Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 180914
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
414 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION TODAY BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES IN
LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
414 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-10)  33-38 (-13)  56-61
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-20)  87-92 (-8)   36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SE  6
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 11 G20                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
414 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-10)  32-37 (-14)  55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-18)  78-83 (-14)  38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 12 G31                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G24    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                      7 AM
PRECIP END            10 AM                     CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     S  8
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 15 G31                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G24    LGT/VAR      S  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-191000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
414 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-9)   35-40 (-12)  57-62
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-21)  75-80 (-14)  48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G27                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G17    LGT/VAR      S  5 G19
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     S 14
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G27                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR      S  7 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-191000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
414 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-7)   38-43 (-12)  60-65
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-18)  84-89 (-9)   56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         3 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.09
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     S 13
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  8 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-191000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
414 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-5)   38-43 (-13)  58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-20)  84-89 (-12)  55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G22                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      SE  6 G16
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         3 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            10 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.06
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     S 10
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI             4                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G22                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
414 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-9)   34-39 (-13)  58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-15)  89-94 (-1)   43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G21                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SE  6
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   3 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
414 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-9)   37-42 (-9)   57-62
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-16)  90-95 (0)    55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50
PRECIP DURATION                                 2
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      2200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     SE  8
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-191000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
414 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017 /314 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   43-48 (-6)   59-64
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-18)  88-93 (0)    63-68
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6 G20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.24
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     S  9
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TD/MA



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