Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 041234
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFF'S OFFICE/PARKS AND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
525 AM MST SUN DEC 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON DECEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...THERE WILL BE A STRONG NORTHWEST
FLOW PATTERN ACROSS COLORADO THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT INCREASING WEST
TO NORTHWEST WINDS TONIGHT WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH OVER THE
BURN AREA BY LATE IN THE DAY AND CONTINUING TONIGHT. CONTINUED DRY
WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MIN HUMIDITY........28%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500, THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW .

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........55%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW .

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(30-35%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MIN HUMIDITY........33%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1300, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500,
                    THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

12/04-09 12  1  0 25 47   W  9 16 4 1  NW 35  1406   W 15 17888 P
12/04-10 17  1  0 31 38 WSW 10 17 3 1 WNW 37  1842   W 16 25183 P
12/04-11 21  1  0 36 32 WSW 10 17 3 1 WNW 39  2279   W 17 33305 P
12/04-12 20  1  0 40 28 WSW 10 18 3 1 WNW 37  2467   W 17 35914 P
12/04-13 20  1  0 41 28 WSW 12 20 2 1 WNW 35  2655   W 17 38501 P
12/04-14 19  1  0 40 30   W 12 20 2 1 WNW 33  2843   W 16 41067  F
12/04-15 18  1  0 37 34   W 12 18 2 1 WNW 36  2286   W 15 30079 P
12/04-16 17  1  0 34 38   W 10 18 2 1 WNW 39  1730   W 14 20525 P
12/04-17 16  1  0 31 43   W 10 17 2 1 WNW 43  1173   W 13 12407 P
12/04-18 19  1  0 30 44   W 12 20 2 1 WNW 38  1192   W 14 13838 P
12/04-19 22  1  0 30 43   W 13 21 2 1 WNW 33  1210   W 15 15308 P
12/04-20 24  1  0 31 41   W 14 23 2 1 WNW 29  1229   W 16 16816 P
12/04-21 24  1  0 31 43   W 15 25 2 1   W 30  1225   W 16 16684 P
12/04-22 24  1  0 31 45   W 16 26 2 1   W 32  1222   W 16 16551 P
12/04-23 24  1  0 30 49   W 16 28 2 1   W 33  1218   W 15 16419 P
12/05-00 27  1  0 29 51   W 16 28 2 1   W 40  1231   W 15 15953 P
12/05-01 30  2  0 28 53   W 15 26 2 1   W 47  1245   W 14 15473 P
12/05-02 32  2  0 27 55   W 15 25 2 1   W 54  1259   W 14 14978 P
12/05-03 35  2  0 27 55   W 15 25 2 1   W 53  1214   W 15 16228 P
12/05-04 36  2  0 27 55   W 15 25 2 1   W 51  1170   W 17 17226 P
12/05-05 27 15  3 27 55   W 15 30 2 1   W 49  1125   W 18 18102 P
12/05-06 27 16  3 29 50   W 14 28 3 1   W 47  1136   W 18 17932 P
12/05-07 27 17  3 30 48   W 13 26 3 1   W 45  1147   W 17 17755 P
12/05-08 27 17  3 33 43   W 13 26 4 1   W 43  1158   W 17 17572 P
12/05-09 28 18  4 35 41   W 15 26 4 1   W 46  1772   W 22 34147 P
12/05-10 29 19  4 38 38   W 17 29 5 1   W 48  2386   W 26 55751  F
