Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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000
AXUS74 KJAN 092323
DGTJAN
MSC001-007-011-015-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-049-051-053-055-063-
067-075-077-079-083-087-089-091-099-101-103-121-125-127-133-149-151-
157-163-LAC025-029-035-041-065-083-107-ARC017-041-1300000-
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
530 PM CST FRI DEC 09 2016

...RAINFALL OVER THE LAST TWO WEEKS HAS PRODUCED A ONE CATEGORY
   IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT CATEGORY ACROSS THE REGION...

SYNOPSIS...
ACCORDING TO THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM), VALID TUESDAY
DECEMBER 6 2016, DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED A CATEGORY ACROSS
MOST OF THE WFO JACKSON COUNTY WARNING AREA. SEVERE DROUGHT (D2)
CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI, NORTHEAST LOUISIANA,
AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. MODERATE DROUGHT(D1) CONDITIONS CURRENTLY
EXIST ONLY IN A SMALL PORTION OF NORTHWEST AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
WARM SEASON HARVEST HAS BEEN WRAPPED UP ACROSS THE AREA, WITH
AGRICULTURAL FOCUS NOW ON MAINTENANCE OF COLD SEASON GRASSES.
RECENT RAINFALL HAS BEEN GOOD FOR RYE GRASSES. AREA TREES AND
VEGETATION WILL NEED CONTINUED RAINFALL TO BEGIN A SIGNIFICANT RECOVERY.

SOIL MOISTURE IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS
OF THE STATE OF MISSISSIPPI. NORTHEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
UPPER ZONES SOIL ARE NEAR NORMAL. UPPER ZONE SOILS HAVE WETTED UP BUT THE
LOWER ZONE SOILS ARE STILL QUITE DRY REGION WIDE. AREA PASTURE PONDS HAVE FILLED
SOMEWHAT ACROSS THE REGION BUT COULD USE MUCH MORE RAINFALL TO FILL THE PONDS.
AREA LAKES HAVE RISEN SEVERAL FEET ACROSS THE REGION.

RAINFALL OVER THE LAST TWO WEEKS HAS ALLOWED BURN BANS TO BE LIFTED
ACROSS MISSISSIPPI AND ARKANSAS. ACROSS NORTHEAST LOUISIANA, MOST
BURN BANS HAVE BEEN DROPPED AND THE REMAINING COULD BE DROPPED IN
THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO. KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI) VALUES
HAVE DROPPED SUBSTANTIALLY OVER THE LAST 2 WEEKS. VALUES ARE
300 TO 500 ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE
REGION IS 300 OR LESS. THE VALUES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ARE STILL
QUITE HIGH FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...
A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS OVER THE LAST SEVERAL WEEKS HAS BROUGHT
SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO THE REGION. THIS PAST WEEKEND
BROUGHT US AN EXTENDED SOAKING RAINFALL. RAINFALL FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES
HAS FALLEN OVER THE LAST TWO WEEKS NORTH OF A LINE FROM MCCOMB,MS
TO QUITMAN,MS. SOUTHEAST OF THIS LINE GENERALLY 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAINFALL FELL. 30 DAY RAINFALL DEFICITS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
GREATEST OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. IN AN AREA FROM
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA TO THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE AREA OF MISSISSIPPI, THERE
ARE RAINFALL SURPLUSES OF A HALF INCH TO 2 INCHES. 60 DAY RAINFALL
DEFICITS ARE NOW BETWEEN 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA.
ACROSS THE LOWER YAZOO DELTA, THERE ARE AREAS WITH NEAR NORMAL
RAINFALL FOR THE 60 DAY PERIOD. THE 90 DAY DEFCITS RANGE BETWEEN
4 AND 8 INCHES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.


