Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS73 KDTX 121241
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALGONAC SP RX...MDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
841 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON APRIL 12.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
QUIET DRY CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A STEADY MOISTURE INCREASE
SATURDAY NIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTH 17
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING
                    TO 24 TO 29 MPH LATE...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 18 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL BY MID
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...1400).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........43  46  49  51  53  59  65  71  77
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............60  64  66  67  68  69  68  66  62
RH..............39  36  36  37  38  38  41  44  50
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   10  10  11  11  11  11  11  10
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  20  20  20  20  20  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.9 5.2 5.7 4.4 2.4
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3
VRATE (KT-FT)...100 100 300 500 900 13001400900 400

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT)BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    (75-85 PERCENT) OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........80     74     67     62     68     77
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     55     56     58     59     58
RH..............57     76     84     81     79     81
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..10     10     11     11     11     10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (MAX...200).

$$
FORECASTER...MANN
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140412.ALGON.01/DTX






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