Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 271934
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
334 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND AS HIGHS RISE INTO THE 80S. SLIGHT CHANCES FOR
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN AS LOW PRESSURE WORKS NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE UPPER MIDWEST WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR STORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS
A COLD FRONT WORKS ACROSS. CONDITIONS DRY OUT BY MONDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN OVER THE AREA. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE
IN THE 40 TO 50 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-272115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
334 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7780-8280 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7730-8230 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-272115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
334 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7490-7990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1050).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8050-8550 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO
                    30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-272115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
334 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6790-7290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (950).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8450-8950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

SF


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