Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 192040
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
340 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will bring dry and continued mild
weather to the region through Monday night. The lowest minimum
humidities of 35 percent or lower on Monday should be south of I 64
and east of I 75. As the high departs, a weak cold front and upper
disturbance will approach and bring a chance for showers from
Tuesday into Tuesday night. Rainfall from these should average
less than a tenth of an inch. There will be additional rain
chances through late week, with the highest chances from later
Friday or Fri night.

KYZ068-079-083-084-200945-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
340 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of dense fog developing
                    towards dawn.
Min Temperature.....Around 39 valleys and around 45 ridges.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent valleys and around 89 ridges.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged valleys and 9 percent drier ridges.
20-foot winds.......East winds up to 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................2.
LVORI...............9.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Areas of dense fog in the
                    morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....9.
Vent Rate...........Poor (8500 knot-ft).
ADI.................10.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-97 percent valleys and 73-82 percent ridges.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier valleys and 12 percent drier
                    ridges.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................5.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........55-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....49.
Vent Rate...........Fair (48600 knot-ft).
ADI.................27 increasing to 39 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-200945-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
340 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog developing towards
                    dawn.
Min Temperature.....Around 40 valleys and around 46 ridges.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................3.
LVORI...............9.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Areas of dense fog in the
                    morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index.... 8.
Vent Rate...........Poor (8400 knot-ft).
ADI.................13.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 47 valleys and around 52 ridges.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........78-88 percent valleys and 68-75 percent
                    ridges.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......10 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the morning, then chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....56.
Vent Rate...........Good (56200 knot-ft).
ADI.................29 increasing to 47 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.03 inches.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-200945-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, London, Corbin,
Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland,
Harlan, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden, Jenkins,
Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
340 PM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of dense fog developing
                    towards dawn.
Min Temperature.....Around 39 valleys and around 45 ridges.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
ADI.................2.
LVORI...............8.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Areas of dense fog in the
                    morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 5 mph.
Dispersion Index....5.
Vent Rate...........Poor (5400 knot-ft).
ADI.................7.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Min Temperature.....Around 46 valleys and around 52 ridges.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-95 percent valleys and 68-78 percent
                    ridges.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier valleys and 16 percent
                    drier ridges.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................4.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......0 percent.
QPF (inches)........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....53.
Vent Rate...........Good (52700 knot-ft).
ADI.................33 increasing to 44 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Prob of precip......20 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.01 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers in the
morning. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms late. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of
thunderstorms late. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning, then chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely and
slight chance of thunderstorms late. Lows in the mid 40s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Cooler. Mostly sunny. Chance of showers in the
morning. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.

$$
JP



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