Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FNUS74 KAMA 211135
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR LX RANCH...GLOBAL FRONTLINE SOLUTIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
635 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
VARIABLE 20 FOOT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING AT AROUND 5 MPH WILL
INCREASE SLIGHTLY AND BECOME PREDOMINANTLY SOUTHWESTERLY BY MID
TO LATE MORNING. BY AFTERNOON WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY AT 5
TO 10 MPH. AS TEMPERATURES WARM TODAY RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL FALL TO A MINIMUM OF AROUND 30 TO 35 PERCENT BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. THE PRESENCE OF SOME HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD TEMPER HEATING
AND MIXING SOMEWHAT THIS AFTERNOON AND KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES LOWER THAN WHAT IS EXPECTED TOMORROW AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     54     62     67     69
RH..............82     59     44     37     35
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 3   S 5    S 5    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5                    10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      3      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     60     54     50     47     45
RH..............35     47     64     77     86     96
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 7    S 8    S 8    S 7    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....5      2      2      2      3      3

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000-12000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     43     54     66     75     79
RH..............100    96     66     38     25     18
20 FT WIND......SW 6   W 6    W 5    NW 6   N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10            10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...BOWERS
REQUESTED BY...ARCHIE STONE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150321.LXRAN.02/AMA






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