Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS71 KALY 181208
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Frizzle Fry...APB -  DEC
National Weather Service Albany NY
808 AM EDT Thu May 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you
have questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
...Gusty southwest winds of 25 to 35 mph along with RH values
of 30 to 45 percent expected today...

A large ridge of high pressure aloft over region will result
in near record highs again today. Chances for showers and
thunderstorms will gradually increase later this afternoon into
tonight ahead of a cold front approaching from the upper
Great Lakes. Drier, cooler and breezy conditions will filter in
on Friday behind the cold front.

Relative humidity values will drop to minimum values between 30
and 45 percent this afternoon, and to between 40 and 50 percent
Friday afternoon. RH values will increase to 80 to 100 percent
both tonight and Friday night.

Winds will increase to 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph this
afternoon. Winds tonight will be southwest at 5 to 15 mph.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Scattered thunderstorms
                    and a slight chance of showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 8 to 16 mph.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 16 mph.
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 8 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......200-300 ft AGL, increasing to 8200-9200 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 17 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent), then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). A chance of
                    showers in the evening. Scattered
                    thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers after
                    midnight.
CWR.................30 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 9 to 13 mph.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 13 mph.
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 9 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL, decreasing to 600-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated showers.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 12 to 18 mph.
Surface winds.......Northwest winds 12 to 18 mph.
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 12 to 18 mph with gusts up to
                    25 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL, increasing to 3000-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 22 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

$$
Forecaster...JPV
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1709683.0/ALY
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org,attbriggs@albanypinebush.orgThank



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