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Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
000 AXUS73 KOAX 102000 DGTOAX IAC071-085-129-133-137-145-155-165-NEC003-011-021-023-025-027-037- 039-053-055-067-095-097-107-109-119-127-131-133-139-141-147-151- 153-155-159-167-173-177-179-122000- DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 300 PM CDT FRI MAY 10 2013 ...SHORT-TERM DROUGHT IMPACTS EASE...WITH LONGER-TERM DRYNESS LINGERING... SYNOPSIS... COLDER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS HAVE PERSISTED ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA THROUGH THE PAST TWO WEEKS. WETTER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED OVER MUCH OF NORTHEAST NEBRASKA INTO NORTHWEST IOWA...AS WELL AS IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA INTO WEST CENTRAL IOWA. BETWEEN THOSE TWO AREAS...DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED...PARTICULARLY FROM AROUND LINCOLN TO FREMONT AND WESTWARD. EXTREME (D3) DROUGHT: KNOX...CEDAR...ANTELOPE...PIERCE...WAYNE...BOONE...AND MADISON COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA. IN AN EXTREME DROUGHT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS INCLUDE MAJOR CROP/PASTURE LOSSES AND WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES OR RESTRICTIONS. SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT: THURSTON...STANTON...CUMING...BURT...PLATTE...COLFAX...DODGE... WASHINGTON...BUTLER...SAUNDERS...DOUGLAS...SEWARD... SALINE... LANCASTER...AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA... AND MONONA COUNTY IN IOWA. IN SEVERE DROUGHT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS INCLUDE LIKELY CROP/PASTURE LOSSES...AND WATER SHORTAGES MAY BE COMMON...WITH WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED. MODERATE (D1) DROUGHT: SARPY...CASS...OTOE...GAGE...AND JOHNSON COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA...AND HARRISON...POTTAWATTAMIE...AND MILLS COUNTIES IN IOWA. IN MODERATE DROUGHT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS INCLUDE SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS/PASTURES...AND STREAMS...RESERVOIRS...OR WELLS MAY BE LOW...WTIH SOME WATER SHORTAGES DEVELOPING OR IMMINENT...AND VOLUNTARY WATER USE RESTRICTIONS MAY BE REQUESTED. ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS: NEMAHA...PAWNEE...AND RICHARD COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA...AND MONTGOMERY...FREMONT...AND PAGE COUNTIES IN IOWA. IN ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS WHEN EMERGING FROM DROUGHT...POSSIBLE IMPACTS INCLUDE CROPS/PASTURES NOT FULLY RECOVERED AND SOME LINGERING WATER DEFICITS. SUMMARY OF IMPACTS... RECENT RAINFALL CONTINUES TO ALLEVIATE SHORT-TERM SOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS...THOUGH LONGER TERM AND DEEPER SOIL MOISTURE DEFICITS STILL LINGER. THE START OF THE GROWING SEASON HAS BEEN DELAYED BY MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL WEATHER. STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS... NO STATE OR LOCAL ACTIONS ARE KNOWN AT THIS TIME. SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS... IN NEBRASKA...TOPSOIL MOISTURE AS OF MAY 5 WAS RATED 13 PERCENT VERY SHORT...23 PERCENT SHORT...60 PERCENT ADEQUATE...AND 4 PERCENT SURPLUS. SUBSOIL MOISTURE REPORTS INDICATED 42 PERCENT VERY SHORT...42 PERCENT SHORT...16 PERCENT ADEQUATE...AND 0 PERCENT SURPLUS. IN WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST IOWA...TOPSOIL MOISTURE WAS RATED 0 TO 2 PERCENT VERY SHORT...1 TO 11 PERCENT SHORT...50 TO 73 PERCENT ADEQUATE...AND 26 TO 37 PERCENT SURPLUS. SUBSOIL MOISTURE REPORTS INDICATED 3 TO 7 PERCENT VERY SHORT...30 TO 36 PERCENT SHORT...56 TO 58 PERCENT ADEQUATE...AND 3 TO 7 PERCENT SURPLUS. TOPSOIL AND SUBSOIL MOISTURE HAVE IMPROVED SLIGHTLY ACROSS THE AREA IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS. AGRICULTURE IMPACTS... DUE TO THE COOL TEMPERATURES...PLANTING IS LAGGING WELL BEHIND AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. STREAM FLOW AND GROUND WATER IMPACTS... RIVER LEVELS ARE RUNNING SLIGHTLY BELOW TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. GROUNDWATER LEVELS ARE LARGELY NEAR NORMAL. FIRE DANGER HAZARDS... FIRE DANGER CONCERNS HAVE BEEN MINIMAL IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS. WARM WEATHER AND INCREASING SOUTH WINDS...ALONG WITH DELAYED GREENING...MAY CREATE HIGHER FIRE DANGER IN THE NEXT WEEK. ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS... NONE KNOWN AT THIS TIME. CLIMATE SUMMARY... PRECIPITATION TOTALS SO FAR IN MAY HAVE BEEN NEAR TOABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THE STRONGEST DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA TO SOUTHWEST IOWA...AND ALSO NORTH OF THE PLATTE RIVER AREA IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA. TEMPERATURES SO FAR IN MAY HAVE AVERAGED WELL BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE AREA. PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK... TEMPERATURES WILL DIP INTO THE 60S THIS WEEKEND...BUT WARMER WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH HIGHS AROUND 90 TO THE LOWER 90S POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER 8- TO 14-DAY OUTLOOK INDICATED EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...NEAR...AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...WITH A 40 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE FOR ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE ONE MONTH OUTLOOK FOR APRIL FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES A 33 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE FOR TEMPERATURES IN THE COLDEST THIRD COMPARED TO CLIMATOLOGY...AND ALSO 33 TO 50 PERCENT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION TO BE IN THE WETTEST THIRD COMPARED TO CLIMATOLOGY. HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK... RIVER LEVELS WILL SEE SHORT-LIVED RISES WITH RUNOFF FROM PRECIPITATION SYSTEMS...BUT OTHERWISE...FLOWS REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. NEXT ISSUANCE... THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. && RELATED WEB SITES... ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/... U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU NOAA DROUGHT PORTAL HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV NWS OMAHA/VALLEY HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/OAX DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER HTTP://DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/ HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV MIDWESTERN REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER HTTP://MRCC.ISWS.ILLINOIS.EDU HIGH PLAINS REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER HTTP://WWW.HPRCC.UNL.EDU NEBRASKA STATE CLIMATE OFFICE HTTP://CLIMATE.UNL.EDU IOWA STATE CLIMATE OFFICE HTTP://WWW.IOWAAGRICULTURE.GOV/CLIMATOLOGY.ASP DETAILED CROP INFORMATION AT USDA PUBLICATIONS WEB SITE HTTP://WWW.NASS.USDA.GOV/PUBLICATIONS/STATE_CROP_PROGRESS_AND_ CONDITION/INDEX.ASP NWS RIVER INFORMATION HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS USGS RIVER INFORMATION HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL ACKNOWLEDGMENTS... THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS...AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE...AND USGS. QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS... IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT: BARBARA MAYES /CLIMATE AND DROUGHT PROGRAM MANAGER/ OR DAVID PEARSON /SERVICE HYDROLOGIST/ NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 6707 NORTH 288TH STREET VALLEY NE 68064 PHONE: 402-359-5166 EMAIL: OAX.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV && RELATED WEB SITES... ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/... U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML NOAA DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV MIDWESTERN REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER... HTTP://MCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU/INDEX.JSP HIGH PLAINS REGIONAL CLIMATE CENTER...HTTP://HPRCC.UNL.EDU NEBRASKA STATE CLIMATE OFFICE... HTTP://WWW.NEBRASKACLIMATEOFFICE.UNL.EDU IOWA CLIMATOLOGY BUREAU... HTTP://WWW.IOWAAGRICULTURE.GOV/CLIMATOLOGY.ASP NWS RIVER INFORMATION...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS USGS RIVER INFORMATION...HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEER...HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL ACKNOWLEDGMENTS... THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS. QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS... IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 6707 NORTH 288TH STREET VALLEY, NE 68064-9443 PHONE...402-359-5166 OAX.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV $$ MAYES
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