Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 191847
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUBLESOME VALLEY PILES...COS - GRANBY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1140 AM MST FRI DEC 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN WEAK UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER
THE REGION TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.  THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN
RELATIVELY WEAK ON SATURDAY.  AS A RESULT...MIXING WILL BE MINIMAL WITH
POOR SMOKE DISPERSION FORECAST.  THE WINDS ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(55-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(60-65%).
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2200-3200
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUBLESOME VALLEY PILES.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

12/19-11 63  2  0 25 69   S  5  6 2 1  NW 22  3476   W 15 43623  F
12/19-12 61  2  0 25 67   S  6  6 2 1  NW 24  3507   W 15 45608  F
12/19-13 61  2  0 25 66 SSW  6  7 3 1  NW 25  3539   W 15 47593  F
12/19-14 60  2  0 25 64  SW  7  7 3 1  NW 26  3571   W 16 49579  F
12/19-15 60  2  0 25 62 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 25  3192   W 15 42028  F
12/19-16 60  2  0 23 67 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 24  2813 WSW 14 34477 P
12/19-17 57  2  0 21 71 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 22  2435 WSW 13 26927 P
12/19-18 56  2  0 20 70 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 22  1939 WSW 12 19968 P
12/19-19 56  2  0 18 71  SW  6  6 3 1 WNW 22  1443  SW  9 13010 P
12/19-20 55  2  0 17 70  SW  6  6 3 1 WNW 22   947  SW  7  6051 P
12/19-21 54  2  0 16 71  SW  6  6 3 1 WNW 24   920  SW  7  5665 P
12/19-22 54  2  0 16 70  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 25   893  SW  7  5278 P
12/19-23 53  2  0 15 73  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 28   865  SW  7  4891 P
12/20-00 53  2  0 15 73  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 29   871  SW  6  4738 P
12/20-01 53  2  0 15 73  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 30   877  SW  6  4585 P
12/20-02 53  2  0 15 73  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 31   883  SW  6  4432 P
12/20-03 53  2  0 15 74  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 30   893  SW  6  4501 P
12/20-04 53  2  0 15 75  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 30   902  SW  6  4569 P
12/20-05 59  2  0 15 77 SSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 30   911  SW  6  4638 P
12/20-06 59  2  0 14 81  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 29   904  SW  6  4521 P
12/20-07 59  2  0 14 83  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 28   897  SW  6  4405 P
12/20-08 59  2  0 14 84  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 26   890  SW  6  4288 P
12/20-09 59  2  0 16 79  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  1465  SW  7  9626 P
12/20-10 59  2  0 21 66  SW  5  5 3 1   W 28  2039 WSW  8 14964 P
12/20-11 63  5  1 26 55  SW  5  5 3 1   W 28  2614   W  9 20302 P
12/20-12 63  5  1 28 52 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 29  2870   W 10 25601 P
12/20-13 63  5  1 29 50 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 31  3127   W 12 30901 P
12/20-14 63  5  1 28 53 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 32  3384   W 13 36200 P
12/20-15 63  5  1 27 56 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 33  2869 WSW 12 28808 P
