Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
277
FNUS54 KSHV 242144
FWFSHV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Arkansas...
Northwest Louisiana...East Texas...and Extreme Southeast Oklahoma
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
344 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front was moving across the Four-State region from northwest
to southeast late this afternoon, and was located along a near keld,
ksvh and near klfk line at 21Z. Post-frontal, 20-foot winds have shifted
to the west-northwest at 15-20 mph with higher gusts earlier this afternoon,
but has since showed signs of relaxing a bit.  Will likely let the Lake Wind
Advisory expire on time (is in effect until 4 pm CST for portions of east
Texas, deep east Texas, southwest Arkansas and northwest Louisiana). In
addition, a drier airmass is being ushered in by the front, with relative
humidity values dropping into the 30-50 percent range after the frontal
passage. Thus, there is a brief period of elevated fire weather concerns
across portions of east Texas, deep east Texas, southeast Oklahoma,
southwest Arkansas and northwest Louisiana, until the wind speeds decline
after sunset. Tonight, humidities will recover in the 50-70 percent range.
Cooler conditions will return tomorrow, with temperatures perhaps dropping
to a few degrees below normal. One would think that this would suggest
humidities staying well above normal but in fact, humidities will fall
into the 25-35 percent range given the cooler and drier airmass will
be well in place. What will keep fire weather concerns at bay will be
the rather light /and at times variable/ northerly wind speeds of 5 mph
or less. Sunday, 20-foot winds will return to a southerly component with
speeds of 10-15 mph, as the cold air advection dislodges and pushes east.
This if further evident by temperatures warming to a few degrees above normal.
A southerly wind will tap into Gulf moisture and computer models hint at
humidities increasing into the 30-40 percent range even during peak heating.
In addition, there will be chances for showers and thunderstorms on Sunday,
with the approach of an upper level disturbance.

ARZ050-051-059-OKZ077-251015-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-McCurtain-
Including the cities of De Queen, Nashville, Mineral Springs,
Dierks, Ashdown, Idabel, and Broken Bow
344 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40
TEMP (24H TREND)      30 (-23)     54 (-17)     29           63
RH % (24H TREND)      76 (-6)      22 (-10)     85           36
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    N  6                      SE  8
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  7        NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0            1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)                  1694                      1226
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5558                      4021
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NW  2                     S  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     S 16
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                  3388                      8582
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)                38                        48
STABILITY CLASS       F            B            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. South
winds around 5 mph. Category Day Index is 3.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. North winds up to 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 60.
Southeast winds up to 5 mph.

$$

ARZ060-061-070>073-251015-
Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-Columbia-Union-
Including the cities of Hope, Prescott, Texarkana, Stamps,
Lewisville, Bradley, Magnolia, and El Dorado
344 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)      34 (-25)     55 (-21)     30           65
RH % (24H TREND)      71 (-7)      25 (-17)     82           31
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    N  6                      SE  6
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  8        NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0            1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)                  1572                      1104
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5159                      3621
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NW  3                     S  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     S 16
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                  4716                      7728
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         3
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)                43                        52
STABILITY CLASS       F            B            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
South winds around 5 mph. Category Day Index is 2.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. North winds up to 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 60s. East winds up to 5 mph.

$$

TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-137-138-251015-
Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-
Marion-Gregg-Harrison-
Including the cities of Clarksville, Bogata, Texarkana,
Mount Vernon, Mount Pleasant, Pittsburg, Daingerfield, Lone Star,
Naples, Omaha, Atlanta, Linden, Hughes Springs, Queen City,
Mineola, Winnsboro, Quitman, Hawkins, Gilmer, Big Sandy,
Jefferson, Longview, and Marshall
344 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40
TEMP (24H TREND)      34 (-24)     55 (-19)     33           67
RH % (24H TREND)      65 (-3)      24 (-9)      76           34
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    N  6                      SE  8
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  8        N  5         LGT/VAR      S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0            1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)                  1558                      1281
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5110                      4203
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  3                      S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      S 18
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                  4674                      10248
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)                42                        52
STABILITY CLASS       F            B            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 4.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower
60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. East winds up to 5 mph.