                 RAINFALL     DEPARTURE    RAINFALL     DEPARTURE
LOCATION       YEAR TO DATE  FROM NORMAL  9/1 TO DATE  FROM NORMAL

JACKSON JAN       60.64        +10.22        7.44        -5.70

MERIDIAN MEI      43.26         -9.29        5.93        -7.66

TALLULAH/         58.25         +7.52        6.70        -7.46
VICKSBURG TVR

HATTIESBURG HBG   57.94         +2.42        6.93        -6.43

GREENWOOD GWO     45.23         -2.49        8.73        -4.92

GREENVILLE GLH    48.76          0.11        6.87        -6.96


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
COLD DRY AIR IS IN PLACE TODAY ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY. A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE PLAINS THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO
OUR REGION FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL
LACK MUCH PUSH AND SHOULD STALL ACROSS THE AREA. WE COULD SEE
A HALF INCH OR LESS OF RAINFALL ON MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A
CHANCE OF SOME RAINFALL FROM MONDAY EVENING AND TUESDAY.
THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA
ON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL FOR TUESDAY TO WEDNESDAY COULD BE
ONE HALF INCH OR LESS. CLEAR AND COLD TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO AT LEAST FRIDAY.

BEYOND THE UPCOMING WEEK, THERE ARE GREATER CHANCES FOR...

                                TEMPERATURES     PRECIPITATION

8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK             NORMAL/ABOVE      ABOVE NORMAL
EXPERIMENTAL 3-4 WEEK OUTLOOK   ABOVE NORMAL     (EQUAL CHANCES)
THREE MONTH OUTLOOK (DEC-FEB)   ABOVE NORMAL      BELOW NORMAL


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS HAVE SEEN A TREMENDOUS IMPROVEMENT OVER
THE LAST TWO WEEKS. STREAMFLOWS ARE STILL BELOW NORMAL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE TOMBIGBEE MAINSTEM IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
AND ACROSS THE HOMOCHITTO IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. STREAMFLOWS
ARE ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA REGION OF NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE NORTHEAST LOUISIANA PARISHES ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER. NEAR NORMAL STREAMFLOWS ARE OBSERVED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA.
ACRO

AT ROSS BARNETT RESERVOIR NEAR JACKSON, THE POOL HAS RISEN FROM
295.00 ON NOVEMBER 28TH TO 296.00 ON FRIDAY DECEMBER 9TH. THE
NORMAL POOL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IS 297.5 FEET. THE POOL WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE EVER SO SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MOST OF THE
BOAT RAMPS AROUND THE LAKE HAVE BEEN REOPENED.

AT GRENADA LAKE NEAR GRENADA, THE POOL ON DECEMBER 9TH WAS 195.43 FEET.
THE LAKE LEVEL IS FALLING AS THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS CONTINUES LOWERING
THE POOL TO ITS WINTER OPERATING POOL OF 193 FEET.

AT OKATIBBEE LAKE NEAR MERIDIAN, THE POOL ON DECEMBER 9TH WAS
338.93 FEET. THE CURRENT POOL READING IS VERY CLOSE TO THE WINTER
OPERATING POOL OF 339 FEET.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
A NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AS CONDITIONS WARRANT

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS:  WEATHER.GOV/JAN
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM:  WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
LSU AG CENTER: WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
LA DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY BURN BANS:
  WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/PROGRAMS/PARISH-BURN-BANS/
ARKANSAS BURN BANS: WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
MISSISSIPPI BURN BANS: WWW.MFC.MS.GOV/BURN-BANS
MISSISSIPPI STATE CLIMATOLOGIST: GEOSCIENCES.MSSTATE.EDU/STATE-CLIMATOLOGIST/

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS A FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONG
VARIOUS AGENCIES WHICH INCLUDES THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS, THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER, AND THE U.S.
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATION SITES, THE USDA, THE U.S.
ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS, USGS, FORESTRY INTERESTS IN MISSISSIPPI,
ARKANSAS, AND LOUISIANA.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS ABOUT INFORMATION ON THIS STATEMENT,
PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE 234 WEATHER SERVICE DRIVE
JACKSON, MS 39232

PHONE: (601)936-2189
EMAIL: MARTY.POPE@NOAA.GOV OR DANIEL.LAMB@NOAA.GOV

$$

MP



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