Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FNUS74 KAMA 170242
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast FOR SUNRAY LNG FIRE...DUMAS FIRE DEPT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Amarillo TX
942 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Forecast is based on incident time of 2200 CDT on September 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Winds will be generally around 5 to 10 mph out of
the southeast, shifting northeast over the next couple of hours.
This is due to a frontal boundary that is in the area. The winds
at times might be light and variable if the front stalls over the
burn sites. Winds are expected by late morning to shift back out
of the southeast as the front retreats north. Isolated
thunderstorms will be possible tonight given that the frontal
boundary will be near the burn site. One storm currently
developing about 25 miles West Northwest of the burn site. Moving
east northeast away from the burn site. Be on the lookout for
outflow winds from this storm over the next hour or two. If
outflow winds occur, will likely be out of a northerly direction
and could be gusty.

Weber

.TONIGHT...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (5000-30000 knot-ft).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL decreasing to 500-2000 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 9 mph decreasing to 7 to
                    8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......20 percent.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 10 mph increasing 12 to 16 mph
                    after midnight.


Time (CDT)      10 PM  Midngt 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather Cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather Type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Temp............73     68     65     63
RH..............51     63     70     78
20 Ft Wind......E 8    NE 8   NE 8   NE 7
20 Ft Wind Gust.10     10     10     10
Chc of Pcpn (%).20     20     20     20
Haines Index....3      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.5      7      14     10

.SUNDAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (10000-13500 knot-ft).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......East southeast winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......30 percent.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 13 mph.

Time (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  Noon   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather Cov.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather Type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Temp............61     61     69     77     81     83
RH..............81     84     66     50     46     43
20 Ft Wind......NE 8   NE 9   NE 8   NE 7   E 8    E 9
20 Ft Wind Gust.10     10     10     10     10     10
Chc of Pcpn (%).20     30     30     30     30     30
Haines Index....3      3      3      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.11     11     14     12     11     11

$$
Forecaster...Weber
Requested by...RONALD PRAY
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 1715953.0/AMA


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