Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 212122
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
422 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...Expect a cold front to begin to move through the
area tonight as an area of showers moves through. Rainfall will
be moderate at times. Cooler air will filter into mainly the
northwestern areas of eastern Kentucky. Numerous passing
disturbances will keep showers in the forecast into the coming
weekend.

KYZ044-050>052-220930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, and Morehead
422 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the evening,
                    then rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......21 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................15.
LVORI...............6.
Prob of precip......100 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.50 - 0.74 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers in the morning, then
                    chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....16.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15700 knot-ft).
ADI.................23 decreasing to 12 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.61 - 0.75 inches.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............9.
Prob of precip......50 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.23 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the morning,
                    then rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......24 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......32 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....89.
Vent Rate...........Good (89200 knot-ft).
ADI.................30 increasing to 70 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.09 - 0.29 inches.


$$

KYZ058>060-068-069-104-106>109-111-112-114-119-220930-
Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-Jackson-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-
Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-Owsley-Martin-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton,
Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Sandy Hook,
West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville,
Jackson, Booneville, and Inez
422 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................9.
LVORI...............8.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.13 - 0.61 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the morning,
                    then chance of rain showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....10.
Vent Rate...........Poor (10400 knot-ft).
ADI.................12.
LVORI...............8.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.34 - 0.74 inches.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............10.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.06 - 0.23 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the morning, then chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......38 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....99.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (98900 knot-ft).
ADI.................41 increasing to 70 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.12 inches.


$$

KYZ079-080-083>088-110-113-115>118-120-220930-
Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-
Knott-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello,
Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Prestonsburg,
Wheelwright, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden,
Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
422 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................8.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.07 - 0.46 inches.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........72-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....46.
Vent Rate...........Fair (45800 knot-ft).
ADI.................47 decreasing to 34 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.09 - 0.61 inches.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................6.
LVORI...............7.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.02 - 0.15 inches.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....87.
Vent Rate...........Good (87100 knot-ft).
ADI.................36 increasing to 62 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cloudy. Showers likely in the morning, then showers
likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs
in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. South winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Showers likely in the morning. Highs in
the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with slight chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 50s. Light winds.

$$
SHALLENBERGER



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