Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 221946
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
346 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

...Record heat continuing...

.DISCUSSION...The large dome of upper level high pressure will
continue to dominate northern Michigan through early next week.
This system will bring more record heat over the next few days. A
cold front will then move through during the middle of next week
bringing much cooler temperatures along with possible showers and
thunderstorms.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-230830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
346 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
                    clear (0-5 percent).
Min Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....90-95...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (820).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (760).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-230830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
346 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    clear (0-5 percent).
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....92-97...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (660).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (600).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-230830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
346 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
                    clear (0-5 percent).
Min Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (710).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 71-76 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (740).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-230830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
346 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) until 2400, then
                    clear (0-5 percent).
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....89-94...except 78-83 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (710).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 78-83 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (840).
Mixing Height.......6600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-230830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
346 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
                    clear (0-5 percent). Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....91-96.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (720).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (910).
Mixing Height.......7700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AS


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