Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 231923
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
323 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...Widespread rainfall will expand across the
region late today and tonight as strong low pressure lifts across
the region. Much colder air will filter into the region in its wake,
persisting through much of the week.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-232115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
323 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 near percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......37 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1260-1760 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (430).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 near percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph becoming south in
                    the late evening and early morning then
                    becoming southwest after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1170-1370 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming west 30
                    to 35 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain likely until
                    8 am then showers. Chance of precipitation 90
                    near percent.
Max temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........71-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3120-3620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph increasing to around 35
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1020).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2370-2570 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (500).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-232115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
323 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1850-2350 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (680).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph becoming
                    south after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1160-1360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 35 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (230).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 8 am then chance of showers until
                    2 pm then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........72 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 20 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2850-3350 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 35 to 40 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1320).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely
                    until 8 pm then chance of showers until
                    2 am then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2450-2650 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 40 mph decreasing to around 30
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (570).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-232115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
323 PM EDT Mon Oct 23 2017

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 near percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1250-1750 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (570).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 near percent.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 15 mph becoming southwest 20
                    to 25 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1240-1440 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 30 mph becoming west in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (200).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 8 am then chance of showers until
                    11 am then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........69-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1430).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely
                    until 2 am then chance of showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2120-2320 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (460).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the upper 40s. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 50s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.

$$

MR


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