Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 051935
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRAND COUNTY EMERGENCY EXCERCISE...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
135 PM MDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1324 MDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THIS FORECAST WAS GENERATED TO ASSIST IN THE
GRAND COUNTY EMERGENCY EXERCISE.  THERE IS NO FIRE.

AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE STATE TODAY
WITH WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH
WARMER THAN NORMAL WITH DEEP MIXING LAYERS DEVELOPING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  STRONG HEATING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
MAY CAUSE A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.  GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED FROM ANY SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP.  INCREASING
SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS THE UPPER
RIDGE BEGINS MOVING EAST OF COLORADO. WARM TEMPERATURES
AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY...WITH
A THREAT OF SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1400...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-24%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 0300...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GRAND COUNTY EMERGENCY EXCERCISE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

05/05-13 23  2  0 61 21   W  6  6 3 1   W 17  8767   W 12 85925   G
05/05-14 36  2  0 62 20   W  6  6 4 1   W 15  9142   W 10 79603   G
05/05-15 50  2  0 63 18   W  6  6 4 1 WSW 12  9517 WSW  9 72460   G
05/05-16 53  2  0 63 18 WSW  6  6 4 1 WSW 10  9132 WSW  7 55749  F
05/05-17 55  2  0 62 20 SSW  5  5 3 1  SW  9  8746  SW  6 40201  F
05/05-18 58  7  1 60 23   S  5  5 3 1  SW  7  8361 SSW  3 25816 P
05/05-19 57  7  1 56 29   S  5  5 3 1  SW  9  6509   S  7 41968  F
05/05-20 56  7  1 52 38 SSE  6  6 3 1 SSW 12  4657 SSE 12 45674  F
05/05-21 55  7  1 48 48  SE  7  7 3 1   S 13  2805 SSE 15 36933 P
05/05-22 54  7  1 45 53  SE  8 13 3 1   S 15  2193 SSE 15 28251 P
05/05-23 54  7  1 43 57  SE  8 13 3 1 SSW 17  1580 SSE 15 19916 P
05/06-00 53  9  2 42 57  SE  8 13 3 1 SSW 18   968 SSE 14 11928 P
05/06-01 52  9  2 42 57  SE  8 13 3 1 SSW 18  1014 SSE 14 12078 P
05/06-02 52  9  2 41 60 SSE  8  8 3 1  SW 18  1059   S 14 12192 P
05/06-03 60  9  2 40 62 SSE  7  7 3 1  SW 18  1104   S 13 12270 P
05/06-04 69  9  2 39 64 SSE  6  6 3 1  SW 18  1192   S 12 12168 P
05/06-05 65  9  2 37 68   S  6  6 3 1 WSW 17  1279  SW 10 12053 P
05/06-06 62 11  2 37 67   S  5  5 3 1 WSW 17  1367  SW 10 11800 P
05/06-07 62 11  2 40 63   S  5  5 3 1  SW 14  2058  SW 10 17731 P
05/06-08 62 11  2 44 56   S  3  3 3 1 SSW 10  2749 WSW 10 23636 P
05/06-09 62 11  2 49 48   S  3  3 3 1 SSW  8  3440 WSW 10 29517 P
05/06-10 62 11  2 53 41   S  3  3 3 1   S  8  5443  SW  8 40296  F
05/06-11 62 11  2 56 36  SE  3  3 3 1 SSE  8  7447   S  7 46356  F
05/06-12 67 36 14 59 32 ESE  5  5 3 4 SSE  9  9450   S  6 47698  F
05/06-13 67 36 14 60 31 ESE  6  6 3 4 SSE 13  9894 SSE  9 78578   G
05/06-14 67 36 14 61 31 ESE  7  7 3 4 SSE 17 10338 SSE 13112028    V
05/06-15 67 36 14 61 31   E  8 13 3 4 SSE 21 10782 SSE 16148048    V
05/06-16 67 36 14 61 30 ESE  8 13 3 4 SSE 23 10869 SSE 18169530     E
