Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 011932
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
332 PM EDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
GA AND FLORIDA AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SPINS JUST OFF THE GULF
COAST OF FL. WE CURRENTLY DO NOT HAVE ANY PRECIP IN OUR CWA BUT
MOISTURE IS INCREASING SO WILL BE INCREASING POPS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL GA WEDNESDAY. MAIN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED
JUST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST OF FL AND IS STILL HELPING TO KEEP
PRECIP TO A MINIMUM AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THERE IS STILL A
DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE BUT OVERALL
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LACKING. THE WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
HAS ALSO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND IS KIND OF SETTING UP LIKE A WEAK
WEDGE. LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY ACROSS
THE STATE ARE CLASSIC SIGNS OF A WEDGE. HIGH TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE
RIGHT AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS WEDNESDAY WITH LOWS IN
THE 60S AND 70S.

01

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR TSTMS ON THU AFTERNOON WITH NO REAL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE CWA. A BIT MORE COVERAGE
IS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY WITH MORE INFLUENCE FROM AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE TO OUR WEST...ESPECIALLY ACCORDING TO THE ECMWF.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE WARM WITH AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.

THE BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LONG TERM WILL
BE THE WEDGE THAT WILL PUSH DOWN THE APPALACHIANS INTO OUR AREA
FOR THE WEEKEND. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WETTEST DAY AS THE
BACKDOOR FRONT MOVES IN WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH LINGER INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS WILL BE HELD
DOWN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MID 80S FOR HIGHS WITH
ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND MORE PRECIP COVERAGE. THIS PATTERN SHOULD
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE NORTHEAST SHIFTS FURTHER EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC.

16

AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NO
PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS EXPECTED. WINDS ARE THE
CHALLENGE THIS FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENTLY THE WINDS ARE VERY LIGHT
AND THE DIRECTION IS ALL OVER THE PLACE. WINDS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE ARE NE AND HAVE SEEN MAINLY E TO NE WINDS. WINDS SHOULD
STAY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE NIGHT BUT PICK UP A BIT BY
16-18Z WED OUT OF THE NW.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          70  90  71  91 /   5  10  10  20
ATLANTA         72  90  73  90 /   5  10  10  20
BLAIRSVILLE     64  85  65  85 /   5  30  20  20
CARTERSVILLE    68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
COLUMBUS        73  91  73  92 /   5  20  10  20
GAINESVILLE     70  89  71  89 /   5  10  10  20
MACON           71  91  72  91 /   5  20  10  20
ROME            68  90  69  90 /   5  10  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  69  90  70  90 /   5  10  10  20
VIDALIA         73  91  73  93 /  20  40  20  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...01


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