$$

TXZ136-149>153-251015-
Smith-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-
Including the cities of Tyler, Jacksonville, Rusk, Henderson,
Carthage, Nacogdoches, and Center
344 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-21)     60 (-18)     37           69
RH % (24H TREND)      66 (-8)      25 (-12)     80           37
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    N  8                      SE  8
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  8        N  5         NE  3        S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0            1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)                  1340                      1306
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4397                      4286
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  4                      S  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      S 21
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                  5360                      11754
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)                46                        54
STABILITY CLASS       F            B            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 4.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ165>167-251015-
Angelina-San Augustine-Sabine-
Including the cities of Lufkin, San Augustine, Hemphill,
and Pineland
344 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      41 (-20)     62 (-19)     38           70
RH % (24H TREND)      75 (-8)      26 (-13)     84           41
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    N  8                      SE  7
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  7        N  6         NE  3        S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0            1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)                  1141                      1275
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3745                      4183
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  5                      S 10
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      S 22
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                  5705                      12750
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)                49                        57
STABILITY CLASS       F            B            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 4.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

LAZ001>004-012-251015-
Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Bienville-
Including the cities of Shreveport, Bossier City, Minden,
Springhill, Homer, Haynesville, Arcadia, Ringgold, and Gibsland
344 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        Clear        PCldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         Tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
TEMP (24H TREND)      38 (-22)     58 (-20)     34           67
RH % (24H TREND)      63 (-16)     23 (-12)     78           31
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    N  6                      SE  7
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  9        N  5         NE  3        S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0            1
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)                  1427                      1106
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4681                      3627
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  4                      S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      S 17
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                  5708                      8848
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)                45                        53
STABILITY CLASS       F            B            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 4.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. East winds around 5 mph.

$$

LAZ005-006-013-014-251015-
Lincoln-Union-Jackson-Ouachita-
Including the cities of Ruston, Farmerville, Bernice, Jonesboro,
and Monroe
344 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           MClear       Clear        Clear        PCldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      39 (-22)     58 (-22)     32           66
RH % (24H TREND)      72 (-17)     24 (-18)     85           29
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    N  8                      SE  6
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  9        N  5         NE  3        S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0            0
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)                  1373                      962
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4505                      3157
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  4                      S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      S 17
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                  5492                      7696
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         3
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)                46                        53
STABILITY CLASS       F            B            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 3.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph.

$$

LAZ010-011-017-018-251015-
De Soto-Red River-Sabine-Natchitoches-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Stonewall, Logansport,
Coushatta, Martin, Many, Zwolle, Pleasant Hill, and Natchitoches
344 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           MClear       Clear        Clear        PCldy
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      40 (-20)     61 (-19)     36           69
RH % (24H TREND)      78 (-10)     26 (-16)     82           34
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    N  8                      SE  7
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  9        N  6         NE  4        S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0            0
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)                  1234                      1141
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4047                      3743
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  5                      S  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      S 20
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                  6170                      10269
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         4
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)                48                        56
STABILITY CLASS       F            B            F            C

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 4.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s. North
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

LAZ019>022-251015-
Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-
Including the cities of Winnfield, Colfax, Montgomery, Dry Prong,
Clarks, Grayson, Columbia, Jena, Midway, and Olla
344 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           MClear       Clear        Clear        MClear
PRECIP TYPE           None         None         None         None
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      43 (-18)     61 (-19)     35           68
RH % (24H TREND)      87 (-8)      26 (-21)     84           33
20FTWND-AM(MPH)                    N  8                      SE  6
20FTWND-PM(MPH)       NW  9        N  6         NE  3        S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       0            0            0            0
MIXING HGT(M-MSL)                  1291                      959
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4235                      3146
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  5                      S  8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      S 18
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                  6455                      7672
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         3
MIX HGT 500 TEMP(F)                49                        56
STABILITY CLASS       F            B            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph. Category Day Index is 4.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.