05/06-17 67 36 14 60 31  SE  7  7 4 4   S 25 10956   S 20191335     E
05/06-18 53 32 11 57 33 SSE  7  7 4 4   S 28 11042   S 22213463     E
05/06-19 53 32 11 53 36 SSE  7  7 4 4   S 28  8409   S 22159995     E
05/06-20 53 32 11 48 42 SSE  8 13 5 4   S 26  5776   S 22108136    V
05/06-21 53 32 11 44 47  SE  8 13 5 4   S 26  3143   S 21 57886  F
05/06-22 53 32 11 41 53  SE  8 13 5 4   S 30  2523   S 20 42700  F
05/06-23 53 32 11 40 56  SE  7  7 5 4   S 32  1903   S 17 29365 P
05/07-00 33 16  3 39 59  SE  7  7 5 1   S 36  1283   S 16 17880 P
05/07-01 33 16  3 38 61  SE  7  7 5 1   S 37  1256   S 16 17915 P
05/07-02 33 16  3 37 62  SE  7  7 5 1   S 38  1230   S 17 17932 P
05/07-03 33 16  3 36 64  SE  7  7 5 1   S 39  1204   S 17 17933 P
05/07-04 33 16  3 34 69 ESE  7  7 4 1   S 40  1244   S 15 15937 P
05/07-05 33 16  3 32 74 ESE  7  7 4 1   S 43  1283   S 13 13776 P
05/07-06 42 28  8 32 75 ESE  8 13 3 1   S 44  1323 SSE 10 11451 P
05/07-07 42 28  8 35 70 ESE  9 15 3 1   S 41  2480 SSE 13 27211 P
05/07-08 42 28  8 40 60   E 10 17 4 1 SSE 39  3638  SE 15 48330  F
05/07-09 42 28  8 44 53   E 12 18 4 1 SSE 37  4795  SE 18 74808   G
05/07-10 42 28  8 47 47   E 12 18 4 1 SSE 35  7760  SE 20131222    V
05/07-11 42 28  8 49 42   E 12 17 4 1  SE 31 10725  SE 21195400     E
05/07-12 64 38 16 49 40   E 10 16 4 4  SE 29 13690  SE 23267340     E
05/07-13 64 38 16 48 42 ESE  9 15 4 4  SE 29 11663  SE 22225212     E
05/07-14 64 38 16 47 44  SE  8 14 3 4  SE 28  9636  SE 22183968     E
05/07-15 64 38 16 46 47  SE  8 13 3 4 SSE 26  7609  SE 22143606    V
05/07-16 64 38 16 44 53   S  9 14 3 4 SSE 21  6637 SSE 18106214    V
05/07-17 64 38 16 43 57 WSW 10 16 3 4   S 15  5665  SW 15 74400   G
05/07-18 73 40 18 41 62   W 10 16 3 4   S  8  4694   W 12 48165  F
05/07-19 73 40 18 39 66   W  9 15 3 4 SSW 12  4288   W 15 56162  F
05/07-20 73 40 18 37 69   W  8 13 3 4 WSW 14  3882   W 18 61858   G
05/07-21 73 40 18 35 72   W  7  7 3 4   W 16  3476   W 22 65252   G
05/07-22 73 40 18 34 75 WSW  6  6 3 4   W 17  3154   W 20 52178  F
05/07-23 73 40 18 32 81  SW  6  6 2 4   W 17  2831   W 16 40540  F
05/08-00 72 25  5 32 82 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 18  2508   W 14 30339 P
05/08-01 72 25  5 31 85 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 21  2265   W 14 26261 P
05/08-02 72 25  5 31 84 SSW  5  5 2 1   W 23  2021   W 13 22427 P
05/08-03 72 25  5 30 87 SSW  5  5 2 1   W 26  1777   W 13 18835 P
05/08-04 72 25  5 30 86 SSW  5  5 2 1   W 25  1641   W 12 15932 P
05/08-05 72 25  5 29 89 SSW  5  5 2 1   W 24  1505 WSW 10 13270 P
05/08-06 71 36 14 29 88 SSW  5  5 2 1   W 23  1370 WSW  9 10851 P
05/08-07 71 36 14 31 81 SSW  5  5   1
05/08-08 71 36 14 33 75  SW  5  5   1
05/08-09 71 36 14 35 69 WSW  6  6   1
05/08-10 71 36 14 38 61 WSW  6  6   1
05/08-11 71 36 14 41 55   W  7  7   1
05/08-12 75 42 19 43 51   W  7  7   3
05/08-13 75 42 19 43 51   W  7  7   3
05/08-14 75 42 19 42 54   W  8  8   3
05/08-15 75 42 19 42 55   W  8 13   3
05/08-16 75 42 19 41 58   W  8 13   3
05/08-17 75 42 19 41 59   W  8 13   3
05/08-18 80 34 13 40 62   W  8 13   2

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...DANKERS
REQUESTED BY...YMCA IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160505.GRAND.02/BOU



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