Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 251010
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
610 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

...UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES...

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK INTO THE MIDWEST TODAY AND
UP THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN TONIGHT. ONGOING LIGHT PRECIPITATION
ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DIMINISH OR
END FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. HOWEVER...ANOTHER ROUND OF RAINFALL WILL
SPREAD UP INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-252200-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
610 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) EARLY THEN PARTLY SUNNY
                    (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42...EXCEPT 28-33 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 2400, THEN
                    RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (140).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.27 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0800, THEN
                    RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 1400, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND
                    DRIZZLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (140).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.27 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-252200-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
610 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN, LIGHT
                    FREEZING RAIN AND CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (390).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.16 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. RAIN
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (140).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.19 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0800, THEN
                    RAIN LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.22 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-252200-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
610 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1200.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT 30-35 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    UNTIL 2100, THEN RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 2300, THEN
                    RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.29 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1200.
                    DRIZZLE LIKELY. RAIN LIKELY AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55...EXCEPT AROUND 41 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 86-91 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.21 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-252200-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
610 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE
                    OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (460).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.17 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL
                    2200, THEN RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.30 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0800, THEN
                    DRIZZLE LIKELY UNTIL 1400. RAIN LIKELY AFTER
                    0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.12 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-252200-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
610 AM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN, CHANCE OF LIGHT
                    FREEZING RAIN, SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET UNTIL 1200.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.17 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE
                    OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN
                    AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15-0.23 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 1200.
                    DRIZZLE LIKELY. RAIN LIKELY AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.13 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE OF DRIZZLE. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.

$$





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