12/05-11 31 20  4 40 36   W 20 31 5 1   W 52  3000   W 31 82385   G
12/05-12 32 20  4 41 34   W 21 32 5 1   W 56  3347   W 31 91763   G
12/05-13 33 21  4 41 33   W 20 32 4 1   W 62  3694   W 31101111    V
12/05-14 33 22  4 39 34   W 18 30 4 1   W 67  4040   W 31110429    V
12/05-15 32 23  5 37 36   W 16 25 3 1   W 67  3689   W 26 85219   G
12/05-16 33 24  5 34 39 WNW 12 20 3 1   W 67  3337   W 22 62983   G
12/05-17 38 25  5 31 43 WNW  9 15 2 1   W 66  2986   W 17 43720  F
12/05-18 56 25  5 28 49   W  8 13 2 1   W 62  2432 WSW 14 29812 P
12/05-19 65 25  5 25 55  SW  8 13 2 1   W 59  1878 SSW 12 18544 P
12/05-20 75 25  5 22 62 SSW  8 13 2 1   W 55  1323   S  8  9917 P
12/05-21 78 25  5 20 64 SSW  8 13 2 1   W 59  1579   S 12 15142 P
12/05-22 78 25  5 19 62   S  8 13 2 1   W 62  1835   S 14 21438 P
12/05-23 78 33 12 18 62 SSE  8 13 2 1   W 67  2090 SSE 16 28805 P
12/06-00 79 33 12 17 65 SSE  8 13 2 1   W 67  1881 SSE 14 22457 P
12/06-01 82 33 12 16 69 SSE  7  7 2 1   W 68  1672   S 12 16880 P
12/06-02 84 33 12 15 73  SE  7  7 2 1   W 69  1463   S  9 12073 P
12/06-03 84 33 12 14 74  SE  7  7 2 1   W 68  1236   S  8  9204 P
12/06-04 83 33 12 13 73 SSE  7  7 2 1   W 67  1008   S  8  6700 P
12/06-05 81 44 21 12 73 SSE  7  7 2 1   W 66   781   S  7  4562 P
12/06-06 85 44 21 11 77 SSE  6  6 2 1   W 64   861   S  6  4681 P
12/06-07 89 44 21 11 78 SSE  6  6 2 1   W 63   941   S  6  4737 P
12/06-08 93 44 21 12 76 SSE  5  5 2 1   W 62  1021   S  6  4728 P
12/06-09 91 44 21 14 70  SE  5  5 2 1   W 62  1691 SSE  6  8487 P
12/06-10 87 44 21 17 61  SE  6  6 2 1   W 61  2362 SSE  6 12765 P
12/06-11 84 60 38 19 56 ESE  6  6 2 1   W 60  3033  SE  7 17561 P
12/06-12 85 60 38 20 57   E  6  6 2 1 WSW 56  3010  SE  7 19132 P
12/06-13 90 60 38 20 61   E  6  6 2 1 WSW 54  2988   E  8 20678 P
12/06-14 92 60 38 19 67 ENE  6  6 2 1 WSW 52  2965   E  8 22198 P
12/06-15 92 60 38 16 77 ENE  6  6 2 1 WSW 44  2930 ENE 10 25984 P
12/06-16 91 60 38 14 82  NE  6  6 2 1 WSW 37  2894  NE 12 29670 P
12/06-17 94 65 45 14 80  NE  6  6 2 1  SW 30  2858  NE 14 33258 P
12/06-18 94 65 45 14 80 NNE  6  6 2 1  SW 24  2989  NE 15 39035 P
12/06-19 94 65 45 14 80 NNE  7  7 2 1  SW 20  3120 NNE 16 45184  F
12/06-20 94 65 45 14 80 NNE  7  7 2 1  SW 15  3251 NNE 18 51707  F
12/06-21 93 65 45 13 82   N  7  7 2 1  SW 13  3149 NNE 17 48281  F
12/06-22 90 65 45 12 83   N  6  6 2 1  SW 10  3047 NNE 17 44971  F
12/06-23 88 55 30 10 87   N  6  6 2 1  SW  9  2945 NNE 16 41779  F
12/07-00 88 55 30  9 87   N  6  6 2 1  SW  8  2680 NNE 15 35411 P
12/07-01 89 55 30  8 87   N  6  6 2 1  SW  7  2416   N 14 29560 P
12/07-02 89 55 30  7 87 NNW  6  6 2 1  SW  6  2151   N 13 24225 P
12/07-03 84 55 30  5 92 NNW  6  6 2 1 WSW  6  1801   N 10 16880 P
12/07-04 73 55 30  4 93 NNW  5  5 3 1   W  7  1452   N  8 10858 P
12/07-05 67 14  3  3 95 NNW  5  5 3 1   W  7  1102   N  7  6158 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603674.6/BOU



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