Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS71 KALY 160214
FWSALY

Spot Forecast for Fairfield Brook WMA Rx Fire...MassWildlife
National Weather Service Albany NY
1014 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0400 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The isolated showers north of the Capital Region will
end early tonight associated with the upper level low with clearing
skies and diminishing winds overnight.  High pressure builds in
tomorrow with sunshine and slightly above normal temperatures. The
fair weather continues into Wednesday with clouds increasing from
the south and west late, as showers return Wednesday night through
Thursday.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Dewpoint............34.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph increasing to 21 to 23
                    mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (96600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (108700
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   3   2   3   3   6   9   10  10  10  10  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  39  42  45  48  50  51  54  57  59  59  56
Dewpoint........32  32  33  35  36  35  34  34  33  33  33  32
RH..............82  76  70  68  63  56  52  46  40  37  37  40
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   7   9   9   12  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.9   12  15  15  18  21  21  21  21  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.2 2.1 3.3 4.4 5.2 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.3 5.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   10  13  15  18  21  22  22  22  23  23  22
LVORI...........4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   5   13  32  57  80  97  109 116 122 121 109
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Dewpoint............31.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 5 to 12 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 20 mph shifting to the north 7
                    to 10 mph in the late evening and overnight,
                    then decreasing to around 7 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (78400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   8   8   3   5   6   8   8   8   10  11  13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  50  48  46  44  43  42  41  39  37  35  34
Dewpoint........32  32  32  32  32  32  31  31  31  31  31  31
RH..............44  50  54  58  62  65  65  67  73  79  85  89
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..12  10  9   5   1   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.18  16  14  7   2   6   6   6   6   5   5   3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.20  16  13  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   6
Haines index....4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..78  40  9   0   0   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....GD  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming mostly
                    cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Dewpoint............33 increasing to 36 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph shifting to the west 6 to 8
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (30200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  6   3   22  40  59  62  66  69  71  73  82
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  37  40  43  47  51  54  56  58  59  60  59
Dewpoint........31  32  32  M   M   33  M   M   35  M   M   36
RH..............85  82  73  65  58  50  46  43  42  40  41  42
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.3 4.2 3.9 3.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   7   7   6
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
Haines index....3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   5   9   15  20  25  29  30  28  22  16
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...NAS
Requested by...Alex Entrup
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410920.0/ALY
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alex.entrup@mass.gov
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