Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
772
FNUS74 KAMA 241205
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR ICE STORM RECOVERY...BORGER OEM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
605 AM CST TUE JAN 24 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT AHEAD OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT.  SOUTHWEST AND WEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE DURING THE MORNING WITH 20-FOOT GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH CONTINUING
THROUGH THE DAY.  THE STRONG WINDS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET, AND THEN
SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AROUND 10 PM AS A POLAR COLD FRONT ARRIVES.  NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL PREVAIL ALL DAY WEDNESDAY.  NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-34500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (72500-115500 KNOT-FT)
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (148500-196000 KNOT-FT)
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (130000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO GOOD (57500 KNOT-FT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
LAL.................1.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4500-5500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 20 TO 29 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 45 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 30 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 26 TO
                    33 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    30 TO 38 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     51     58     62     62
RH..............64     49     33     22     18
20 FT WIND......SW 22  W 24   W 28   W 29   W 26
20 FT WIND GUST.35     40     45     45     40
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4
VRATE KT-FT/10008      35     116    171    130

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-28000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (50000-60000 KNOT-FT) EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
LAL.................1.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 9
                    TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO NORTH 16 TO 23 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     42     37     34     31     29
RH..............26     37     49     59     64     68
20 FT WIND......W 21   W 16   W 13   NW 9   NW 10  N 12
20 FT WIND GUST.30     25     20     10     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2
VRATE KT-FT/100010     8      0      0      28     60

.WEDNESDAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (47500-95000 KNOT-FT)
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT
                    (120000-140000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (80000
                    KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    FAIR (25000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
LAL.................1.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    7000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2500 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............27     26     32     38     42     43
RH..............72     73     57     43     35     34
20 FT WIND......N 13   NW 13  NW 13  NW 12  NW 13  NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     15     20     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3
VRATE KT-FT/100048     57     63     68     120    80

$$
FORECASTER...COCKRELL
REQUESTED BY...JASON WHISLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...TEST
.TAG 1700453.7/AMA



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.