Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 231858
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
258 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

...Headline...

.DISCUSSION...
A few showers/thunderstorms this afternoon. High pressure with less
humidity expected monday and tuesday before a more active weather
pattern returns wednesday through the end of the week.


MIZ037>039-043>045-240815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
258 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0600, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2700-3200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 200 (fair)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 48-53
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 4
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6100-6600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1400-1900 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1200-1700 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
   24 hr trend......
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5600-6100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-240815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
258 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1900, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-240815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
258 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6000-6500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 1200-1700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-240815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
258 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0600, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-240815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
258 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0200.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds 5 to
9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80.

$$



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