CHC CHANCE
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............74 71 61 58 56 54
RH..............38 47 67 80 86 92
20 ft wind......E 6 E 6 E 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7
20 ft wind gust.8 8 10 11 11
Eye level wind..E 4 E 4 E 4 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.6 6 5 7 8 8
Surface wind....E 8 E 8 E 8 SE 8 SE 9 SE 9
Surface wnd gst.10 10 12 14 14
Mix hgt (ft)....5500 500 400 400 500 500
Transport wind..E 8 E 9 SE 10 SE 13 SE 14 SE 13
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....4 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100032 17 4 4 5 6
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning, then rain showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 8 mph.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (49400 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........66 74 79 72 68 79
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC
Temp............53 56 61 65 70 71
RH..............100 93 81 71 62 59
20 ft wind......SE 6 SE 7 S 8 S 9 S 10 S 10
20 ft wind gust.10 10 11 13 14 14
Eye level wind..SE 4 SE 5 S 6 S 7 S 8 S 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 8 8 10 10 10
Surface wind....SE 8 SE 9 S 10 S 11 S 13 S 13
Surface wnd gst.13 13 14 16 17 17
Mix hgt (ft)....600 1300 1800 2400 3300 3100
Transport wind..SE 13 S 13 S 13 S 16 S 15 S 17
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10007 11 20 36 48 47
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around 7 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds around
8 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
Forecaster...Wood
Requested by...Liam Bell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414146.0/OAX
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL liam.bell@dnr.iowa.gov