Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 281953
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
350 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY. INCREASING
MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RAISE RH
VALUES TO 50 TO 60 PERCENT ON FRIDAY. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT
THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THE LOW THEN TRACKING THROUGH
NORTHERN MI SATURDAY NIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR A WETTING RAIN WILL OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-291400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
350 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......740-940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 3 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 4 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2180-2680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (390).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......660-860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8390-8890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2130).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-291400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
350 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......740-940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 4 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2660-3160 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (460).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......580-780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8470-8970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-291400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
350 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......880-1080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 4 PM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3430-3930 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (500).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......340-540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5320-5820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    25 TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

JVC






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