Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 260834
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
434 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Hazardous beach conditions will continue as hurricane Maria moves
slowly north offshore of the Carolinas. Maria will accelerate away
from the United States beginning Thursday. A cold front passage
late Thursday will bring cooler and drier air into the Carolinas
Friday into this weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...None

NCZ105>110-270045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
434 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          81           71           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 11 G20     N 11 G21     NW 11 G21
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 12 G22     N 10         NW 11 G20
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             75/1100      2000         76/1000
Dispersion                         Excellent
Max/Min RH (%)        69           90           52
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          2            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3320                      5470
Transport wnd (mph)   N 23                      NW 22
Ventilation rate      76360                     120340
ADI early             48 Gen good  57 Gen good  48 Gen good
ADI late              56 Gen good  28 Fair      73 Good
Max LVORI early       5            4            4
Max LVORI late        3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-270045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
434 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          83           70           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  9         N  7         NW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 11         N  7         NW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             74/1100      2000         77/1000
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        63           93           47
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          2            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3650                      5820
Transport wnd (mph)   N 17                      NW 20
Ventilation rate      62050                     116400
ADI early             40 Fair      43 Gen good  49 Gen good
ADI late              45 Gen good  13 Gen poor  80 Good
Max LVORI early       6            4            5
Max LVORI late        3            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 45 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-270045-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
434 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          83           70           89
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         N  7         NW  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N 10         NW  6        NW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             75/1100      2000         78/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        65           93           48
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3370                      5770
Transport wnd (mph)   N 16                      NW 18
Ventilation rate      53920                     103860
ADI early             36 Fair      29 Fair      44 Gen good
ADI late              42 Gen good  6 Very poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            5            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-270045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
434 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          84           70           90
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  7         N  5         NW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  9         N  5         NW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             74/1100      2000         78/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        61           93           46
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3910                      5950
Transport wnd (mph)   N 14                      NW 17
Ventilation rate      54740                     101150
ADI early             32 Fair      28 Fair      37 Fair
ADI late              42 Gen good  4 Very poor  66 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
77 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-270045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
434 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          85           69           91
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N  8         N  5         N  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  9         N  5         NW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             74/1100      2000         78/1000
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        59           92           43
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4320                      6050
Transport wnd (mph)   N 14                      N 16
Ventilation rate      60480                     96800
ADI early             34 Fair      30 Fair      33 Fair
ADI late              43 Gen good  4 Very poor  62 Good
Max LVORI early       6            5            6
Max LVORI late        3            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
76 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

8



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