Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 220233
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The return flow between a surface high off the mid-Atlantic and low
pressure approaching the region will build heat and humidity through
Tuesday. A strong cold front will cross the region late Tuesday, and
may be accompanied by strong to severe thunderstorms. The end of the
week into the weekend will have a touch of fall in the air as a
sprawling Canadian high pressure builds in cooler and drier air.

NYZ001-002-010-011-220900-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
1033 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud cover                    MClear        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     30           60           50           30
Precip type                   Showers        Tstms      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       68           83           57           74
AM Wind (mph)                                SW 10                      W 10
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW 16         W 14         W 11
Precip amount                    0.01         0.23         0.08         0.02
Precip duration                     1            5            2            2
Precip begin                     3 AM   Continuing   Continuing         3 PM
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         1 AM   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           59           90           52
Haines Index                        5            3            4            4
LAL                                 4            5            5            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         3740          140         7530
Transport wind (kt)             SW  6        SW 27         W 11         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       100980         1540       158130
Dispersion Index                    0          101            2          158
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-220900-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
1033 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud cover                     PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                     30           80           80           30
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       65           83           54           73
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  9                      W  8
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW 12         W 12         W 11
Precip amount                    0.01         0.48         0.24         0.02
Precip duration                     1            6            4            2
Precip begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing        12 PM
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         1 AM         3 PM
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           54          100           48
Haines Index                        3            3            3            4
LAL                                 4            5            5            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         5190           10         7140
Transport wind (kt)             SW  3        SW 18         W  9         W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        93420           90       135660
Dispersion Index                    0           93            0          136
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-220900-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
1033 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud cover                    MClear        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           80           70           30
Precip type                      None        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       66           86           57           75
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  8                      W 10
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW 11         W 12         W 11
Precip amount                    0.00         0.39         0.19         0.02
Precip duration                                  5            4            2
Precip begin                                 11 AM   Continuing         3 PM
Precip end                              Continuing         1 AM   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           54           97           51
Haines Index                        4            3            4            4
LAL                                 1            5            5            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         3740           30         7760
Transport wind (kt)             SW  4        SW 18         W 15         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        67320          450       162960
Dispersion Index                    0           67            0          163
REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ006>008-220900-
Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
1033 PM EDT Mon Aug 21 2017

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud cover                    MClear        PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           80           80           40
Precip type                      None        Tstms        Tstms      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       64           83           57           73
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  7                      W 10
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        SW 11        SW 11         W 11
Precip amount                    0.00         0.41         0.35         0.02
Precip duration                                  5            6            2
Precip begin                                 10 AM   Continuing         3 PM
Precip end                              Continuing         2 AM   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           59          100           56
Haines Index                        4            3            3            4
LAL                                 1            5            5            1
Mixing height (ft-AGL)              0         4300          430         7070
Transport wind (kt)             SW  7        SW 24         W 19         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       103200         8170       148470
Dispersion Index                    0          103            8          148
REMARKS...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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