Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 182021
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
321 PM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Mild air will surge into the region through Tuesday ahead of
a low pressure system that will approach from the west. This
system will bring moderate rain Wednesday and Wednesday night.
High pressure will build in Thursday and then weaken on Friday
as a cold front slowly approaches from the west.

Fog potential for tonight...High.

NCZ105>110-191230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
321 PM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           80
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           70           49           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        W  4         SW  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  4         SW  5        SW  4        SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.46
Precip duration                                 1            10
Inversion             1800         60/1000      1800         58/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           44           97           73
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            5            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2240                      2410
Transport wnd (mph)                W 13                      S  8
Ventilation rate                   29120                     19280
ADI early             4 Very poor  31 Fair      5 Very poor  16 Gen poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  31 Fair      4 Very poor  19 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       7            9            6            7
Max LVORI late        8            3            6            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
70 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-191230-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
321 PM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           90
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           72           51           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        W  4         SW  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         SW  4        SW  4        E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.65
Precip duration                                 2            10
Inversion             1800         58/1000      1800         57/0600
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           38           95           71
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2090                      2060
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      E  8
Ventilation rate                   25080                     16480
ADI early             7 poor       22 Fair      8 poor       13 Gen poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  23 Fair      4 Very poor  18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            6
Max LVORI late        7            2            5            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-191230-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, and Bucksport
321 PM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           70
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           74           53           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  4        W  5         W  4         SW  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         W  5         SW  5        SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.28
Precip duration                                 1            5
Inversion             1800         62/1000      1800         61/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        100          42           99           70
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            5            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1750                      2580
Transport wnd (mph)                W  7                      SW 26
Ventilation rate                   12250                     67080
ADI early             6 Very poor  23 Fair      4 Very poor  36 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  18 Gen poor  4 Very poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       9            7            6            9
Max LVORI late        6            3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper
40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ039-191230-
Williamsburg-
Including the city of Kingstree
321 PM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            50           70
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           75           54           70
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        W  5         SW  3        S  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         W  5         SW  5        SW 10
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.32
Precip duration                                 1            5
Inversion             1800         61/1000      1800         63/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           37           97           69
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            5            4            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1730                      2780
Transport wnd (mph)                W  7                      SW 26
Ventilation rate                   12110                     72280
ADI early             7 poor       20 Gen poor  3 Very poor  38 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  16 Gen poor  4 Very poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       7            7            5            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-059-191230-
Florence-Marion-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Loris, Green Sea,
and Aynor
321 PM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           80
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          48           75           53           69
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        W  5         SW  5        S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     W  5         W  5         SW  5        S  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.50
Precip duration                                 1            10
Inversion             1800         60/1000      1800         60/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           37           100          69
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1830                      2670
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      SW 24
Ventilation rate                   14640                     64080
ADI early             10 poor      20 Gen poor  4 Very poor  30 Fair
ADI late              4 Very poor  19 Gen poor  5 Very poor  54 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            8            4            9
Max LVORI late        6            2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-191230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
321 PM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            60           90
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Rain
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          45           74           53           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        W  4         SW  6        S  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  5        SW  4        SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.76
Precip duration                                 2            12
Inversion             1800         58/1000      1800         57/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        99           35           98           70
DSI                                2                         1
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                1880                      1740
Transport wnd (mph)                W  6                      SE  8
Ventilation rate                   11280                     13920
ADI early             9 poor       17 Gen poor  6 Very poor  11 poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  16 Gen poor  5 Very poor  15 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            4            8
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
92 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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