Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 200754
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
354 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
CHILLY START TO THE PERIOD THIS MORNING WITH SOME OF COOLEST TEMPS
STILL EXPECTED...MANY AREAS LOOKING TO DIP INTO THE LOW 40S. SOME
LOCATIONS MAY GET LOWER WITH OPTIMAL CONDITIONS FOR RADIATIONAL
COOLING LACKING ANY CLOUD COVERAGE...EVEN THE CIRRUS FROM BEFORE.
COULD NOT RULE OUT A FEW SPOTTY AREAS OF FROST IN SOME OF THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTH GA.

MODELS IN DECENT CONSENSUS WITH TIMING OF NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH
PUSHING INTO THE NORTH BY 00Z THIS EVENING AND WEAK SFC FRONT
TRAILING BEHIND. SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE MOISTURE STARVED AND LACKING
GOOD LIFT SO HAVE KEPT AREA DRY BUT INCREASE SOME CLOUD COVERAGE IN
THE FAR THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. NEXT SFC HIGH BUILDS IN FROM
THE NORTH AND ENHANCES THE GRADIENT WINDS FOR TUESDAY. RIDGING AND
DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD LINGER AS THE UPPER TROUGH ENERGY CUTS OFF
NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODERATE BACK TO NEAR
NORMAL VALUES TODAY THRU TUES.

BAKER

&&


.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS WITH CLOSED UPPER LOW MOVING OFFSHORE THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST WHILE AT THE SURFACE AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
BRIDGES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WITH INFLUENCE ALL THE WAY SOUTH
THROUGH OUR AREA AND THE GULF COAST. AS STRONG UPPER HIGH BUILDS
OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY...LOCAL AREA WILL REMAIN IN A
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND GENERALLY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AT THE
SURFACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL TROPICAL/HYBRID
SYSTEMS LATE IN THE PERIOD BUT FOR NOW WILL REMAIN WITH A DRY
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.


DEESE


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH PERIOD THOUGH MVFR VSBYS POSSIBLE
THIS MORNING IN 09-13Z TIME FRAME. POSSIBLE CU FIELD THIS
AFTERNOON BUT THINKING JUST FEW COVERAGE. MID LEVEL MOISTURE WITH
NEXT DISTURBANCE LOOKS TO BRING SCT COVERAGE IN 8-12 KFT RANGE
MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT AND VRB TO CALM BECOMING LIGHT
SW TODAY.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON MORNING MVFR VSBYS.
HIGH ALL ELSE.

BAKER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          71  49  75  45 /   0   0   0   0
ATLANTA         72  54  74  49 /   0   0   0   0
BLAIRSVILLE     66  46  67  38 /   0   0   0   0
CARTERSVILLE    72  46  73  42 /   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS        74  53  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
GAINESVILLE     68  51  71  46 /   0   0   0   0
MACON           75  47  78  46 /   0   0   0   0
ROME            73  47  73  43 /   0   0   0   0
PEACHTREE CITY  72  47  75  43 /   0   0   0   0
VIDALIA         77  54  79  54 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...BAKER
LONG TERM....DEESE
AVIATION...BAKER




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