Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 170959
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
459 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...

RAIN WILL FALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION EARLY TODAY. LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE OFF TO NEW ENGLAND AND RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW LATE IN
THE DAY. SNOW OVERNIGHT WILL HAVE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE
TUG HILL PLATEAU AND THE HILLS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH DRYING CONDITIONS AND
NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-172115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
459 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           60           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       43           28           34
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 15                      W 14
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 20         W 18         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.17         0.06         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                     6            5            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               80           87           65
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3090         2420         3680
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 26         W 26         W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               80340        62920        66240
DISPERSION INDEX                   80           63           66
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-172115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
459 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           60           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       39           26           33
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 16                      W 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 18         W 16         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.13         0.10         0.12
PRECIP DURATION                     9            8            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               79           92           70
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3740         2600         4130
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 29         W 28         W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              108460        72800        82600
DISPERSION INDEX                  108           73           83
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-172115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
459 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           70           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       43           29           36
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13                      W 15
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 19         W 18         W 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.06         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                     2            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               76           88           67
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3040         2000         3850
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 24         W 26         W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72960        52000       100100
DISPERSION INDEX                   73           52          100
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-172115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
459 AM EST WED DEC 17 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       41           28           34
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  7                      W 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10         W 11        NW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.24         0.18         0.10
PRECIP DURATION                    11           11            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               87           98           71
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3550         1660         3730
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 18         W 17         W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               63900        28220        67140
DISPERSION INDEX                   64           28           67
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$







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