Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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FNAK79 PAFG 170616
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAX...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1016 PM AKDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 AKDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE FIRE SITE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE FIRE AREA THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVES WEST OF THE SITE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A SECOND UPPER LEVEL DISTURABANCE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT THAT WILL PROMPT WEAK SOUTHERLY
CHINOOK WINDS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...DALE WOITAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.BAX__.01/AFG



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