12/20-16 63  5  1 25 62 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 35  2354 WSW 10 21417 P
12/20-17 81  7  1 22 71 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 36  1838 WSW  9 14025 P
12/20-18 81  7  1 20 77 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 36  1471 WSW  9 11167 P
12/20-19 81  7  1 19 81 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 37  1104 WSW  8  8309 P
12/20-20 81  7  1 18 84  SW  6  6 2 1   W 37   737 WSW  8  5451 P
12/20-21 81  7  1 17 88  SW  6  6 2 1   W 38   742  SW  9  5789 P
12/20-22 81  7  1 17 88  SW  6  6 2 1 WNW 39   748  SW  9  6127 P
12/20-23 99 26  6 16 92  SW  6  6 2 1 WNW 40   754  SW 10  6465 P
12/21-00 99 26  6 16 92  SW  6  6 2 1 WNW 44   780  SW 10  7131 P
12/21-01 99 26  6 15 96  SW  7  7 2 1 WNW 47   805 WSW 12  7797 P
12/21-02 99 26  6 15 96  SW  7  7 2 1 WNW 49   831 WSW 12  8463 P
12/21-03 99 26  6 15 95  SW  7  7 2 1 WNW 52   883 WSW 13  9352 P
12/21-04 99 26  6 15 95 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 53   935  SW 13 10242 P
12/21-05100 40 18 15 96 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 55   987  SW 13 11131 P
12/21-06100 40 18 15 97 WSW  8 14 2 1 WNW 58   989 WSW 14 11849 P
12/21-07100 40 18 15 98 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 60   991 WSW 15 12567 P
12/21-08100 40 18 17 92 WSW 12 18 2 1  NW 62   993 WSW 15 13285 P
12/21-09100 40 18 21 78 WSW 12 18 2 1  NW 62  1549 WSW 18 28794 P
12/21-10100 40 18 25 67 WSW 10 17 2 1  NW 62  2105   W 22 44304  F
12/21-11100 44 21 29 58 WSW 10 16 2 1  NW 61  2661   W 25 59814  F
12/21-12100 44 21 31 55   W 12 18 2 1  NW 60  2913   W 28 69548   G
12/21-13100 44 21 32 56   W 13 21 2 1  NW 59  3165   W 29 79282   G
12/21-14100 44 21 32 58   W 14 22 2 1  NW 58  3416   W 30 89016   G
12/21-15100 44 21 31 64   W 13 21 2 1  NW 61  3148   W 29 80084   G
12/21-16100 44 21 30 69   W 12 18 2 1  NW 63  2880   W 29 71153   G
12/21-17100 63 42 29 75   W 10 16 2 1  NW 66  2611   W 28 62222   G
12/21-18100 63 42 29 76   W 12 18 2 1  NW 69  2564   W 28 61824   G
12/21-19100 63 42 29 77   W 13 21 2 1  NW 71  2518   W 28 61426   G
12/21-20100 63 42 28 81   W 14 22 2 1  NW 75  2471   W 29 61028   G
12/21-21100 63 42 28 82   W 13 21 2 1  NW 73  2397   W 28 57262  F
12/21-22100 63 42 28 84   W 12 18 2 1  NW 69  2323   W 26 53497  F
12/21-23100 63 42 28 85   W 10 16 2 1  NW 67  2250   W 25 49732  F
12/22-00100 63 42 28 86   W 10 17 2 1  NW 64  2162   W 24 46028  F
12/22-01100 63 42 28 87   W 12 18 3 1  NW 63  2074   W 23 42325  F
12/22-02100 63 42 28 88   W 13 21 3 1  NW 61  1986   W 22 38622 P
12/22-03100 63 42 28 90   W 13 21 3 1  NW 61  1968   W 23 38888 P
12/22-04100 63 42 28 91   W 14 22 3 1  NW 60  1950   W 23 39154 P
12/22-05 99 56 32 28 92   W 14 22 3 1  NW 59  1931   W 23 39420 P
12/22-06 99 56 32 27 95   W 14 22   1
12/22-07 99 56 32 27 94   W 14 22   1
12/22-08 99 56 32 27 92   W 14 22   1
12/22-09 99 56 32 28 87   W 14 22   1
12/22-10 99 56 32 29 82   W 13 21   1
12/22-11 79 51 27 31 75   W 13 21   1
12/22-12 79 51 27 32 71   W 13 20   1
12/22-13 79 51 27 32 70   W 13 21   1
12/22-14 79 51 27 32 69   W 13 21   1
12/22-15 79 51 27 30 74   W 13 21   1
12/22-16 79 51 27 28 79 WNW 13 21   1
12/22-17 76 49 25 27 81 WNW 13 21   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...COOPER
REQUESTED BY...RON COUSINEAU
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141220.TROUB.01/BOU


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