Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 311123
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWATER MARSH...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
623 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...PROVIDING
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE AREA THROUGH
MID WEEK.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT)....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    18 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   5   5   5
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................21  19  20  22  25  27  28  30  30  31  32  31
RH..................48  50  50  46  40  36  35  34  34  35  35  40
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.5
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......16  16  15  15  15  15  14  14  13  13  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....30  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20  15
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....30  29  28  25  24  23  23  23  23  22  21  18
LVORI...............1   3   1   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................33  32  30  28  42  42  44  45  44  44  42  31
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT)....WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
               EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............9   9   9   14  14  14  18  18  18  57  57  57
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................29  28  27  25  24  24  23  23  23  22  22  24
RH..................47  53  59  67  77  77  81  81  81  88  88  81
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5           5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....16  13  10  7   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...............2   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   5
ADI.................16  10  8   5   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AND SLEET LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
               AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............96  96  96  95  95  95  94  94  94  95  95  95
WEATHER COV.........                                    SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                                    RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................25  27  30  33  36  38  40  41  41  42  42  41
RH..................81  74  69  61  56  50  46  44  44  41  41  44
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.1
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   3   5   5   6   8   9   9   10  10  10
LVORI...............5   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................1   2   2   3   5   9   13  17  18  17  17  14
HAINES INDEX........3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150131.BLACK.01/AKQ





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