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000
FXUS65 KREV 171950
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1250 PM PDT Wed Apr 17 2024


.SYNOPSIS...
Drying and warming trend continues this week with high temperatures
in the 60s for Sierra communities and 70s for lower valleys. A few
valleys may see afternoon temperatures surge above 80 degrees this
weekend. A slight cooling trend with shower chances may return next
week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

* No significant changes to the forecast. Warm, dry, typical
  afternoon breezes for the week and into the weekend.

* Subtle dry, cold front passes through the Great Basin through this
  evening. Brief shift to north-northeast winds late this evening and
  into tonight, but relatively light surface winds overall. Gusty
  ridge winds peaked earlier today with a downward trend forecast
  through the evening as the winds shift to the east tonight into
  early Thursday morning.

* A weak shortwave quickly passes by on Friday bringing more mid to
  high cloud cover and low chances for precipitation along the
  Sierra. Latest blended guidance shows a 10-15% chance for some
  showers and isolated thunderstorms, with the highest chance in
  Mono county south of Mono lake along the crest.

* Weak high pressure returns for the weekend allowing for the
  temperatures to warm a bit more for Saturday and Sunday. There is
  a 65% chance of hitting our first 80 degree day here in Reno on
  Friday, but we should hit it and exceed it by Saturday and Sunday.
  Honestly, on Sunday we may be nearing the 90 mark if we warm up
  enough. This forecaster hopes that we defer that 90 degree reading
  for another month or so.

* Long range guidance doesn`t keep us warm and dry for too long.
  Already by early next week there are still hints of a more active
  pattern returning to the West. ECS/GEFS continue to show a bit of
  cooling and precipitation potential by mid to late next week. This
  trend is also reflected in the blended guidance forecast where the
  spread becomes rather large (forecast highs of 69 to 81) by
  Wednesday/Thursday next week.

-Edan

&&

.AVIATION...

* Surface winds will shift in response to a cold front sweeping
  through the Great Basin. There will be a brief period for W-NW
  surface winds late this afternoon for KRNO-KMMH before shifting to
  the N-NE for the evening. Light and variable winds are projected
  for Thursday.

* Other than the wind shift, plan on VFR conditions at all
  terminals. Main exception will be KTRK where patchy FZFG may
  redevelop early Thursday morning.

-Edan

&&


.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$