Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
000
FNUS86 KSGX 302040
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
140 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

##########################################################
##    If you need to edit any discussions below         ##
##           in the sections labeled as:                ##
##                                                      ##
##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
##                                                      ##
##    Then edit them in this product and store as:      ##
##                                                      ##
##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
##                                                      ##
## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
##                                                      ##
##    No action is required if you like the current     ##
##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
##    they apply to Phoenix`s part of the ECC034 too).  ##
##########################################################
SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHILE INLAND AREAS
SLOWLY WARM. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND OFFSHORE FLOW WITH LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING MUCH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST THURSDAY
MORNING...GRADUALLY WEAKENING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL
DECREASE ON THURSDAY...REACHING SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS INLAND AREAS
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY WITH LITTLE IF ANY OVERNIGHT RECOVERY INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WILL BRING HIGHER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAYS. SLOW COOLING MAY
BEGIN NEAR THE BEACHES ON SUNDAY WITH SOME RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES NEAR THE COAST...SPREADING SLOWLY INLAND THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.


Discussion from LAXFWFLOX

AN UPPER RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WILL MAINTAIN
NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY...WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND UNDER WEAK ONSHORE FLOW.
LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW WILL FORM EACH DAY OVER INLAND
SECTIONS AS A WEAK TROUGH PASSES EAST OF THE AREA. LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL AFFECT PASSES AND CANYONS OF THE SANTA
BARBARA SOUTH COAST THIS EVENING.

WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY THE OFFSHORE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO PUSH
EASTWARD OVER THE WEST COAST...BRINGING A SIGNIFICANT WARMING AND
DRYING TREND THAT MAY PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE STEADILY THROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK WITH THE
PEAK EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...OFFSHORE GRADIENTS
WILL BRING A CORRESPONDING DRYING TREND. THERE IS AN INCREASING
POSSIBILITY OF WEAK TO MODERATE OFFSHORE WINDS DEVELOPING OVER
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE STRONGEST NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO OCCUR THURSDAY MORNING. HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO
THE LOW TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. AFTER POOR
RECOVERIES THURSDAY NIGHT...WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES ARE
LIKELY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL
BRING THE LIKELIHOOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE EXTREMELY DRY FUELS IN PLACE WILL ALLOW
FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH IF IGNITION WERE TO OCCUR. THERE IS A CHANCE
THAT A BRIEF PERIOD OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD TO
THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING.



Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

AN UPPER RIDGE OFF THE WEST COAST WILL MAINTAIN A
NORTHWEST ONSHORE FLOW TODAY WITH COOL SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.
WIND FLOW WILL TURN OFFSHORE TONIGHT AS THE RIDGE STARTS BUILDING
INLAND. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN IN THE GREAT BASIN
AS A COLD UPPER LOW MOVES THROUGH THE INTERIOR WEST. THIS WILL PROVIDE
A WARM AND DRY OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE FIRE DISTRICT THURSDAY INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS AND POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL
RESULT IN AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER DURING THIS PERIOD ESPECIALLY OVER
THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SEQUOIA FOREST.


Discussion from RNOFWFVEF

A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH
SOME HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES. A WEAK DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN NORTHEAST LINCOLN COUNTY. LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTH WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVERHEAD THIS
WEEKEND WILL PRODUCE DRY AND WARM WEATHER.



Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


DRY CONDITIONS AND CLEAR SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE WEEK.
ANTICIPATE LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WITH MORE
NOTICEABLE WARMING THURSDAY. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS FROM THE NORTH
AND NORTHEAST WILL START EARLY THURSDAY. THE NORTHERLY WINDS AND
WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO EVEN LOWER HUMIDITIES.

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-010840-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
140 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014


WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHILE INLAND AREAS
SLOWLY WARM. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND OFFSHORE FLOW WITH LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING MUCH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST THURSDAY
MORNING...GRADUALLY WEAKENING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL
DECREASE ON THURSDAY...REACHING SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS INLAND AREAS
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY WITH LITTLE IF ANY OVERNIGHT RECOVERY INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WILL BRING HIGHER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAYS. SLOW COOLING MAY
BEGIN NEAR THE BEACHES ON SUNDAY WITH SOME RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES NEAR THE COAST...SPREADING SLOWLY INLAND THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

$$

ECC034-010840-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
140 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014


WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHILE INLAND AREAS
SLOWLY WARM. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND OFFSHORE FLOW WITH LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING MUCH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST THURSDAY
MORNING...GRADUALLY WEAKENING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL
DECREASE ON THURSDAY...REACHING SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS INLAND AREAS
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY WITH LITTLE IF ANY OVERNIGHT RECOVERY INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WILL BRING HIGHER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAYS. SLOW COOLING MAY
BEGIN NEAR THE BEACHES ON SUNDAY WITH SOME RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES NEAR THE COAST...SPREADING SLOWLY INLAND THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

$$

ECC035-010840-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
140 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014


WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHILE INLAND AREAS
SLOWLY WARM. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND OFFSHORE FLOW WITH LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING MUCH WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS
FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST THURSDAY
MORNING...GRADUALLY WEAKENING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL
DECREASE ON THURSDAY...REACHING SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS INLAND AREAS
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. VERY LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY WITH LITTLE IF ANY OVERNIGHT RECOVERY INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT WILL BRING HIGHER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAYS. SLOW COOLING MAY
BEGIN NEAR THE BEACHES ON SUNDAY WITH SOME RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES NEAR THE COAST...SPREADING SLOWLY INLAND THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

$$




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.