Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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FNUS73 KDVN 251631
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLRACE FLATS...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1131 AM CDT MON APR 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 80 THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM
TRACKING OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A FEW
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM
WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THIS WEEKEND.

THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX -GFDI- DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR
PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS OR ANY SNOW ON THE GROUND. PLEASE
MAKE APPROPRIATE ADJUSTMENTS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........78 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 22
                    TO 26 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............76     79     80
RH..............53     52     51
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 13  SW 13  SW 13
EYE LVL WND GST.25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   4400   5300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24  SW 23  SW 25
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WIND SHIFT..........
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 28 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO
                    14 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NICHOLS
REQUESTED BY...ANDY ROBBINS -  NRB
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160425.MILLR.01/DVN



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