Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 121953
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
253 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

.DISCUSSION...
ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
THIS WEEKEND...PROVIDING WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A SYSTEM
MOVES IN TO START THE WORK WEEK AND WILL BRING A MIX OF
RAIN...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW TO PARTS OF THE AREA.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
253 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (-8)   15-20 (-15)  4-9          24-29
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 43-48 (-8)   82-87        48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G18                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            30
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                1 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     SE  5
DISPERSION                         65 GOOD                   9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G22                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     NW 10 G21    NW  5        S  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS 19 TO 27. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN OR SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET LIKELY OR LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (-9)    14-19 (-12)  4-9          24-29
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  40-45 (-27)  76-81        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G28    NW 10 G19    NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS FLURRIES     NONE         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            20
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                4 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   3 PM                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     SE  5
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 16 G33                 E  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 17 G35    NW 12 G24    NW  9 G20    SE  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET OR LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS 18 TO 27. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN OR SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET AND LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-132100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
253 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      12-17 (-8)   18-23 (-12)  7-12         26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  32-37 (-39)  75-80        37-42
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G23                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G23    NW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   4 PM
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      S  3
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 13 G29                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G28    NW  9 G18    N  5         SW  7 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...LIGHT SLEET LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW OR LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN OR SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-132100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      16-21 (-7)   29-34 (-8)   12-17        34-39
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   21-26 (-43)  65-70        25-30
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G20                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    N  7         LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 4 PM
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      S  7
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 13 G25                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    N  9 G17     N  5         S  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...LIGHT SLEET LIKELY OR CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW OR
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-132100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-5)   29-34 (-8)   12-17        33-38
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-11)  19-24 (-40)  70-75        27-32
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G21                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 4 PM
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      S  8
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               16 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI                          2                         2
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 13 G26                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 14 G26    NW  9 G16    N  5         S  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...LIGHT SLEET LIKELY OR CHANCE OF SNOW OR LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN LIKELY OR CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN OR SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR LIGHT SLEET.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
253 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      14-19 (-7)   20-25 (-11)  7-12         28-33
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   34-39 (-31)  76-81        43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     FLURRIES     NONE         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   4 PM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SE  5
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G21                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G24     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
20S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN OR LIGHT SLEET OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
253 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (-8)   23-28 (-10)  10-15        31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+7)   29-34 (-30)  78-83        30-35
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP TYPE           FLURRIES     NONE         NONE         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SE  6
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   9 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  7        LGT/VAR      S  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY
OR CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN OR LIGHT SLEET OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
253 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 /153 PM CST FRI FEB 12 2016/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (-7)   29-34 (-14)  14-19        35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   24-29 (-22)  67-72        24-29
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    N  6         LGT/VAR      S  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 1 PM
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      SE  8
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G21                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    N  8         LGT/VAR      S  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET OR LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$


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