Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 291833
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDLAND FIRE TRAINING CAMP 20150529 PM...PA DCNR - FFP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
233 PM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1421 EDT ON MAY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

&&

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 1900...THEN NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-2100 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............58  64  67  66  65  63  61  61  61  63  66  69
WEATHER COV.........ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW
TSTM COV............ISO ISO
TEMP................76  75  74  72  70  68  68  67  67  66  66  65
RH..................56  57  60  64  68  72  74  76  77  80  82  87
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  10  10  9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.5 3.8 3.2 2.6 2.1 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15  15  16  17  18  18  16  14  12  12  12  12
LAL.................2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL
                    1300...THEN 16-25 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............72  75  77  78  78  79  80  81  82  81  81  80
WEATHER COV.........                    SCT SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                    SCT SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP................65  66  67  69  72  74  75  77  78  79  80  80
RH..................89  88  84  79  73  69  66  63  60  58  56  57
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   7   8   9   9   10  12  12  12  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.7 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.7 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.0 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  10  10  10  10  10  12  12  13  13  13  13
LAL.................1   1   1   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
HAINES INDEX........3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...MATT REED
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150529.WILDL.02/CTP



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