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000
FXUS64 KSHV 222356
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
656 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday Night)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Quiet, slightly cooler weather will continue into the middle of
the week across the Four State Region. This is due to a broad
ridge axis that currently extends across the Mississippi River
Valley into the Appalachian Mountains. This ridging will gradually
progress eastward, reintroducing southerly winds, a chance of
precipitation (north of I-30) and increased fog potential by
tomorrow night. Temperature-wise, this means a gradual warm-up to
near-normal with maximums/minimums in the 70s/50s, respectively.
/16/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 233 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Chances of rain will accompany a warming trend across the Four
State Region through the rest of the week into the weekend. This
is due to northwesterly flow aloft that transitions to
southwesterly flow by the weekend, steering more disturbances
across the Southern Great Plains that graze parts of our area with
precipitation by midweek (along and north of I-30) with some
potential for severe thunderstorms by Friday and Saturday (mainly
for our western zones). This relatively active pattern will
maintain precipitation chances and continue into early next week.
In the process, temperatures will gradually increase from
maximums/minimums in the lower 60s/lower 80s into the lower
70s/upper 80s, respectively. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 656 PM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

VFR conditions will continue through the 23/00Z TAF period. SKC
will prevail areawide overnight, although a scattered cu field
may develop in the higher elevations of SE OK/Wrn AR near or just
prior to daybreak Tuesday. An additional scattered cu field
should develop over ECntrl TX between 12-15Z, and spilling into
NE TX by mid to late morning. The cu field should eventually
spread into SW AR/NW LA after 18Z, and across the remainder of the
region by mid to late afternoon. Cu cigs will be possible by
mid/late afternoon over portions of E TX/SE OK/SW AR, before
eventually spilling ENE into NW LA/SCntrl AR Tuesday evening.
Lt/Vrb winds tonight, except S 5-7kts over E TX, will become S
areawide and increase to 7-14kts after 15Z, with gusts to 20-25kts
over E TX/SE OK/extreme SW AR and NW LA. /15/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  51  79  62 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  69  44  77  57 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  69  45  76  58 /   0   0   0  20
TXK  70  50  78  61 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  70  45  77  57 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  70  52  78  62 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  70  49  78  60 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  72  48  80  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...15